Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — July 16, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 14 July 16, 2026 19:00 Intility Arena, Oslo

Valerenga

#7 · 20 pts

6 – 1

Final score

Aalesund

#13 · 13 pts

L. Haren (ast. H. Bjordal) 39'

L. Haren (ast. F. Thorvaldsen) 42'

F. Thorvaldsen (ast. M. Grundetjern) 45'+1

F. Thorvaldsen (ast. H. Bjordal) 53'

M. Ofkir (ast. H. Bjordal) 83'

M. Ofkir (ast. K. Finnsson) 89'

74' (ast. U. Charles) E. Osenbroch

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valerenga a 54% win probability (draw 20%, Aalesund 24%). The final result was Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.26

Actual xG

1.42

Saves

45%

Possession

55%

Corners

Tackles

Match Events

28'

U. Syversen / A. Kjelsen ↕

⚽L. Haren · ast. H. Bjordal

39'

⚽L. Haren · ast. F. Thorvaldsen

42'

⚽F. Thorvaldsen · ast. M. Grundetjern

45'+1

46'

H. Hammer / E. Hagen ↕

46'

E. Myrlid / K. Lonebu ↕

46'

E. Engqvist / S. Haram ↕

⚽F. Thorvaldsen · ast. H. Bjordal

53'

↕ L. Haren / P. Strand

58'

↕ A. Olsen / K. Tshiembe

72'

↕ M. Grundetjern / M. Ofkir

72'

↕ F. Thorvaldsen / G. Rajkovic

72'

74'

ast. U. Charles · E. Osenbroch⚽

⚽M. Ofkir · ast. H. Bjordal

83'

↕ C. Lange / M. Westergaard

84'

85'

I. Djantou / M. Christensen ↕

⚽M. Ofkir · ast. K. Finnsson

89'

Pre-match prediction

54.78%

Valerenga ←

20.84%

24.38%

Aalesund

we assigned to the actual result (Valerenga) 54.78% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Valerenga

2.70

2.26

-0.44

Aalesund

1.57

1.42

-0.15

Valerenga dominated by xG (2.26 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	35
2	Viking	14	34
3	Tromso	15	31
4	Lillestrom	14	25
5	Molde	14	23
6	Sarpsborg 08 FF	14	21
7	Valerenga	14	20
8	Brann	15	19
9	Rosenborg	14	18
10	Ham-Kam	14	18
11	Sandefjord	14	15
12	Fredrikstad	14	14
13	Aalesund	14	13
14	KFUM Oslo	14	12
15	Kristiansund BK	14	12
16	Start	15	10

Lineups

Valerenga 4-4-2

Oscar Hedvall G 7.00

Kolbeinn Finnsson 1 👟 D 7.50

Ivan Näsberg D 6.60

Aaron Kiil Olsen 72' D 6.90

Sebastian Jarl D 7.30

Carl Lange 84' M 6.60

Lucas Haren 2 ⚽ 58' M 8.90

Ambina Fidèle Brice M 7.50

Henrik Bjørdal 3 👟 M 8.90

Mathias Grundetjern 1 👟 72' F 7.20

Filip Thorvaldsen 2 ⚽ 1 👟 72' F 10.00

Bench

Alexander Svensen Ordal G

Gabriel Rajkovic 21' F 6.70

Hakon Sjatil D

Kevin Tshiembe 21' D 6.50

Magnus Westergaard 9' M 6.30

Mohamed Ofkir 2 ⚽ 21' M 8.60

Petter Strand 35' M 6.60

Promise Meliga F

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D

Aalesund 5-3-2

Tor Erik Larsen G 4.90

Kristoffer Nessø D 4.70

Ólafur Guðmundsson D 6.00

Aleksander Kjelsen 28' D 6.30

Simen Haram 45' D 5.60

Uba Charles 1 👟 D 5.70

Henrik Melland M 5.30

Elias Kristoffersen Hagen 45' M 6.50

Mathias Christensen 84' M 6.60

Kristian Lonebu 45' F 6.20

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch 1 ⚽ F 8.20

Bench

Elias Heggland Myrlid 48' F 6.20

Emil Engqvist 48' D 6.00

Hakon Butli Hammer 48' M 6.70

Ivan Djantou 9' F 6.20

Jakob Nyland Örsahl D

Luca Podlech G

Marius Andresen D

Philip Sandvik Aukland D

Ulrik Syversen 65' D 5.20

Best on the pitch

Filip Thorvaldsen

F · Valerenga

10.00

2 ⚽ 1 👟

4 shots · 21 pass

Lucas Haren

M · Valerenga

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 7 pass

Henrik Bjørdal

M · Valerenga

8.90

3 👟

3 shots · 54 pass

Mohamed Ofkir

M · Valerenga

8.60

2 ⚽

3 shots · 2 pass

Endre Hjertager Osenbroch

F · Aalesund

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

Kolbeinn Finnsson

D · Valerenga

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 37 pass

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Oscar Hedvall	G	93	7.00	—	—	—	29	16%	—	—	—
Kolbeinn Finnsson	D	93	7.50	—	1	1	37	29%	7	—	—
Ivan Näsberg	D	93	6.60	—	—	—	45	39%	—	—	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	72	6.90	—	—	—	30	28%	—	—	—
Sebastian Jarl	D	93	7.30	—	—	—	56	44%	2	—	—
Carl Lange	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	31	23%	2	—	—
Lucas Haren	M	58	8.90	2	—	3	7	6%	4	—	—
Ambina Fidèle Brice	M	93	7.50	—	—	1	37	34%	6	—	—
Henrik Bjørdal	M	93	8.90	—	3	3	54	46%	3	—	—
Mathias Grundetjern	F	72	7.20	—	1	1	18	12%	1	—	—
Filip Thorvaldsen	F	72	10.00	2	1	4	21	17%	1	—	—
Gabriel Rajkovic	F	21	6.70	—	—	1	4	3%	—	—	—
Kevin Tshiembe	D	21	6.50	—	—	1	16	15%	—	—	—
Magnus Westergaard	M	9	6.30	—	—	—	9	9%	—	—	—
Mohamed Ofkir	M	21	8.60	2	—	3	2	2%	—	—	—
Petter Strand	M	35	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Aalesund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Tor Erik Larsen	G	93	4.90	—	—	—	33	21%	—	—	—
Kristoffer Nessø	D	93	4.70	—	—	2	38	29%	1	—	—
Ólafur Guðmundsson	D	93	6.00	—	—	—	65	52%	5	—	—
Aleksander Kjelsen	D	28	6.30	—	—	—	13	13%	—	—	—
Simen Haram	D	45	5.60	—	—	—	29	24%	—	—	—
Uba Charles	D	93	5.70	—	1	1	30	20%	—	—	—
Henrik Melland	M	93	5.30	—	—	1	39	28%	—	—	—
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	30	26%	1	—	—
Mathias Christensen	M	84	6.60	—	—	4	52	47%	2	—	—
Kristian Lonebu	F	45	6.20	—	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch	F	93	8.20	1	—	3	20	16%	—	—	—
Elias Heggland Myrlid	F	48	6.20	—	—	1	15	13%	1	—	—
Emil Engqvist	D	48	6.00	—	—	—	26	24%	1	—	—
Hakon Butli Hammer	M	48	6.70	—	—	—	34	27%	2	—	—
Ivan Djantou	F	9	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Ulrik Syversen	D	65	5.20	—	—	—	30	28%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Aalesund?

The final score was Valerenga 6–1 Aalesund.

What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Aalesund?

The model assigned 54% probability to a Valerenga win, 20% to a draw, and 24% to an Aalesund win.