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Valur Reykjavik - Thor Akureyri

Úrvalsdeild September 13, 2026 16:00
Valur Reykjavik
#8 · 27 pts
vs
Thor Akureyri
#10 · 21 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
52.76%
Win
Valur Reykjavik
24.76%
Draw
22.49%
Win
Thor Akureyri
1.48
Expected xG
0.88

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.64%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 25%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 47%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Valur Reykjavik a 52% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Thor Akureyri. Expected goals are 1.5 for Valur Reykjavik and 0.9 for Thor Akureyri (total 2.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.64% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Valur Reykjavik have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Thor Akureyri.

Season Stats

Valur Reykjavik
4W 3D 8L
Thor Akureyri
4W 3D 8L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.1
2.1
Conceded
2.1
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
60%
O 2.5
47%
67%
BTTS
53%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Úrvalsdeild. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
60%
O 3.5
65%
BTTS
Valur Reykjavik
3W 3D 4L · at home
Thor Akureyri
1W 2D 7L · away
2.1
gls/g
0.7
2.5
Conceded
2.9
30%
Win %
10%
60%
Win or Draw
30%
100%
O 1.5
70%
90%
O 2.5
50%
70%
O 3.5
50%
90%
BTTS
40%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Valur Reykjavik Thor Akureyri →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 8.3% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% —
1 14.0% 12.3% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 5.1% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% — —
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
W Keflavik 1–2
D IA Akranes 2–2
L Vikingur Reykjavik 2–0
D KA Akureyri 4–4
W Breidablik 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 17%
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
W FH hafnarfjordur 1–0
W IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0–1
L Stjarnan 4–2
L Keflavik 0–2
L IA Akranes 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
Attack
48
Defence
45
Form
40
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
Attack
22
Defence
72
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Valur Reykjavik
0
Draw
1
Thor Akureyri
28 Jun 2026 Úrvalsdeild 4–2
12 Apr 2026 Úrvalsdeild 1–2

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 22 53
2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 22 45
3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 22 44
4 Breidablik Breidablik 22 30
5 IA Akranes IA Akranes 22 30
6 Keflavik Keflavik 22 28
7 Stjarnan Stjarnan 22 28
8 Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 22 27
9 FH hafnarfjordur FH hafnarfjordur 22 21
10 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 22 21
11 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 22 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
The model gives Valur Reykjavik a 52% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 22% for an Thor Akureyri win.
How many goals are expected in Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Expected goals: Valur Reykjavik 1.5, Thor Akureyri 0.9 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Valur Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.64%.