Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 20, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 20 August 20, 2026 04:30

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 55 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Houston Dynamo

#5 · 48 pts

34' F. Negri

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 48% win probability (draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 26%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Houston Dynamo.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.13

Actual xG

0.41

Saves

63%

Possession

37%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Cubas

26'

34'

F. Negri⚽

37'

A. Resch

41'

A. Bouzat

↕ C. Sabaly / T. Muller

46'

64'

70'

D. McGuire / Guilherme ↕

↕ E. Sabbi / B. Caicedo

73'

↕ A. Cubas / R. Priso

74'

75'

M. Saracchi / F. Negri ↕

75'

D. Samassekou / H. Herrera ↕

79'

D. Holmes / L. Ennali ↕

↕ T. Johnson / S. Adekugbe

88'

↕ E. Ocampo / N. Djordjevic

88'

Pre-match prediction

48.71%

Vancouver

25.24%

26.04%

Houston ←

we assigned to the actual result (Houston Dynamo) 26.04% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Vancouver

1.36

1.13

-0.23

Houston

1.02

0.41

-0.61

Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.41). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	31	55
2	FC Dallas	31	54
3	St. Louis City	31	51
4	San Jose Earthquakes	31	48
5	Houston Dynamo	31	48
6	Los Angeles FC	32	47
7	Seattle Sounders	31	43
8	Colorado Rapids	31	42
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	32	41
10	Real Salt Lake	31	39
11	Portland Timbers	31	37
12	San Diego	31	35
13	Minnesota United FC	31	35
14	Austin	31	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	31	22

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1

Y. Takaoka G 6.30

T. Johnson 88' D 6.90

T. Blackmon D 7.30

M. Laborda D 8.20

É. Ocampo 88' D 6.70

A. Cubas 74' M 6.20

O. Larraz M 6.90

C. Sabaly 45' M 6.90

R. Gauld M 7.30

E. Sabbi 73' M 6.20

R. Elloumi F 6.50

Bench

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 21' F 6.30

I. Boehmer G

Jean-Claude Ngando M

Liam Mackenzie M

M. Gherasimencov D

N. Djordjevic 6' D

R. Priso 20' M 7.20

S. Adekugbe 6' D

T. Müller 49' F 7.20

Houston Dynamo 4-2-3-1

J. Bond G 7.00

F. Negri 1 ⚽ 75' D 7.60

Lucas Halter D 7.50

A. Resch D 6.70

L. Ennali 79' D 6.30

H. Herrera 75' M 6.90

Artur M 7.50

Guilherme 70' M 6.70

A. Bouzat M 6.70

J. McGlynn M 6.90

M. Bogusz F 6.90

Bench

A. Ibrahim F

Antônio Carlos D

B. Gillingham G

D. Holmes 15' M 6.90

D. McGuire 24' F 6.30

D. Samassékou 19' M 6.70

E. Sviatchenko D

M. Saracchi 19' D 6.90

O. Lingr M

Best on the pitch

M. Laborda

D · Vancouver

8.20

1 shots · 88 pass

F. Negri

D · Houston

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 20 pass

Artur

M · Houston

7.50

· 50 pass

Lucas Halter

D · Houston

7.50

· 43 pass

T. Blackmon

D · Vancouver

7.30

· 98 pass

R. Gauld

M · Vancouver

7.30

· 55 pass

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	94	6.30	—	—	—	19	19%	—	—	—
T. Johnson	D	88	6.90	—	—	—	69	62%	3	—	—
T. Blackmon	D	94	7.30	—	—	—	98	93%	—	—	—
M. Laborda	D	94	8.20	—	—	1	88	79%	1	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	88	6.70	—	—	1	40	35%	3	—	—
A. Cubas	M	74	6.20	—	—	1	37	29%	3	1	—
O. Larraz	M	94	6.90	—	—	3	56	50%	4	—	—
C. Sabaly	M	45	6.90	—	—	1	17	14%	3	—	—
R. Gauld	M	94	7.30	—	—	—	55	49%	4	—	—
E. Sabbi	M	73	6.20	—	—	1	23	16%	1	—	—
R. Elloumi	F	94	6.50	—	—	1	9	6%	1	—	—
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
N. Djordjevic	D	6	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
R. Priso	M	20	7.20	—	—	—	22	22%	1	—	—
S. Adekugbe	D	6	—	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
T. Müller	F	49	7.20	—	—	—	21	15%	—	—	—

Houston Dynamo — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Bond	G	94	7.00	—	—	—	33	25%	—	—	—
F. Negri	D	75	7.60	1	—	2	20	16%	3	—	—
Lucas Halter	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	43	40%	—	—	—
A. Resch	D	94	6.70	—	—	—	40	29%	1	1	—
L. Ennali	D	79	6.30	—	—	—	25	19%	—	—	—
H. Herrera	M	75	6.90	—	—	1	36	33%	2	—	—
Artur	M	94	7.50	—	—	—	50	45%	2	—	—
Guilherme	M	70	6.70	—	—	1	23	15%	1	—	—
A. Bouzat	M	94	6.70	—	—	—	17	14%	1	1	—
J. McGlynn	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	38	30%	1	—	—
M. Bogusz	F	94	6.90	—	—	1	15	12%	1	—	—
D. Holmes	M	15	6.90	—	—	—	1	1%	1	—	—
D. McGuire	F	24	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
D. Samassékou	M	19	6.70	—	—	—	3	—	—	—	—
M. Saracchi	D	19	6.90	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo.

What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

The model assigned 48% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 25% to a draw, and 26% to an Houston Dynamo win.