Skip to main content
← La Liga
La Liga · Regular Season - 38 May 23, 2026 21:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Valencia
#19 · 6 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Barcelona
#1 · 27 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Barcelona, result Valencia wins
J. Guerra 66'
L. Rioja 71'
G. Rodriguez 90'+7
61' (ast. F. Torres) R. Lewandowski
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Valencia 26%). The final result was Valencia 3–1 Barcelona. In 2 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Barcelona.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.48
Actual xG
1.36
3
Saves
3
24%
Possession
76%
7
Corners
8
14
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
X. Espart / R. Araujo ↕
↕ D. Lopez / L. Ramazani
52'
61'
ast. F. Torres · R. Lewandowski⚽
62'
A. Christensen / E. Garcia ↕
62'
F. de Jong / D. Olmo ↕
C. Tarrega
63'
U. Nunez
65'
⚽J. Guerra
66'
70'
A. Christensen
⚽L. Rioja
71'
79'
M. Bernal
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
80'
↕ J. Vazquez / T. Rendall
80'
83'
M. Casado / M. Bernal ↕
83'
J. Cancelo / F. Torres ↕
↕ J. Guerra / A. Almeida
90'+7
⚽G. Rodriguez
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
26.43%
Valencia ←
22.26%
X
51.3%
Barcelona
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Valencia) 26.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.19
1.48
+0.29
Barcelona
1.78
1.36
-0.42
xG dominance was balanced (1.48 – 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 6.90
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez 80' D 6.60
18 Pepelu Pepelu D 6.50
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.30
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez D 6.50
16 Diego López Diego López 52' M 7.20
2 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez 1 ⚽ M 7.90
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic M 6.90
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja 1 ⚽ M 7.30
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 80' F 6.30
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.90
Bench
7 A. Danjuma A. Danjuma F
10 André Almeida André Almeida 1' M
22 B. Santamaría B. Santamaría M
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba F
27 David Otorbi David Otorbi F
25 Julen Agirrezabala Julen Agirrezabala G
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani 38' F 6.90
29 Lucas Núñez Lucas Núñez M
26
Rubén Iranzo D
44 Rubi Rubi D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 10' D 6.60
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 10' F 6.30
Barcelona Barcelona 4-2-3-1
25 W. Szczęsny W. Szczęsny G 5.90
3 Alejandro Balde Alejandro Balde D 6.20
18 Gerard Martín Gerard Martín D 7.30
4 R. Araújo R. Araújo 45' D 8.60
24 Eric García Eric García 62' D 7.50
6 Gavi Gavi M 6.70
22 Marc Bernal Marc Bernal 83' M 6.30
14 M. Rashford M. Rashford M 6.30
20 Dani Olmo Dani Olmo 62' M 6.30
7 Ferran Torres Ferran Torres 1 👟 83' M 6.70
9 R. Lewandowski R. Lewandowski 1 ⚽ F 7.60
Bench
15 A. Christensen A. Christensen 28' D 5.60
36 Álvaro Cortés Álvaro Cortés D
31 D. Kochen D. Kochen G
21 F. de Jong F. de Jong 28' M 6.20
13 Joan García Joan García G
2 João Cancelo João Cancelo 17' D 6.90
17 Marc Casadó Marc Casadó 17' M 6.20
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes Pau Cubarsí Paredes D
8 Pedri Pedri M
19 R. Bardghji R. Bardghji F
43 Tomás Marqués Tomás Marqués M
42 X. Espart X. Espart 45' D 5.50
Best on the pitch
R. Araújo
R. Araújo
D · Barcelona
8.60
1 shots · 51 pass
G. Rodríguez
G. Rodríguez
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
Javi Guerra
Javi Guerra
F · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
R. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
F · Barcelona
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Eric García
Eric García
D · Barcelona
7.50
· 73 pass
Gerard Martín
Gerard Martín
D · Barcelona
7.30
· 104 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 6.90 — — — 20 9% — — —
Jesús Vázquez D 80 6.60 — — — 17 12% 1 — —
Pepelu D 90 6.50 — — — 29 19% — — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.30 — — 1 20 17% 1 1 —
Unai Núñez D 90 6.50 — — 4 20 16% 3 1 —
Diego López M 52 7.20 — — 2 11 9% 1 — —
G. Rodríguez M 90 7.90 1 — 1 24 20% 4 — —
F. Ugrinic M 90 6.90 — — 1 16 15% — — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.30 1 — 1 13 11% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 80 6.30 — — 1 8 4% 1 — —
Javi Guerra F 89 7.90 1 — 2 11 8% — — —
André Almeida M 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
L. Ramazani F 38 6.90 — — 2 6 3% 1 — —
Thierry Correia D 10 6.60 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 10 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
Barcelona Barcelona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
W. Szczęsny G 90 5.90 — — — 32 29% — — —
Alejandro Balde D 90 6.20 — — 1 58 54% — — —
Gerard Martín D 90 7.30 — — — 104 95% 3 — —
R. Araújo D 45 8.60 — — 1 51 50% 3 — —
Eric García D 62 7.50 — — — 73 67% 2 — —
Gavi M 90 6.70 — — — 51 45% 2 — —
Marc Bernal M 83 6.30 — — — 48 45% 2 1 —
M. Rashford M 90 6.30 — — — 36 32% — — —
Dani Olmo M 62 6.30 — — — 36 29% — — —
Ferran Torres M 83 6.70 — 1 2 43 33% — — —
R. Lewandowski F 90 7.60 1 — 2 22 19% — — —
A. Christensen D 28 5.60 — — 2 34 33% — 1 —
F. de Jong M 28 6.20 — — — 24 24% — — —
João Cancelo D 17 6.90 — — — 12 11% — — —
Marc Casadó M 17 6.20 — — — 19 17% — — —
X. Espart D 45 5.50 — — 1 43 38% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Barcelona?
The final score was Valencia 3–1 Barcelona.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Barcelona?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Valencia win, 22% to a draw, and 51% to an Barcelona win.