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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 14, 2026 19:00
Valencia
#11 · 43 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Rayo Vallecano
#10 · 44 pts
D. Lopez (ast. J. Guerra) 40'
20' (ast. G. Gumbau) F. Lejeune

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 30%). The final result was Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
0.69
Actual xG
1.21
2
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
1
19
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Renzo Saravia
6'
8'
(missed pen.) R. Nteka⚽
20'
ast. G. Gumbau · F. Lejeune⚽
↕ Renzo Saravia / U. Nunez
32'
⚽D. Lopez · ast. J. Guerra
40'
56'
R. Nteka
60'
Alemao / R. Nteka ↕
60'
J. de Frutos / F. Perez ↕
61'
P. Ciss / O. Valentin ↕
↕ J. Guerra / L. Ramazani
61'
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
61'
↕ Pepelu / F. Ugrinic
61'
↕ J. Gaya / J. Vazquez
63'
67'
U. Lopez / G. Gumbau ↕
73'
A. Ratiu / I. Balliu ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.23%
Valencia
26.41%
X ←
30.37%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.36
0.69
-0.67
Rayo
1.09
1.21
+0.12
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 36 91
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 36 80
3 Villarreal Villarreal 36 69
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 36 66
5 Real Betis Real Betis 36 57
6 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 36 50
7 Getafe Getafe 36 48
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 36 45
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 36 44
10 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 44
11 Valencia Valencia 36 43
12 Sevilla Sevilla 36 43
13 Osasuna Osasuna 36 42
14 Espanyol Espanyol 36 42
15 Girona Girona 36 40
16 Alaves Alaves 36 40
17 Elche Elche 36 39
18 Mallorca Mallorca 36 39
19 Levante Levante 36 39
20 Oviedo Oviedo 36 29
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 Stole Dimitrievski Stole Dimitrievski G 6.90
14 José Luis Gayà José Luis Gayà 63' D 7.20
24 Eray Cömert Eray Cömert D 7.00
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 7.00
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 32' D 5.60
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 6.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 7.00
18 Pepelu Pepelu 61' M 6.90
16 Diego López Diego López 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 Javier Guerra Javier Guerra 1 👟 61' F 7.30
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 61' F 5.90
Bench
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
7 Arnaut Danjuma Arnaut Danjuma F
22 Baptiste Santamaria Baptiste Santamaria M
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba F
23 Filip Ugrinić Filip Ugrinić 37' M 6.70
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez 35' D 7.00
25 Julen Agirrezabala Julen Agirrezabala G
17 Largie Ramazani Largie Ramazani 37' F 6.50
26 Rubén Iranzo Rubén Iranzo D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia D
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 37' F 6.30
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 66' D 7.30
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 6.70
3 Josep Chavarría Josep Chavarría D 6.30
32 Nobel Mendy Nobel Mendy D 7.30
24 Florian Lejeune Florian Lejeune 1 ⚽ D 7.90
20 Iván Balliu Iván Balliu 73' D 6.60
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 1 👟 67' M 7.90
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín 61' M 6.30
22 Pacha Pacha M 7.30
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz M 6.30
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 60' M 6.20
11 Randy Nteka Randy Nteka 60' F 5.30
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin D
9 Alemão Alemão 38' F 6.30
2 A. Rațiu A. Rațiu 25' D 6.60
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín F
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 38' F 6.20
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
30 Juanpe Juanpe G
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo M
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss Pathé Ismaël Ciss 37' M 7.50
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello F
17 Unai López Unai López 31' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Diego López
Diego López
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau
M · Rayo
7.90
1 👟
· 33 pass
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 57 pass
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
Pathé Ismaël Ciss
M · Rayo
7.50
· 22 pass
Unai Núñez
Unai Núñez
D · Valencia
7.30
· 47 pass
Pacha
Pacha
M · Rayo
7.30
· 34 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Stole Dimitrievski G 98 6.90 — — — 30 22% — — —
José Luis Gayà D 63 7.20 — — — 26 24% 2 — —
Eray Cömert D 98 7.00 — — 1 62 49% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 98 7.00 — — 1 35 26% 3 — —
Renzo Saravia D 32 5.60 — — — 16 14% 1 1 —
Luis Rioja M 98 6.90 — — — 28 17% 2 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 98 7.00 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
Pepelu M 61 6.90 — — — 39 36% — — —
Diego López M 98 7.90 1 — 1 42 32% 2 — —
Javier Guerra F 61 7.30 — 1 4 22 18% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 61 5.90 — — — 11 5% — — —
Filip Ugrinić M 37 6.70 — — — 19 15% — — —
Jesús Vázquez D 35 7.00 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Largie Ramazani F 37 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Umar Sadiq F 37 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Unai Núñez D 66 7.30 — — — 47 39% 3 — —
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 98 6.70 — — — 45 27% — — —
Josep Chavarría D 98 6.30 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
Nobel Mendy D 98 7.30 — — — 40 35% 2 — —
Florian Lejeune D 98 7.90 1 — 1 57 43% 2 — —
Iván Balliu D 73 6.60 — — — 31 26% 2 — —
Gerard Gumbau M 67 7.90 — 1 — 33 29% 6 — —
Óscar Valentín M 61 6.30 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Pacha M 98 7.30 — — — 34 22% 2 — —
Pedro Díaz M 98 6.30 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Fran Pérez M 60 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
Randy Nteka F 60 5.30 — — 2 10 6% — 1 —
Alemão F 38 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
A. Rațiu D 25 6.60 — — — 17 12% — — —
Jorge de Frutos F 38 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
Pathé Ismaël Ciss M 37 7.50 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
Unai López M 31 6.70 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Valencia win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Rayo Vallecano win.