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La Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 05, 2026 16:15 Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Valencia
#19 · 6 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Celta Vigo
#9 · 12 pts
G. Rodriguez 12'
G. Rodriguez (ast. U. Sadiq) 90'
56' I. Moriba
60' (ast. W. Swedberg) F. Lopez
81' (ast. I. Moriba) W. Swedberg
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Celta Vigo 28%). The final result was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo. In 2 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Celta Vigo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽G. Rodriguez
12'
43'
Javi Rodríguez
44'
Marcos Alonso
46'
W. Swedberg / H. Alvarez ↕
46'
J. El Abdellaoui / J. Rodriguez ↕
46'
F. Lopez / P. Duran ↕
56'
I. Moriba⚽
60'
ast. W. Swedberg · F. Lopez⚽
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
63'
↕ A. Almeida / T. Rendall
63'
↕ U. Nunez / F. Ugrinic
63'
↕ J. Guerra / L. Beltran
63'
71'
Hugo Sotelo
71'
B. Iglesias / F. Jutgla ↕
↕ J. Gaya / A. Danjuma
78'
81'
ast. I. Moriba · W. Swedberg⚽
Guido Rodríguez
84'
88'
Y. Lago / O. Mingueza ↕
⚽G. Rodriguez · ast. U. Sadiq
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.46%
Valencia
29.19%
X
28.35%
Celta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 28.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.21
0.81
-0.4
Celta
0.99
1.04
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 6.20
14 José Gayà José Gayà 78' D 6.30
24 E. Cömert E. Cömert D 6.50
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.00
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 63' D 6.30
10 André Almeida André Almeida 63' M 6.50
2 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez 2 ⚽ M 9.50
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 63' M 6.20
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 7.00
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani F 6.60
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 63' F 6.90
Bench
16 Diego López Diego López F
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 27' M 6.30
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 27' M 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 27' D 6.60
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 👟 27' F 7.30
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-3
13 I. Radu I. Radu G 6.00
20 Marcos Alonso Marcos Alonso D 6.30
4
D 6.20
32 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez 45' D 6.50
5
M 6.70
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.50
22 Hugo Sotelo Hugo Sotelo M 7.20
3 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza 88' M 6.50
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez 45' F 6.70
18 Pablo Durán Pablo Durán 45' F 6.70
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 71' F 5.90
Bench
14 Álvaro Núñez Álvaro Núñez D
36 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón M
7 Borja Iglesias Borja Iglesias 19' F 6.50
8 Fer López Fer López 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.90
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda D
19 W. Swedberg W. Swedberg 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 7.90
29 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago 9' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
G. Rodríguez
G. Rodríguez
M · Valencia
9.50
2 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
W. Swedberg
W. Swedberg
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
Fer López
Fer López
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
M · Celta
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo
M · Celta
7.20
· 57 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% — — —
José Gayà D 78 6.30 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
E. Cömert D 90 6.50 — — 3 51 39% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.00 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 63 6.30 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
André Almeida M 63 6.50 — — 1 25 23% — — —
G. Rodríguez M 90 9.50 2 — 2 41 36% 6 1 —
Javi Guerra M 63 6.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — — 1 33 27% 2 — —
L. Ramazani F 90 6.60 — — 1 16 13% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 63 6.90 — — — 6 2% 1 — —
F. Ugrinic M 27 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
L. Beltrán M 27 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
Thierry Correia D 27 6.60 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 27 7.30 — 1 2 6 4% — — —
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
I. Radu G 90 6.00 — — — 25 12% — — —
Marcos Alonso D 90 6.30 — — — 83 73% — 1 —
D 90 6.20 — — — 48 48% 1 — —
Javi Rodríguez D 45 6.50 — — — 42 37% 1 1 —
M 90 6.70 — — — 63 56% — — —
I. Moriba M 90 7.50 1 1 1 40 33% 4 — —
Hugo Sotelo M 90 7.20 — — — 57 55% 2 1 —
Óscar Mingueza M 88 6.50 — — — 46 40% — — —
Hugo Álvarez F 45 6.70 — — — 33 32% 2 — —
Pablo Durán F 45 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 71 5.90 — — 3 19 15% — — —
Borja Iglesias F 19 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Fer López M 45 7.90 1 — 2 18 13% 1 — —
W. Swedberg M 45 7.90 1 1 2 14 12% 1 — —
Yoel Lago D 9 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Valencia win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Celta Vigo win.