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La Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 05, 2026 18:15
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Celta Vigo
#6 · 50 pts
G. Rodriguez 12'
G. Rodriguez (ast. U. Sadiq) 90'
56' I. Moriba
60' (ast. W. Swedberg) F. Lopez
81' (ast. I. Moriba) W. Swedberg

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Celta Vigo 28%). The final result was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Celta Vigo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽G. Rodriguez
12'
43'
Javi Rodríguez
44'
Marcos Alonso
46'
W. Swedberg / H. Alvarez ↕
46'
J. El Abdellaoui / J. Rodriguez ↕
46'
F. Lopez / P. Duran ↕
56'
I. Moriba⚽
60'
ast. W. Swedberg · F. Lopez⚽
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
63'
↕ A. Almeida / T. Rendall
63'
↕ U. Nunez / F. Ugrinic
63'
↕ J. Guerra / L. Beltran
63'
71'
Hugo Sotelo
71'
B. Iglesias / F. Jutgla ↕
↕ J. Gaya / A. Danjuma
78'
81'
ast. I. Moriba · W. Swedberg⚽
Guido Rodríguez
84'
88'
Y. Lago / O. Mingueza ↕
⚽G. Rodriguez · ast. U. Sadiq
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.46%
Valencia
29.19%
X
28.35%
Celta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 28.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.21
0.81
-0.4
Celta
0.99
1.04
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 6.20
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà 78' D 6.30
24 Eray Cömert Eray Cömert D 6.50
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.00
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 63' D 6.30
10 André Almeida André Almeida 63' M 6.50
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez 2 ⚽ M 9.50
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra 63' M 6.20
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 7.00
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani F 6.60
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 63' F 6.90
Bench
16 Diego López Diego López F
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 27' M 6.30
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 27' M 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 27' D 6.60
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 👟 27' F 7.30
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-3
13 Ionuț Radu Ionuț Radu G 6.00
20 Marcos Alonso Marcos Alonso D 6.30
4
D 6.20
32 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez 45' D 6.50
5
M 6.70
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.50
22 Hugo Sotelo Hugo Sotelo M 7.20
3 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza 88' M 6.50
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez 45' F 6.70
18 Pablo Durán Pablo Durán 45' F 6.70
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 71' F 5.90
Bench
14 Alvaro Núñez Alvaro Núñez D
36 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón M
7 Borja Iglesias Borja Iglesias 19' F 6.50
8 Fer López Fer López 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.90
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda D
19 Williot Swedberg Williot Swedberg 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 7.90
29 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago 9' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez
M · Valencia
9.50
2 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
Williot Swedberg
Williot Swedberg
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
Fer López
Fer López
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
M · Celta
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo
M · Celta
7.20
· 57 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% — — —
José Luis Gayà D 78 6.30 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
Eray Cömert D 90 6.50 — — 3 51 39% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.00 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 63 6.30 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
André Almeida M 63 6.50 — — 1 25 23% — — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 9.50 2 — 2 41 36% 6 1 —
Javier Guerra M 63 6.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — — 1 33 27% 2 — —
Largie Ramazani F 90 6.60 — — 1 16 13% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 63 6.90 — — — 6 2% 1 — —
Filip Ugrinić M 27 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
L. Beltrán M 27 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
Thierry Correia D 27 6.60 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 27 7.30 — 1 2 6 4% — — —
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ionuț Radu G 90 6.00 — — — 25 12% — — —
Marcos Alonso D 90 6.30 — — — 83 73% — 1 —
D 90 6.20 — — — 48 48% 1 — —
Javi Rodríguez D 45 6.50 — — — 42 37% 1 1 —
M 90 6.70 — — — 63 56% — — —
I. Moriba M 90 7.50 1 1 1 40 33% 4 — —
Hugo Sotelo M 90 7.20 — — — 57 55% 2 1 —
Óscar Mingueza M 88 6.50 — — — 46 40% — — —
Hugo Álvarez F 45 6.70 — — — 33 32% 2 — —
Pablo Durán F 45 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 71 5.90 — — 3 19 15% — — —
Borja Iglesias F 19 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Fer López M 45 7.90 1 — 2 18 13% 1 — —
Williot Swedberg M 45 7.90 1 1 2 14 12% 1 — —
Yoel Lago D 9 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Valencia win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Celta Vigo win.