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La Liga · Regular Season - 36 May 14, 2026 19:00 Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia
Valencia
#20 · 1 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Rayo Vallecano
#14 · 4 pts
D. Lopez (ast. J. Guerra) 40'
20' (ast. G. Gumbau) F. Lejeune
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valencia a 43% win probability (draw 26%, Rayo Vallecano 30%). The final result was Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. In 1 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
0.69
Actual xG
1.21
2
Saves
2
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
1
19
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Renzo Saravia
6'
8'
(missed pen.) R. Nteka⚽
20'
ast. G. Gumbau · F. Lejeune⚽
↕ Renzo Saravia / U. Nunez
32'
⚽D. Lopez · ast. J. Guerra
40'
56'
R. Nteka
60'
Alemao / R. Nteka ↕
60'
J. de Frutos / F. Perez ↕
61'
P. Ciss / O. Valentin ↕
↕ J. Guerra / L. Ramazani
61'
↕ H. Duro / U. Sadiq
61'
↕ Pepelu / F. Ugrinic
61'
↕ J. Gaya / J. Vazquez
63'
67'
U. Lopez / G. Gumbau ↕
73'
A. Ratiu / I. Balliu ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.23%
Valencia
26.41%
X ←
30.37%
Rayo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.41% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.36
0.69
-0.67
Rayo
1.09
1.21
+0.12
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.69). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Alaves Alaves 5 10
3 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
10 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
11 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
12 Athletic Club Athletic Club 4 6
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4 4
15 Getafe Getafe 4 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 4 1
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 6.90
14 José Gayà José Gayà 63' D 7.20
24 E. Cömert E. Cömert D 7.00
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 7.00
20 Renzo Saravia Renzo Saravia 32' D 5.60
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 6.90
2 Guido Rodríguez Guido Rodríguez M 7.00
18 Pepelu Pepelu 61' M 6.90
16 Diego López Diego López 1 ⚽ M 7.90
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 1 👟 61' F 7.30
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 61' F 5.90
Bench
7 A. Danjuma A. Danjuma F
10 André Almeida André Almeida M
22 B. Santamaría B. Santamaría M
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba F
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 37' M 6.70
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez 35' D 7.00
25 Julen Agirrezabala Julen Agirrezabala G
17 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani 37' F 6.50
26 Rubén Iranzo Rubén Iranzo D
12 Thierry Correia Thierry Correia D
6 Umar Sadiq Umar Sadiq 37' F 6.30
4 Unai Núñez Unai Núñez 66' D 7.30
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
13 Augusto Batalla Augusto Batalla G 6.70
3 Pep Chavarría Pep Chavarría D 6.30
32 N. Mendy N. Mendy D 7.30
24 F. Lejeune F. Lejeune 1 ⚽ D 7.90
20 I. Balliu I. Balliu 73' D 6.60
15 Gerard Gumbau Gerard Gumbau 1 👟 67' M 7.90
23 Óscar Valentín Óscar Valentín 61' M 6.30
22 A. Espino A. Espino M 7.30
4 Pedro Díaz Pedro Díaz M 6.30
21 Fran Pérez Fran Pérez 60' M 6.20
11 R. Nteka R. Nteka 60' F 5.30
Bench
16 Abdul Mumin Abdul Mumin D
9 Alemão Alemão 38' F 6.30
2 A. Rațiu A. Rațiu 25' D 6.60
14 Carlos Martín Carlos Martín F
1 Dani Cárdenas Dani Cárdenas G
19 Jorge de Frutos Jorge de Frutos 38' F 6.20
33 Jozhua Vertrouwd Jozhua Vertrouwd D
30 Juanpe Juanpe G
8 Óscar Trejo Óscar Trejo M
6 P. Ciss P. Ciss 37' M 7.50
10 Sergio Camello Sergio Camello F
17 Unai López Unai López 31' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Diego López
Diego López
M · Valencia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau
M · Rayo
7.90
1 👟
· 33 pass
F. Lejeune
F. Lejeune
D · Rayo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 57 pass
P. Ciss
P. Ciss
M · Rayo
7.50
· 22 pass
Unai Núñez
Unai Núñez
D · Valencia
7.30
· 47 pass
A. Espino
A. Espino
M · Rayo
7.30
· 34 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 98 6.90 — — — 30 22% — — —
José Gayà D 63 7.20 — — — 26 24% 2 — —
E. Cömert D 98 7.00 — — 1 62 49% 3 — —
César Tárrega D 98 7.00 — — 1 35 26% 3 — —
Renzo Saravia D 32 5.60 — — — 16 14% 1 1 —
Luis Rioja M 98 6.90 — — — 28 17% 2 — —
Guido Rodríguez M 98 7.00 — — — 53 47% 1 — —
Pepelu M 61 6.90 — — — 39 36% — — —
Diego López M 98 7.90 1 — 1 42 32% 2 — —
Javi Guerra F 61 7.30 — 1 4 22 18% 1 — —
Hugo Duro F 61 5.90 — — — 11 5% — — —
F. Ugrinic M 37 6.70 — — — 19 15% — — —
Jesús Vázquez D 35 7.00 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
L. Ramazani F 37 6.50 — — — 4 4% — — —
Umar Sadiq F 37 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Unai Núñez D 66 7.30 — — — 47 39% 3 — —
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Augusto Batalla G 98 6.70 — — — 45 27% — — —
Pep Chavarría D 98 6.30 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
N. Mendy D 98 7.30 — — — 40 35% 2 — —
F. Lejeune D 98 7.90 1 — 1 57 43% 2 — —
I. Balliu D 73 6.60 — — — 31 26% 2 — —
Gerard Gumbau M 67 7.90 — 1 — 33 29% 6 — —
Óscar Valentín M 61 6.30 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
A. Espino M 98 7.30 — — — 34 22% 2 — —
Pedro Díaz M 98 6.30 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
Fran Pérez M 60 6.20 — — — 14 11% — — —
R. Nteka F 60 5.30 — — 2 10 6% — 1 —
Alemão F 38 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
A. Rațiu D 25 6.60 — — — 17 12% — — —
Jorge de Frutos F 38 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
P. Ciss M 37 7.50 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
Unai López M 31 6.70 — — — 18 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
The final score was Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Valencia win, 26% to a draw, and 30% to an Rayo Vallecano win.