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Valencia - Newcastle

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 21:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.58%
Win
Valencia
32.02%
Draw
34.4%
Win
Newcastle
1.26
Expected xG
1.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.06%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 34%
Double Chance
1X 66%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newcastle a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Valencia. Expected goals are 1.3 for Valencia and 1.6 for Newcastle (total 2.9), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.06% probability.

Season Stats

Valencia
2W 0D 2L
Newcastle
1W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
2.0
1.5
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
50%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Valencia
1W 0D 1L · at home
Newcastle
0W 1D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Valencia Newcastle →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8% 9.2% 7.3% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.6% 9.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.3% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.9% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Derby 1–2
L Castellón 1–2
W Eldense 3–0
L Petro de Luanda 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
D Gateshead 1–1
W Darlington 1883 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Valencia Valencia
Attack
44
Defence
63
Form
59
Newcastle Newcastle
Attack
49
Defence
87
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valencia vs Newcastle?
The model gives Valencia a 33% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Newcastle win.
How many goals are expected in Valencia vs Newcastle?
Expected goals: Valencia 1.3, Newcastle 1.6 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Valencia vs Newcastle?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.06%.