MLS
· Regular Season - 20
August 20, 2026 04:30
34'
F. Negri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 26%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
1
63%
Possession
37%
7
Corners
2
24
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
A. Cubas
26'
34'
F. Negri⚽
37'
A. Resch
41'
A. Bouzat
C. Sabaly
/ T. Muller
46'
64'
70'
D. McGuire
/
Guilherme
E. Sabbi
/ B. Caicedo
73'
A. Cubas
/ R. Priso
74'
75'
M. Saracchi
/
F. Negri
75'
D. Samassekou
/
H. Herrera
79'
D. Holmes
/
L. Ennali
T. Johnson
/ S. Adekugbe
88'
E. Ocampo
/ N. Djordjevic
88'
Pre-match prediction
48.71%
Vancouver
25.24%
X
26.04%
Houston ←
we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo)
26.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.13
-0.23
1.02
0.41
-0.61
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Y. Takaoka
G
Y. Takaoka
G
28
T. Johnson
88'
D
T. Johnson
88'
D
33
T. Blackmon
D
T. Blackmon
D
2
M. Laborda
D
M. Laborda
D
18
É. Ocampo
88'
D
É. Ocampo
88'
D
20
A. Cubas
74'
M
A. Cubas
74'
M
8
O. Larraz
M
O. Larraz
M
7
C. Sabaly
45'
M
C. Sabaly
45'
M
25
R. Gauld
M
R. Gauld
M
11
E. Sabbi
73'
M
E. Sabbi
73'
M
19
R. Elloumi
F
R. Elloumi
F
Bench
14
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
21'
F
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez
21'
F
32
I. Boehmer
G
I. Boehmer
G
26
Jean-Claude Ngando
M
Jean-Claude Ngando
M
97
Liam Mackenzie
M
Liam Mackenzie
M
29
M. Gherasimencov
D
M. Gherasimencov
D
41
Nikola Djordjevic
6'
D
Nikola Djordjevic
6'
D
6
Ralph Priso
20'
M
Ralph Priso
20'
M
3
S. Adekugbe
6'
D
S. Adekugbe
6'
D
13
T. Müller
49'
F
T. Müller
49'
F
31
J. Bond
G
J. Bond
G
21
F. Negri
1 ⚽
75'
D
F. Negri
1 ⚽
75'
D
5
Lucas Halter
D
Lucas Halter
D
34
A. Resch
D
A. Resch
D
11
L. Ennali
79'
D
L. Ennali
79'
D
16
H. Herrera
75'
M
H. Herrera
75'
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
20
Guilherme
70'
M
Guilherme
70'
M
30
A. Bouzat
M
A. Bouzat
M
8
J. McGlynn
M
J. McGlynn
M
19
M. Bogusz
F
M. Bogusz
F
Bench
24
A. Ibrahim
F
A. Ibrahim
F
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
26
B. Gillingham
G
B. Gillingham
G
14
D. Holmes
15'
M
D. Holmes
15'
M
23
D. McGuire
24'
F
D. McGuire
24'
F
18
D. Samassékou
19'
M
D. Samassékou
19'
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
D
Erik Sviatchenko
D
4
Marcelo Saracchi
19'
D
Marcelo Saracchi
19'
D
9
O. Lingr
M
O. Lingr
M
Best on the pitch
M. Laborda
D · Vancouver
8.20
1 shots
· 88 pass
F. Negri
D · Houston
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Artur
M · Houston
7.50
· 50 pass
Lucas Halter
D · Houston
7.50
· 43 pass
T. Blackmon
D · Vancouver
7.30
· 98 pass
R. Gauld
M · Vancouver
7.30
· 55 pass
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Takaoka | G | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 19% | — | — | — |
| T. Johnson | D | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Blackmon | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 98 | 93% | — | — | — |
| M. Laborda | D | 94 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 88 | 79% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Ocampo | D | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Cubas | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| O. Larraz | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 56 | 50% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Sabaly | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Gauld | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 49% | 4 | — | — |
| E. Sabbi | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Elloumi | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Nikola Djordjevic | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ralph Priso | M | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Adekugbe | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Müller | F | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 75 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | — | — | — |
| A. Resch | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| H. Herrera | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. McGlynn | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Saracchi | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Houston Dynamo win.