83'
(ast. F. Garcia)
P. Garcia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Betis a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Valencia 33%). The final result was Valencia 0–1 Real Betis. In 2 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Real Betis.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
0.70
2
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
7
Corners
2
13
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
R. Sato
26'
42'
J. Firpo
P. Maffeo
/ L. Rioja
55'
A. Danjuma
/ F. Ugrinic
55'
H. Duro
/ U. Sadiq
55'
59'
Isco
/
R. Riquelme
59'
F. Garcia
/
J. Firpo
71'
H. Bellerin
/
A. Ortiz
71'
T. Parrott
/
C. Hernandez
79'
P. Garcia
/
P. Fornals
83'
ast. F. Garcia ·
P. Garcia⚽
G. Rodriguez
/ A. Dieng
88'
Pepelu
/ D. Otorbi
88'
M. Diakhaby
89'
Pre-match prediction
33.57%
Valencia
32.37%
X
34.06%
Real ←
we assigned to the actual result (Real Betis)
34.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.15
1.17
+0.02
1.20
0.70
-0.51
Valencia dominated by xG (1.17 vs 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
S. Dimitrievski
G
S. Dimitrievski
G
21
Jesús Vázquez
D
Jesús Vázquez
D
4
M. Diakhaby
D
M. Diakhaby
D
18
Pepelu
88'
D
Pepelu
88'
D
5
César Tárrega
D
César Tárrega
D
24
Pablo Maffeo
55'
D
Pablo Maffeo
55'
D
7
A. Danjuma
55'
M
A. Danjuma
55'
M
8
Javi Guerra
M
Javi Guerra
M
2
G. Rodríguez
88'
M
G. Rodríguez
88'
M
39
Ryunosuke Sato
M
Ryunosuke Sato
M
9
Hugo Duro
55'
F
Hugo Duro
55'
F
Bench
15
A. Dieng
7'
M
A. Dieng
7'
M
29
Alejandro Panach Olmo
D
Alejandro Panach Olmo
D
10
André Almeida
M
André Almeida
M
19
Dani Raba
F
Dani Raba
F
27
David Otorbi
7'
F
David Otorbi
7'
F
23
F. Ugrinic
40'
M
F. Ugrinic
40'
M
36
Iker Córdoba
D
Iker Córdoba
D
38
J. Dura
M
J. Dura
M
14
José Gayà
D
José Gayà
D
25
K. van Oevelen
G
K. van Oevelen
G
11
Luis Rioja
40'
F
Luis Rioja
40'
F
6
Umar Sadiq
40'
F
Umar Sadiq
40'
F
1
Álvaro Vallés
G
Álvaro Vallés
G
23
Junior Firpo
59'
D
Junior Firpo
59'
D
16
V. Gómez
D
V. Gómez
D
3
Diego Llorente
D
Diego Llorente
D
12
Ángel Ortiz
71'
D
Ángel Ortiz
71'
D
8
Pablo Fornals
79'
M
Pablo Fornals
79'
M
6
F. Bernal
M
F. Bernal
M
17
Rodrigo Riquelme
59'
M
Rodrigo Riquelme
59'
M
18
N. Deossa
M
N. Deossa
M
7
Antony
M
Antony
M
9
C. Hernández
71'
F
C. Hernández
71'
F
Bench
40
A. de Pablo
G
A. de Pablo
G
15
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
Álvaro Fidalgo
M
11
Fran García
1 👟
36'
D
Fran García
1 👟
36'
D
2
Héctor Bellerín
24'
D
Héctor Bellerín
24'
D
14
Iker Losada
F
Iker Losada
F
22
Isco
36'
M
Isco
36'
M
31
Manu González
G
Manu González
G
5
Marc Bartra
D
Marc Bartra
D
21
Marc Roca
M
Marc Roca
M
4
Natan
D
Natan
D
33
Pablo García
1 ⚽
16'
F
Pablo García
1 ⚽
16'
F
19
T. Parrott
24'
F
T. Parrott
24'
F
Best on the pitch
Álvaro Vallés
G · Real
8.20
· 23 pass
Pablo García
F · Real
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Javi Guerra
M · Valencia
7.30
· 42 pass
César Tárrega
D · Valencia
7.20
· 53 pass
V. Gómez
D · Real
7.20
· 61 pass
Diego Llorente
D · Real
7.20
· 48 pass
Valencia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dimitrievski | G | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Diakhaby | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Pepelu | D | 88 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| César Tárrega | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 55 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Danjuma | M | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Guerra | M | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Rodríguez | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Ryunosuke Sato | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hugo Duro | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Dieng | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| David Otorbi | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ugrinic | M | 40 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Real Betis — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Vallés | G | 95 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Junior Firpo | D | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Gómez | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Llorente | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Ángel Ortiz | D | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 5 | — | — |
| Pablo Fornals | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 65% | — | — | — |
| F. Bernal | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Riquelme | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| N. Deossa | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 59 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Antony | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Hernández | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Fran García | D | 36 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| Héctor Bellerín | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Isco | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo García | F | 16 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Real Betis?
The final score was Valencia 0–1 Real Betis.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Real Betis?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Valencia win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Real Betis win.