Valerenga 3–4 Molde — pre-match prediction — Eliteserien — August 30, 2026

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Eliteserien · Regular Season - 19 August 30, 2026 17:00 Intility Arena, Oslo

Valerenga

#12 · 23 pts

3 – 4

Final score

Molde

#4 · 36 pts

L. Haren (ast. G. Rajkovic) 19'

M. Grundetjern 21'

C. Lange (ast. K. Finnsson) 45'+3

11' (ast. E. Breivik) E. Hestad

30' (ast. O. Spiten-Nysaeter) S. Granaas

40' (ast. A. Posiadala) J. Abdullai

45' C. Zady

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Molde a 49% win probability (draw 18%, Valerenga 32%). The final result was Valerenga 3–4 Molde. In 1 previous meetings, Valerenga have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Molde.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.57

Actual xG

1.73

Saves

50%

Possession

50%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

11'

ast. E. Breivik · E. Hestad⚽

⚽L. Haren · ast. G. Rajkovic

19'

⚽M. Grundetjern

21'

29'

C. Zady / E. Hestad ↕

30'

ast. O. Spiten-Nysaeter · S. Granaas⚽

40'

ast. A. Posiadala · J. Abdullai⚽

⚽C. Lange · ast. K. Finnsson

45'+3

45'

C. Zady⚽

↕ G. Rajkovic / P. Strand

55'

61'

M. Daehli / O. Spiten-Nysaeter ↕

61'

V. Bender / M. Linnes ↕

70'

E. Breivik

A. Olsen

75'

76'

S. Granaas

↕ L. Haren / O. Saeter

77'

↕ M. Westergaard / G. Zahid

77'

↕ I. Nasberg / K. Tshiembe

78'

M. Grundetjern

78'

I. Nasberg

79'

80'

N. Odegard / S. Granaas ↕

80'

T. Kone-Doherty / J. Abdullai ↕

↕ C. Lange / O. T. Holm

88'

Pre-match prediction

32.04%

Valerenga

18.46%

49.5%

Molde ←

we assigned to the actual result (Molde) 49.5% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Valerenga

2.18

1.57

-0.61

Molde

2.94

1.73

-1.21

xG dominance was balanced (1.57 – 1.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Viking	21	50
2	Bodo/Glimt	21	50
3	Tromso	21	38
4	Molde	21	36
5	Rosenborg	21	33
6	Lillestrom	21	32
7	Brann	21	29
8	Fredrikstad	21	28
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	21	25
10	KFUM Oslo	21	25
11	Sandefjord	21	23
12	Valerenga	21	23
13	Ham-Kam	21	23
14	Aalesund	21	21
15	Kristiansund BK	21	19
16	Start	21	16

Lineups

Valerenga 4-4-2

O. Hedvall G 6.60

K. Finnsson 1 👟 D 6.20

I. Näsberg 77' D 6.20

Aaron Kiil Olsen D 6.00

H. Sjåtil D 5.90

L. Haren 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.70

M. Westergaard 77' M 6.90

C. Lange 1 ⚽ 88' M 8.20

H. Bjørdal M 7.00

M. Grundetjern 1 ⚽ F 7.50

G. Rajkovic 1 👟 55' F 7.90

Bench

G. Zahid 19' M 6.50

K. Tshiembe 19' D 6.50

M. Ofkir M

O. Holm 8' M 6.30

O. Saeter 19' F 6.30

P. Strand 41' M 6.70

S. Jarl D

S. Lønning G

V. Hedenstad D

Molde 4-2-3-1

A. Posiadała 1 👟 G 6.30

S. Kabini D 6.20

B. Risa D 7.00

Sivert Sira Hansen D 6.90

M. Linnes 61' D 6.00

D. Daga M 7.20

E. Breivik 1 👟 M 6.90

O. Spiten-Nysæter 1 👟 61' M 6.20

S. Granaas 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.20

E. Hestad 1 ⚽ 29' M 7.30

J. Abdulai 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20

Bench

C. Zady Sery 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.30

E. Haugan D

F. Dahl D

M. Løvik D

M. Møller Dæhli 35' M 6.90

N. Ødegård 16' M 6.50

P. Lervik G

Trent Toure Kone Doherty 15' F 6.90

V. Bender 35' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

C. Lange

M · Valerenga

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 53 pass

G. Rajkovic

F · Valerenga

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 10 pass

L. Haren

M · Valerenga

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 34 pass

M. Grundetjern

F · Valerenga

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 26 pass

C. Zady Sery

F · Molde

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 19 pass

E. Hestad

M · Molde

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 7 pass

Valerenga — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
O. Hedvall	G	96	6.60	—	—	—	43	28%	—	—	—
K. Finnsson	D	96	6.20	—	1	—	52	45%	—	—	—
I. Näsberg	D	77	6.20	—	—	—	38	34%	1	1	—
Aaron Kiil Olsen	D	96	6.00	—	—	—	66	57%	3	1	—
H. Sjåtil	D	96	5.90	—	—	—	29	25%	3	—	—
L. Haren	M	77	7.70	1	—	2	34	20%	3	—	—
M. Westergaard	M	77	6.90	—	—	—	44	38%	3	—	—
C. Lange	M	88	8.20	1	—	3	53	52%	4	—	—
H. Bjørdal	M	96	7.00	—	—	1	44	29%	—	—	—
M. Grundetjern	F	96	7.50	1	—	3	26	18%	2	1	—
G. Rajkovic	F	55	7.90	—	1	1	10	8%	1	—	—
G. Zahid	M	19	6.50	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
K. Tshiembe	D	19	6.50	—	—	—	14	11%	—	—	—
O. Holm	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
O. Saeter	F	19	6.30	—	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
P. Strand	M	41	6.70	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—

Molde — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Posiadała	G	96	6.30	—	1	—	37	28%	—	—	—
S. Kabini	D	96	6.20	—	—	2	61	56%	2	—	—
B. Risa	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	62	59%	1	—	—
Sivert Sira Hansen	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	57	49%	—	—	—
M. Linnes	D	61	6.00	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
D. Daga	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	52	48%	4	—	—
E. Breivik	M	96	6.90	—	1	—	43	35%	2	1	—
O. Spiten-Nysæter	M	61	6.20	—	1	2	26	20%	—	—	—
S. Granaas	M	80	7.20	1	—	2	46	34%	—	1	—
E. Hestad	M	29	7.30	1	—	2	7	4%	—	—	—
J. Abdulai	F	81	7.20	1	—	1	17	12%	—	—	—
C. Zady Sery	F	67	7.30	1	—	2	19	14%	—	—	—
M. Møller Dæhli	M	35	6.90	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
N. Ødegård	M	16	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Trent Toure Kone Doherty	F	15	6.90	—	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—
V. Bender	M	35	6.30	—	—	—	18	13%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Molde?

The final score was Valerenga 3–4 Molde.

What did the model predict before Valerenga vs Molde?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Valerenga win, 18% to a draw, and 49% to an Molde win.