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La Liga · Regular Season - 10 October 24, 2026 18:30 Estadio de Mestalla, Valdivia
Valencia
#19 · 6 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Villarreal
#10 · 12 pts
José Luis García Vayá 38' (pen.)
69' (ast. Sergi Cardona Bermúdez) Alex Freeman
90'+6 (ast. Alberto Moleiro) Georges Mikautadze
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Villarreal a 47% win probability (draw 25%, Valencia 27%). The final result was Valencia 1–2 Villarreal. In 2 previous meetings, Valencia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Villarreal.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
19
5
Shots on target
3
1.17
Actual xG
1.52
1
Saves
4
38%
Possession
62%
6
Corners
9
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
↕ David Otorbi Ejededawe / Daniel Raba Antolín
14'
Daniel Raba Antolín
34'
36'
37'
Renato Veiga
⚽José Luis García Vayá (pen.)
38'
43'
Ayoze Pérez
59'
Tajon Buchanan
Pablo Maffeo
60'
Guido Rodríguez
62'
65'
Sergi Cardona Bermúdez / Juan Foyth ↕
65'
Alberto Moleiro / Ilias Akhomach Chakkour ↕
66'
Georges Mikautadze / Ayoze Pérez ↕
69'
ast. Sergi Cardona Bermúdez · Alex Freeman⚽
↕ Daniel Raba Antolín / Arnau Martínez López
70'
↕ Javi Guerra / Harvey Elliott
70'
↕ Pablo Maffeo / Filip Ugrinic
77'
↕ Justin De Haas / Hugo Duro
77'
78'
79'
Pape Gueye
82'
Santi Comesaña / Gerard Moreno ↕
87'
Pau Navarro / Tajon Buchanan ↕
Harvey Elliott
89'
Harvey Elliott
89'
90'+6
ast. Alberto Moleiro · Georges Mikautadze⚽
Pre-match prediction
27.28%
Valencia
25.05%
X
47.67%
Villarreal ←
we assigned to the actual result (Villarreal) 47.67% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Valencia
1.19
1.17
-0.02
Villarreal
2.23
1.52
-0.71
Villarreal dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 10 27
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 25
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 10 24
4 Real Betis Real Betis 10 20
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 10 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 10 17
7 Alaves Alaves 10 12
8 Athletic Club Athletic Club 9 12
9 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 10 12
10 Villarreal Villarreal 10 12
11 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 10 11
12 Osasuna Osasuna 10 11
13 Racing Santander Racing Santander 10 11
14 Levante Levante 10 10
15 Elche Elche 10 10
16 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 9
17 Getafe Getafe 10 9
18 Espanyol Espanyol 10 8
19 Valencia Valencia 10 6
20 Malaga Malaga 10 5
Lineups
Valencia Valencia 4-4-2
1 S. Dimitrievski S. Dimitrievski G 5.93
14 José Gayà José Gayà D 6.73
12 J. de Haas J. de Haas 77' D 6.22
5 César Tárrega César Tárrega D 6.46
24 Pablo Maffeo Pablo Maffeo 77' D 6.00
11 Luis Rioja Luis Rioja M 6.43
18 Pepelu Pepelu 1 ⚽ M 6.56
2 G. Rodríguez G. Rodríguez M 5.87
27 David Otorbi David Otorbi 14' M 6.07
7 A. Danjuma A. Danjuma F 6.32
8 Javi Guerra Javi Guerra 70' F 6.41
Bench
33 Aaron Mayol Aaron Mayol M 0.00
15 A. Dieng A. Dieng M 0.00
37 Aimar Blázquez Aimar Blázquez F 0.00
22 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 20' D 6.21
19 Dani Raba Dani Raba 56' F 5.95
23 F. Ugrinic F. Ugrinic 13' M 6.28
10 H. Elliott H. Elliott 19' M 5.44
9 Hugo Duro Hugo Duro 13' F 6.77
21 Jesús Vázquez Jesús Vázquez D 0.00
25 K. van Oevelen K. van Oevelen G 0.00
4 M. Diakhaby M. Diakhaby D 0.00
39 R. Sato R. Sato M 0.00
Villarreal Villarreal 4-4-2
25 P. Gulácsi P. Gulácsi G 7.15
3 A. Freeman A. Freeman 1 ⚽ D 7.22
12 Renato Veiga Renato Veiga D 6.53
8 J. Foyth J. Foyth 65' D 6.76
15 S. Mouriño S. Mouriño D 6.59
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 87' M 6.56
18 P. Gueye P. Gueye 79' M 5.94
16 C. Macia C. Macia M 6.24
11 Ilias Akhomach Ilias Akhomach 65' M 6.95
22 Ayoze Pérez Ayoze Pérez 66' F 6.31
7 Gerard Moreno Gerard Moreno 82' F 6.46
Bench
5 A. Diatta A. Diatta M 0.00
10 Alberto Moleiro Alberto Moleiro 1 👟 25' M 6.70
9 G. Mikautadze G. Mikautadze 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.78
2 Logan Costa Logan Costa D 0.00
1 Luíz Júnior Luíz Júnior G 0.00
27 N. El Jmili N. El Jmili F 0.00
6 Pau Navarro Pau Navarro 3' D 6.37
13 Rubén Gómez Rubén Gómez G 0.00
14 Santi Comesaña Santi Comesaña 8' M 6.27
23 Sergi Cardona Sergi Cardona 1 👟 25' D 6.84
21 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi F 0.00
Best on the pitch
G. Mikautadze
G. Mikautadze
F · Villarreal
7.78
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
A. Freeman
A. Freeman
D · Villarreal
7.22
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
P. Gulácsi
P. Gulácsi
G · Villarreal
7.15
· 15 pass
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach
M · Villarreal
6.95
2 shots · 22 pass
Sergi Cardona
Sergi Cardona
D · Villarreal
6.84
1 👟
· 18 pass
Hugo Duro
Hugo Duro
F · Valencia
6.77
1 shots · 4 pass
Valencia Valencia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Dimitrievski G 90 5.93 — — 0 40 25% 0 — —
José Gayà D 90 6.73 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
J. de Haas D 77 6.22 — — 0 23 17% 2 — —
César Tárrega D 90 6.46 — — 3 26 19% 0 — —
Pablo Maffeo D 77 6.00 — — 0 17 10% 1 1 —
Luis Rioja M 90 6.43 — — 0 31 27% 2 — —
Pepelu M 90 6.56 1 — 1 40 31% 1 — —
G. Rodríguez M 90 5.87 — — 0 43 35% 2 1 —
David Otorbi M 14 6.07 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
A. Danjuma F 90 6.32 — — 2 13 10% 0 — —
Javi Guerra F 70 6.41 — — 0 13 10% 4 — —
Arnau Martínez D 20 6.21 — — 0 17 12% 0 — —
Dani Raba F 56 5.95 — — 0 15 10% 0 1 —
F. Ugrinic M 13 6.28 — — 1 16 14% 2 — —
H. Elliott M 19 5.44 — — 0 8 7% 0 — 1
Hugo Duro F 13 6.77 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
Villarreal Villarreal — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Gulácsi G 90 7.15 — — 0 15 12% 0 — —
A. Freeman D 90 7.22 1 — 1 58 49% 2 — —
Renato Veiga D 90 6.53 — — 0 85 75% 1 1 —
J. Foyth D 65 6.76 — — 0 52 49% 0 — —
S. Mouriño D 90 6.59 — — 0 64 58% 2 — —
T. Buchanan M 87 6.56 — — 4 33 27% 0 1 —
P. Gueye M 79 5.94 — — 6 59 52% 1 — 1
C. Macia M 90 6.24 — — 1 56 46% 3 — —
Ilias Akhomach M 65 6.95 — — 2 22 19% 0 — —
Ayoze Pérez F 66 6.31 — — 1 6 4% 0 1 —
Gerard Moreno F 82 6.46 — — 1 37 32% 2 — —
Alberto Moleiro M 25 6.70 — 1 2 9 7% 0 — —
G. Mikautadze F 24 7.78 1 — 1 10 7% 0 — —
Pau Navarro D 3 6.37 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Santi Comesaña M 8 6.27 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
Sergi Cardona D 25 6.84 — 1 0 18 14% 4 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valencia vs Villarreal?
The final score was Valencia 1–2 Villarreal.
What did the model predict before Valencia vs Villarreal?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Valencia win, 25% to a draw, and 47% to an Villarreal win.