Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — April 19, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 5 April 19, 2026 14:30 Intility Arena, Oslo

Valerenga

#10 · 29 pts

0 – 2

Final score

Lillestrom

#6 · 39 pts

86' (ast. Y. Ibrahimaj) M. Karlsbakk

90'+14 (ast. G. Nyheim) K. Arierhi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lillestrom a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Valerenga 33%). The final result was Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom. In 1 previous meetings, Valerenga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lillestrom.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.04

Actual xG

0.80

Saves

40%

Possession

60%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

39'

L. Ranger

F. Ambina

45'+4

C. Lange

45'

↕ F. Ambina / E. Sorensen

46'

G. Nyheim / E. Kitolano ↕

↕ M. Grundetjern / F. Thorvaldsen

79'

80'

C. Jebara / Felix Va ↕

80'

K. Arierhi / T. Olsen ↕

↕ H. Sjatil / V. Hedenstad

80'

86'

ast. Y. Ibrahimaj · M. Karlsbakk⚽

87'

S. Ottesen / Y. Paintsil ↕

↕ M. Westergaard / O. T. Holm

90'+1

90'+6

U. Jenssen / S. Drammeh ↕

90'+10

G. Nyheim

A. Olsen

90'+11

R. Gabrielsen

90'+14

P. Dahlberg

90'+14

ast. G. Nyheim · K. Arierhi⚽

90'

M. Karlsbakk

↕ L. Haren / P. Strand

90'

Pre-match prediction

33.57%

Valerenga

32.26%

34.17%

Lillestrom ←

we assigned to the actual result (Lillestrom) 34.17% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Valerenga

1.04

+0.01

Lillestrom

1.11

0.80

-0.31

xG dominance was balanced (1.04 – 0.80). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	24	59
2	Bodo/Glimt	24	56
3	Molde	24	43
4	Rosenborg	24	40
5	Tromso	24	40
6	Lillestrom	24	39
7	Sarpsborg 08 FF	24	31
8	KFUM Oslo	24	30
9	Brann	24	29
10	Valerenga	24	29
11	Fredrikstad	24	29
12	Ham-Kam	24	26
13	Sandefjord	24	24
14	Aalesund	24	24
15	Kristiansund BK	24	20
16	Start	24	19

Lineups

Valerenga 4-4-2

G 6.60

K. Finnsson D 6.70

I. Näsberg D 6.90

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.60

H. Sjåtil 80' D 7.00

C. Lange M 6.30

F. Ambina 45' M 6.90

M. Westergaard M 7.00

L. Haren M 6.70

M. Grundetjern 79' F 7.30

H. Bjørdal F 7.50

Bench

E. Sørensen 57' F 6.30

Filip Thorvaldsen 23' F 6.30

V. Hedenstad 22' D 6.20

Lillestrom 4-1-4-1

P. Dahlberg G 7.20

Y. Paintsil 87' D 7.20

D 6.90

R. Gabrielsen D 7.90

L. Ranger D 7.00

Y. Ibrahimaj 1 👟 M 7.00

Vá 80' M 6.70

E. Kitolano 45' M 6.60

Markus Karlsbakk 1 ⚽ M 7.90

Salieu Drammeh M 6.30

T. Lehne Olsen 80' F 6.30

Bench

Camil Jebara 22' F 6.50

G. Nyheim 1 👟 57' F 6.70

Kparobo Arierhi 1 ⚽ 22' F 6.50

S. Ottesen 15' D 6.70

U. Yttergård Jenssen 6' D

Best on the pitch

Markus Karlsbakk

M · Lillestrom

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 48 pass

R. Gabrielsen

D · Lillestrom

7.90

1 shots · 77 pass

H. Bjørdal

F · Valerenga

7.50

2 shots · 30 pass

M. Grundetjern

F · Valerenga

7.30

· 22 pass

P. Dahlberg

G · Lillestrom

7.20

· 41 pass

Y. Paintsil

D · Lillestrom

7.20

· 35 pass

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	102	6.60	—	—	—	32	22%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	102	6.70	—	—	1	31	24%	2	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	102	6.90	—	—	1	29	27%	1	—	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	102	6.60	—	—	—	30	26%	1	1	—
H. Sjåtil	D	80	7.00	—	—	—	26	17%	3	—	—
C. Lange	M	102	6.30	—	—	1	33	30%	2	1	—
F. Ambina	M	45	6.90	—	—	2	13	12%	2	1	—
M. Westergaard	M	91	7.00	—	—	—	22	18%	5	—	—
L. Haren	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	25	15%	—	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	79	7.30	—	—	—	22	11%	1	—	—
H. Bjørdal	F	102	7.50	—	—	2	30	23%	1	—	—
E. Sørensen	F	57	6.30	—	—	3	10	5%	—	—	—
Filip Thorvaldsen	F	23	6.30	—	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
V. Hedenstad	D	22	6.20	—	—	—	8	6%	1	—	—

Lillestrom — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Dahlberg	G	102	7.20	—	—	—	41	30%	—	—	—
Y. Paintsil	D	87	7.20	—	—	—	35	31%	4	—	—
	D	102	6.90	—	—	1	86	73%	—	—	—
R. Gabrielsen	D	102	7.90	—	—	1	77	72%	—	1	—
L. Ranger	D	102	7.00	—	—	2	45	40%	1	1	—
Y. Ibrahimaj	M	102	7.00	—	1	—	57	52%	2	—	—
Vá	M	80	6.70	—	—	2	17	14%	2	—	—
E. Kitolano	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	21	16%	1	—	—
Markus Karlsbakk	M	102	7.90	1	—	2	48	39%	2	1	—
Salieu Drammeh	M	96	6.30	—	—	1	34	26%	—	—	—
T. Lehne Olsen	F	80	6.30	—	—	1	16	11%	—	—	—
Camil Jebara	F	22	6.50	—	—	—	12	7%	—	—	—
G. Nyheim	F	57	6.70	—	1	—	22	18%	1	1	—
Kparobo Arierhi	F	22	6.50	1	—	1	4	2%	—	—	—
S. Ottesen	D	15	6.70	—	—	—	6	1%	1	—	—
U. Yttergård Jenssen	D	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Lillestrom?

The final score was Valerenga 0–2 Lillestrom.

What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Lillestrom?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Valerenga win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Lillestrom win.