The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Celta Vigo 32%). The final result was Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo. In 2 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celta Vigo.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
3
0.57
Actual xG
0.66
3
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
1
Corners
2
11
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. De Haas
38'
S. Dimitrievski
39'
J. De Haas
/ M. Diakhaby
46'
57'
S. Carreira
57'
W. Swedberg
/
H. Alvarez
R. Sato
/ U. Sadiq
57'
64'
P. Duran
/
F. Jutgla
64'
J. Rueda
/
J. El Abdellaoui
64'
I. Aspas
/
J. Galan
67'
J. Rueda
J. Gaya
/ P. Maffeo
69'
F. Ugrinic
/ A. Dieng
69'
77'
I. Moriba
/
A. Febas
80'
I. Radu
A. Danjuma
/ H. Duro
83'
Pre-match prediction
34.41%
Valencia
32.6%
X ←
32.99%
Celta
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.6%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
0.57
-1.13
0.92
0.66
-0.26
xG dominance was balanced (0.57 – 0.66).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
S. Dimitrievski
G
14
José Gayà
69'
D
José Gayà
69'
D
12
J. de Haas
45'
D
J. de Haas
45'
D
18
Pepelu
D
Pepelu
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
21
Jesús Vázquez
D
Jesús Vázquez
D
8
Javi Guerra
M
Javi Guerra
M
2
Guido Rodríguez
M
Guido Rodríguez
M
23
F. Ugrinic
69'
M
F. Ugrinic
69'
M
39
Ryunosuke Sato
57'
M
Ryunosuke Sato
57'
M
7
A. Danjuma
83'
F
A. Danjuma
83'
F
Bench
15
A. Dieng
24'
M
A. Dieng
24'
M
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
13
Cristian Rivero
G
Cristian Rivero
G
19
Dani Raba
F
Dani Raba
F
27
David Otorbi
F
David Otorbi
F
9
Hugo Duro
10'
F
Hugo Duro
10'
F
36
Iker Córdoba
D
Iker Córdoba
D
38
J. Dura
M
J. Dura
M
41
Marcos Navarro
D
Marcos Navarro
D
4
M. Diakhaby
48'
D
M. Diakhaby
48'
D
24
Pablo Maffeo
24'
D
Pablo Maffeo
24'
D
6
Umar Sadiq
36'
F
Umar Sadiq
36'
F
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
3
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
20
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
22
Javi Galán
64'
M
Javi Galán
64'
M
14
Aleix Febas
77'
M
Aleix Febas
77'
M
8
Miguel Román
M
Miguel Román
M
5
Sergio Carreira
M
Sergio Carreira
M
23
Hugo Álvarez
57'
F
Hugo Álvarez
57'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
64'
F
Ferran Jutglà
64'
F
39
J. El Abdellaoui
64'
F
J. El Abdellaoui
64'
F
Bench
1
A. Bayındır
G
A. Bayındır
G
4
A. Faye
D
A. Faye
D
15
Álvaro Núñez
D
Álvaro Núñez
D
7
Borja Iglesias
F
Borja Iglesias
F
2
C. Starfelt
D
C. Starfelt
D
30
H. Burcio
M
H. Burcio
M
16
Hugo González
M
Hugo González
M
10
Iago Aspas
29'
F
Iago Aspas
29'
F
6
I. Moriba
16'
M
I. Moriba
16'
M
17
Javi Rueda
29'
D
Javi Rueda
29'
D
11
Pablo Durán
29'
F
Pablo Durán
29'
F
19
W. Swedberg
36'
M
W. Swedberg
36'
M
Best on the pitch
César Tárrega
D · Valencia
7.60
· 54 pass
Guido Rodríguez
M · Valencia
7.50
· 62 pass
Pepelu
D · Valencia
7.30
· 80 pass
F. Ugrinic
M · Valencia
7.30
1 shots
· 41 pass
Miguel Román
M · Celta
7.20
· 85 pass
Marcos Alonso
D · Celta
7.20
2 shots
· 105 pass
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| José Gayà | D | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. de Haas | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Pepelu | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 80 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| César Tárrega | D | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 69 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryunosuke Sato | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Danjuma | F | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Dieng | M | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| M. Diakhaby | D | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 105 | 97% | 2 | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 83 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Galán | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Aleix Febas | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Miguel Román | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 85 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. El Abdellaoui | F | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| I. Moriba | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Valencia win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Celta Vigo win.