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La Liga · Regular Season - 30 April 05, 2026 16:15 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
#9 · 49 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Celta Vigo
#6 · 54 pts
G. Rodriguez 12'
G. Rodriguez (ast. U. Sadiq) 90'
56' I. Moriba
60' (ast. W. Swedberg) F. Lopez
81' (ast. I. Moriba) W. Swedberg
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Celta Vigo 28%). The final result was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Celta Vigo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
5
0.81
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
2
42%
Possession
58%
6
Corners
0
19
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽G. Rodriguez
12'
43'
Javi Rodríguez
44'
Marcos Alonso
46'
W. Swedberg / H. Alvarez ↕
46'
J. El Abdellaoui / J. Rodriguez ↕
46'
F. Lopez / P. Duran ↕
56'
I. Moriba⚽
60'
ast. W. Swedberg · F. Lopez⚽
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
63'
↕ A. Almeida / T. Rendall
63'
↕ U. Nunez / F. Ugrinic
63'
↕ J. Guerra / L. Beltran
63'
71'
Hugo Sotelo
71'
B. Iglesias / F. Jutgla ↕
↕ J. Gaya / A. Danjuma
78'
81'
ast. I. Moriba · W. Swedberg⚽
Guido Rodríguez
84'
88'
Y. Lago / O. Mingueza ↕
⚽G. Rodriguez · ast. U. Sadiq
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.46%
Valencia
29.19%
X
28.35%
Celta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Celta Vigo) 28.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.21
0.81
-0.4
Celta
0.99
1.04
+0.05
xG dominance was balanced (0.81 – 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 38 94
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 38 86
3 Villarreal Villarreal 38 72
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 38 69
5 Real Betis Real Betis 38 60
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 38 54
7 Getafe Getafe 38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 38 50
9 Valencia Valencia 38 49
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 38 46
11 Espanyol Espanyol 38 46
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 38 45
13 Sevilla Sevilla 38 43
14 Alaves Alaves 38 43
15 Elche Elche 38 43
16 Levante Levante 38 42
17 Osasuna Osasuna 38 42
18 Mallorca Mallorca 38 42
19 Girona Girona 38 41
20 Oviedo Oviedo 38 29
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 6.20
14 José Gayà José Gayà 78' D 6.30
24 Eray Cömert Eray Cömert D 6.50
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.00
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 63' D 6.30
10 André Almeida André Almeida 63' M 6.50
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez 2 ⚽ M 9.50
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 63' M 6.20
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 7.00
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani F 6.60
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 63' F 6.90
Bench
16 Diego López Diego López F
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 27' M 6.30
15 L. Beltrán L. Beltrán 27' M 6.70
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia 27' D 6.60
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 1 👟 27' F 7.30
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3-4-3
13 Ionuț Radu Ionuț Radu G 6.00
20 Marcos Alonso Marcos Alonso D 6.30
4
D 6.20
32 Javi Rodríguez Javi Rodríguez 45' D 6.50
5
M 6.70
6 I. Moriba I. Moriba 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.50
22 Hugo Sotelo Hugo Sotelo M 7.20
3 Óscar Mingueza Óscar Mingueza 88' M 6.50
23 Hugo Álvarez Hugo Álvarez 45' F 6.70
18 Pablo Durán Pablo Durán 45' F 6.70
9 Ferran Jutglà Ferran Jutglà 71' F 5.90
Bench
14 Alvaro Núñez Alvaro Núñez D
36 Andrés Antañón Andrés Antañón M
7 Borja Iglesias Borja Iglesias 19' F 6.50
8 Fer López Fer López 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.90
17 Javi Rueda Javi Rueda D
19 W. Swedberg W. Swedberg 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 7.90
29 Yoel Lago Yoel Lago 9' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Guido Rodríguez
Guido Rodríguez
M · Valencia
9.50
2 ⚽
2 shots · 41 pass
W. Swedberg
W. Swedberg
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 14 pass
Fer López
Fer López
M · Celta
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
M · Celta
7.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 40 pass
Umar Sadiq
Umar Sadiq
F · Valencia
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 6 pass
Hugo Sotelo
Hugo Sotelo
M · Celta
7.20
· 57 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% — — —
José Gayà D 78 6.30 — — 1 23 15% 1 — —
Eray Cömert D 90 6.50 — — 3 51 39% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.00 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Unai Núñez D 63 6.30 — — — 23 17% 2 — —
André Almeida M 63 6.50 — — 1 25 23% — — —
Guido Rodríguez M 90 9.50 2 — 2 41 36% 6 1 —
Javi Guerra M 63 6.20 — — — 17 15% 1 — —
Luis Rioja M 90 7.00 — — 1 33 27% 2 — —
Largie Ramazani F 90 6.60 — — 1 16 13% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 63 6.90 — — — 6 2% 1 — —
Filip Ugrinić M 27 6.30 — — — 14 12% — — —
L. Beltrán M 27 6.70 — — — 12 10% — — —
Thierry Correia D 27 6.60 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
Umar Sadiq F 27 7.30 — 1 2 6 4% — — —
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ionuț Radu G 90 6.00 — — — 25 12% — — —
Marcos Alonso D 90 6.30 — — — 83 73% — 1 —
D 90 6.20 — — — 48 48% 1 — —
Javi Rodríguez D 45 6.50 — — — 42 37% 1 1 —
M 90 6.70 — — — 63 56% — — —
I. Moriba M 90 7.50 1 1 1 40 33% 4 — —
Hugo Sotelo M 90 7.20 — — — 57 55% 2 1 —
Óscar Mingueza M 88 6.50 — — — 46 40% — — —
Hugo Álvarez F 45 6.70 — — — 33 32% 2 — —
Pablo Durán F 45 6.70 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Ferran Jutglà F 71 5.90 — — 3 19 15% — — —
Borja Iglesias F 19 6.50 — — — 2 2% — — —
Fer López M 45 7.90 1 — 2 18 13% 1 — —
W. Swedberg M 45 7.90 1 1 2 14 12% 1 — —
Yoel Lago D 9 6.30 — — — — — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Valencia win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Celta Vigo win.