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Valenciennes - Chateauroux

National 1 May 15, 2026 19:30
Valenciennes
#10 · 36 pts
vs
Chateauroux
#16 · 29 pts
Weather at kick-off ⛅ Partly cloudy 12.4°C 💨 10 km/h 🌧️ 55% · Valenciennes
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.4%
Win
Valenciennes
33.95%
Draw
36.65%
Win
Chateauroux
0.93
Expected xG
1.03

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chateauroux a 36% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Valenciennes. Expected goals are 0.9 for Valenciennes and 1.0 for Chateauroux (total 2.0), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Valenciennes have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chateauroux.

Score Matrix
↕ Valenciennes Chateauroux →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1% 14.5% 7.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Valenciennes Valenciennes
L Bourg-en-bresse 01 1–0
D Sochaux 1–1
L Dijon 0–1
L Fleury 91 2–0
W Versailles 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
Chateauroux Chateauroux
W Sochaux 2–1
W Dijon 1–2
L Fleury 91 0–2
L Versailles 4–0
L Quevilly 3–5
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Valenciennes Valenciennes
Attack
18
Defence
72
Form
42
Chateauroux Chateauroux
Attack
35
Defence
50
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Valenciennes
1
Draw
0
Chateauroux
D 8 Aug 2025 National 1 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Dijon Dijon 31 62
2 Sochaux Sochaux 31 57
3 Fleury 91 Fleury 91 31 54
4 Rouen Rouen 31 52
5 Versailles Versailles 31 52
6 Orleans Orleans 31 51
7 Le Puy Foot Le Puy Foot 31 46
8 Caen Caen 31 40
9 Concarneau Concarneau 31 37
10 Valenciennes Valenciennes 31 36
11 Villefranche Villefranche 31 36
12 Aubagne Aubagne 31 34
13 Gobelins Gobelins 31 32
14 Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01 32 31
15 Quevilly Quevilly 31 30
16 Chateauroux Chateauroux 31 29
17 Stade Briochin Stade Briochin 31 26
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?
The model gives Valenciennes a 29% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 36% for an Chateauroux win.
How many goals are expected in Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?
Expected goals: Valenciennes 0.9, Chateauroux 1.0 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Valenciennes vs Chateauroux?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.5%.