86'
(ast. Y. Ibrahimaj)
M. Karlsbakk
90'+14
(ast. G. Nyheim)
K. Arierhi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 33%). The final result was Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
5
1.04
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
3
40%
Possession
60%
11
Corners
6
19
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
39'
L. Ranger
F. Ambina
45'+4
C. Lange
45'
F. Ambina
/ E. Sorensen
46'
46'
G. Nyheim
/
E. Kitolano
M. Grundetjern
/ F. Thorvaldsen
79'
80'
C. Jebara
/
Felix Va
80'
K. Arierhi
/
T. Olsen
H. Sjatil
/ V. Hedenstad
80'
86'
ast. Y. Ibrahimaj ·
M. Karlsbakk⚽
87'
S. Ottesen
/
Y. Paintsil
M. Westergaard
/ O. T. Holm
90'+1
90'+6
U. Jenssen
/
S. Drammeh
90'+10
G. Nyheim
A. Olsen
90'+11
90'+11
R. Gabrielsen
90'+14
P. Dahlberg
90'+14
ast. G. Nyheim ·
K. Arierhi⚽
90'
M. Karlsbakk
L. Haren
/ P. Strand
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.57%
Valerenga
32.26%
X
34.17%
Lillestrom ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom)
34.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.04
1.04
+0.01
1.11
0.80
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
2
K. Finnsson
D
K. Finnsson
D
37
Ivan Näsberg
D
Ivan Näsberg
D
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
Aaron Kiil Olsen
D
3
Hakon Sjatil
80'
D
Hakon Sjatil
80'
D
10
Carl Lange
M
Carl Lange
M
29
Ambina Fidèle Brice
45'
M
Ambina Fidèle Brice
45'
M
28
Magnus Westergaard
M
Magnus Westergaard
M
77
Lucas Haren
M
Lucas Haren
M
17
M. Grundetjern
79'
F
M. Grundetjern
79'
F
8
Henrik Bjørdal
F
Henrik Bjørdal
F
Bench
11
Elias Sørensen
57'
F
Elias Sørensen
57'
F
26
Filip Thorvaldsen
23'
F
Filip Thorvaldsen
23'
F
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
22'
D
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
22'
D
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
Pontus Dahlberg
G
26
Yaw Paintsil
87'
D
Yaw Paintsil
87'
D
5
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
2
Lars Ranger
D
Lars Ranger
D
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
1 👟
M
Y. Ibrahimaj
1 👟
M
20
Vá
80'
M
Vá
80'
M
17
E. Kitolano
45'
M
8
M. Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
M
M. Karlsbakk
1 ⚽
M
15
Salieu Drammeh
M
10
T. Lehne Olsen
80'
F
T. Lehne Olsen
80'
F
Bench
19
Camil Jebara
22'
F
Camil Jebara
22'
F
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1 👟
57'
F
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
1 👟
57'
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
1 ⚽
22'
F
Kparobo Arierhi
1 ⚽
22'
F
3
Sturla Ottesen
15'
D
Sturla Ottesen
15'
D
23
Ulrik Jenssen
6'
D
Ulrik Jenssen
6'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Karlsbakk
M · Lillestrom
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Ruben Gabrielsen
D · Lillestrom
7.90
1 shots
· 77 pass
Henrik Bjørdal
F · Valerenga
7.50
2 shots
· 30 pass
M. Grundetjern
F · Valerenga
7.30
· 22 pass
Pontus Dahlberg
G · Lillestrom
7.20
· 41 pass
Yaw Paintsil
D · Lillestrom
7.20
· 35 pass
Valerenga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| K. Finnsson | D | 102 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Ivan Näsberg | D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Aaron Kiil Olsen | D | 102 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hakon Sjatil | D | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Carl Lange | M | 102 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Ambina Fidèle Brice | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Magnus Westergaard | M | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas Haren | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Grundetjern | F | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Henrik Bjørdal | F | 102 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Elias Sørensen | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Filip Thorvaldsen | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Vegar Eggen Hedenstad | D | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Lillestrom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg | G | 102 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Yaw Paintsil | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 102 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 73% | — | — | — | |
| Ruben Gabrielsen | D | 102 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 72% | — | 1 | — |
| Lars Ranger | D | 102 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Ibrahimaj | M | 102 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Vá | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kitolano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Karlsbakk | M | 102 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Salieu Drammeh | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Lehne Olsen | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Camil Jebara | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim | F | 57 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kparobo Arierhi | F | 22 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Sturla Ottesen | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Ulrik Jenssen | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
The final score was Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom.
What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Lillestrom?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Valerenga win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Lillestrom win.