Valerenga 3–1 Brann — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — October 18, 2026

← Eliteserien

Eliteserien · Regular Season - 24 October 18, 2026 17:00 Intility Arena, Oslo

Valerenga

#10 · 29 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Brann

#9 · 29 pts

Sebastian Jarl 36'

Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren (ast. Mathias Grundetjern) 62'

Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren (ast. Håvard Nielsen) 81'

44' (ast. Joachim Soltvedt) Kristian Eriksen

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Valerenga a 43% win probability (draw 22%, Brann 34%). The final result was Valerenga 3–1 Brann. In 1 previous meetings, Valerenga have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Brann.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.80

Actual xG

2.81

Saves

32%

Possession

68%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

12'

⚽Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren (missed pen.)

14'

⚽Sebastian Jarl

36'

44'

ast. Joachim Soltvedt · Kristian Eriksen⚽

45'

Noah Jean Holm / Fredrik Knudsen ↕

↕ Ghayas Zahid / Fidel Brice Ambina

53'

Håkon Sjåtil

57'

⚽Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren · ast. Mathias Grundetjern

62'

71'

Jonas Tviberg Torsvik / Thore Pedersen ↕

↕ Carl Lange / Ivan Nasberg

76'

↕ Ole Christian Hammerfjell Saeter / Håvard Nielsen

76'

78'

Vetle Winger Dragsnes / Neraysho Kasanwirjo ↕

78'

Bård Finne / Saevar Atli Magnusson ↕

⚽Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren · ast. Håvard Nielsen

81'

↕ Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren / Kevin Ngoyi Tshiembe

86'

↕ Håkon Sjåtil / Gabriel Rajkovic

86'

90'+6

Jacob Lungi Sorensen

Pre-match prediction

43.26%

Valerenga ←

22.14%

34.59%

Brann

we assigned to the actual result (Valerenga) 43.26% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Valerenga

1.76

2.80

+1.04

Brann

1.57

2.81

+1.24

xG dominance was balanced (2.80 – 2.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Valerenga 4-4-2

O. Hedvall G 7.20

D. Gjengaar D 6.77

S. Jarl 1 ⚽ D 7.17

A. Kiil Olsen D 6.80

H. Sjåtil 86' D 6.35

L. Haren 2 ⚽ 86' M 8.21

C. Lange 76' M 6.66

G. Zahid 53' M 6.64

P. Strand M 6.36

O. Saeter 76' F 6.26

M. Grundetjern 1 👟 F 7.70

Bench

A. Jatta D 0.00

F. Ambina 37' M 6.47

G. Rajkovic 4' F 6.48

H. Nielsen 1 👟 14' F 6.92

I. Näsberg 14' D 6.09

K. Tshiembe 4' D 5.92

O. Holm M 0.00

S. Lønning G 0.00

V. Hedenstad D 0.00

Brann 4-3-3

S. Nilsen G 7.11

J. Soltvedt 1 👟 D 7.42

N. Kasanwirjo 78' D 6.21

F. Knudsen 45' D 6.53

T. Pedersen 71' D 6.05

E. Guðmundsson M 6.17

Jacob Lungi Sørensen M 6.33

K. Eriksen 1 ⚽ M 8.08

N. Castro F 6.49

S. Magnússon 78' F 6.41

N. Jensen Wassberg F 6.30

Bench

B. Finne 12' F 6.56

B. Haugen M 0.00

J. Lægreid F 0.00

J. Torsvik 19' D 5.76

L. Cornic D 0.00

M. Dyngeland G 0.00

N. Holm 45' F 6.66

V. Dragsnes 12' D 6.06

Best on the pitch

L. Haren

M · Valerenga

8.21

2 ⚽

8 shots · 18 pass

K. Eriksen

M · Brann

8.08

1 ⚽

6 shots · 36 pass

M. Grundetjern

F · Valerenga

7.70

1 👟

3 shots · 37 pass

J. Soltvedt

D · Brann

7.42

1 👟

1 shots · 95 pass

O. Hedvall

G · Valerenga

7.20

· 30 pass

S. Jarl

D · Valerenga

7.17

1 ⚽

1 shots · 29 pass

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Hedvall	G	90	7.20	—	—	0	30	13%	0	—	—
D. Gjengaar	D	90	6.77	—	—	1	31	25%	0	—	—
S. Jarl	D	90	7.17	1	—	1	29	22%	1	—	—
A. Kiil Olsen	D	90	6.80	—	—	1	28	23%	0	—	—
H. Sjåtil	D	86	6.35	—	—	0	28	21%	7	1	—
L. Haren	M	86	8.21	2	—	8	18	11%	0	—	—
C. Lange	M	76	6.66	—	—	2	34	31%	1	—	—
G. Zahid	M	53	6.64	—	—	2	13	10%	4	—	—
P. Strand	M	90	6.36	—	—	1	27	18%	1	—	—
O. Saeter	F	76	6.26	—	—	2	15	9%	0	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	90	7.70	—	1	3	37	25%	1	—	—
F. Ambina	M	37	6.47	—	—	1	12	9%	1	—	—
G. Rajkovic	F	4	6.48	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
H. Nielsen	F	14	6.92	—	1	0	5	1%	1	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	14	6.09	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
K. Tshiembe	D	4	5.92	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Brann — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Nilsen	G	90	7.11	—	—	0	35	25%	1	—	—
J. Soltvedt	D	90	7.42	—	1	1	95	78%	3	—	—
N. Kasanwirjo	D	78	6.21	—	—	0	61	55%	3	—	—
F. Knudsen	D	45	6.53	—	—	1	20	18%	0	—	—
T. Pedersen	D	71	6.05	—	—	0	56	49%	1	—	—
E. Guðmundsson	M	90	6.17	—	—	1	64	55%	0	—	—
Jacob Lungi Sørensen	M	90	6.33	—	—	2	77	69%	1	1	—
K. Eriksen	M	90	8.08	1	—	6	36	30%	3	—	—
N. Castro	F	90	6.49	—	—	3	53	40%	0	—	—
S. Magnússon	F	78	6.41	—	—	2	21	16%	0	—	—
N. Jensen Wassberg	F	90	6.30	—	—	0	71	64%	1	—	—
B. Finne	F	12	6.56	—	—	1	3	1%	0	—	—
J. Torsvik	D	19	5.76	—	—	2	17	14%	0	—	—
N. Holm	F	45	6.66	—	—	2	16	11%	1	—	—
V. Dragsnes	D	12	6.06	—	—	0	24	24%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Brann?

The final score was Valerenga 3–1 Brann.

What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Brann?

The model assigned 43% probability to a Valerenga win, 22% to a draw, and 34% to an Brann win.