Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego — pre-match prediction — MLS — October 29, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 32 October 29, 2026 03:30 BC Place, Vancouver

Vancouver Whitecaps

#1 · 64 pts

4 – 1

Final score

San Diego

#13 · 38 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps

Aleksa Cvetkovic (ast. Mathías Laborda) 24'

Brian White (ast. Oliver Love Larraz) 41'

Ryan Gauld (ast. Rayan Elloumi) 66'

Bruno Caicedo (ast. Ralph Priso) 76'

83' (ast. David Vazquez) Onni Valakari

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 73% win probability (draw 13%, San Diego 12%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.70

Actual xG

2.44

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

Manu Duah

⚽Aleksa Cvetkovic · ast. Mathías Laborda

24'

⚽Brian White · ast. Oliver Love Larraz

41'

55'

Jeppe Tverskov

62'

Alejandro Alvarado Jr / Aníbal Godoy ↕

62'

Bryan Zamblé / Amahl Pellegrino ↕

62'

Marcus Ingvartsen / Cédric Bakambu ↕

⚽Ryan Gauld · ast. Rayan Elloumi

66'

↕ Oliver Love Larraz / Ralph Priso

67'

↕ Yadaly Diaby / Bruno Caicedo

67'

↕ Ryan Gauld / Thomas Müller

74'

↕ Tristan Blackmon / Ranko Veselinovic

74'

Onni Valakari / Jeppe Tverskov ↕

74'

David Vazquez / Anders Dreyer ↕

⚽Bruno Caicedo · ast. Ralph Priso

76'

Tate Johnson

82'

83'

ast. David Vazquez · Onni Valakari⚽

↕ Tate Johnson / M. Gherasimencov

83'

Rayan Elloumi

90'+1

Rayan Elloumi

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

73.96%

Vancouver ←

13.13%

12.91%

San

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps) 73.96% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Vancouver

3.66

2.70

-0.96

San

1.43

2.44

+1.01

xG dominance was balanced (2.70 – 2.44). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	64
2	FC Dallas	34	58
3	St. Louis City	34	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	43
13	San Diego	34	38
14	Austin	34	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Lineups

Vancouver Whitecaps 4-4-2

Y. Takaoka G 7.71

T. Johnson 83' D 6.46

T. Blackmon 74' D 6.66

M. Laborda 1 👟 D 7.84

É. Ocampo D 6.28

Y. Diaby 67' M 6.50

O. Larraz 1 👟 67' M 7.03

A. Cvetković 1 ⚽ M 7.87

R. Gauld 1 ⚽ 74' M 8.20

B. White 1 ⚽ F 8.14

R. Elloumi 1 👟 F 7.02

Bench

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez 1 ⚽ 23' F 7.37

I. Boehmer G 0.00

J. Badwal M 0.00

K. Poku F 0.00

M. Gherasimencov 7' D 6.56

N. Djordjevic D 0.00

R. Priso 1 👟 23' M 6.69

R. Veselinović 16' D 6.32

T. Müller 16' F 6.40

San Diego 4-3-3

P. Sisniega G 7.31

Kieran Sargeant D 6.00

M. Duah D 5.61

C. McVey D 6.15

O. Verhoeven D 6.11

Gabriel Pirani M 6.28

A. Godoy 62' M 5.91

J. Tverskov 74' M 6.22

A. Pellegrino 62' F 6.45

C. Bakambu 62' F 6.40

A. Dreyer 74' F 5.86

Bench

A. Alvarado 28' F 6.30

B. B. Zamble 28' F 7.02

C. dos Santos G 0.00

D. Vazquez 1 👟 16' M 5.75

D. Þórhallsson D 0.00

I. Pilcher D 0.00

M. Ingvartsen 28' F 6.57

O. Valakari 1 ⚽ 16' M 6.64

Best on the pitch

R. Gauld

M · Vancouver

8.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 28 pass

B. White

F · Vancouver

8.14

1 ⚽

3 shots · 20 pass

A. Cvetković

M · Vancouver

7.87

1 ⚽

1 shots · 35 pass

M. Laborda

D · Vancouver

7.84

1 👟

· 64 pass

Y. Takaoka

G · Vancouver

7.71

· 43 pass

Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez

F · Vancouver

7.37

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Y. Takaoka	G	90	7.71	—	—	0	43	35%	0	—	—
T. Johnson	D	83	6.46	—	—	0	56	53%	0	1	—
T. Blackmon	D	74	6.66	—	—	0	59	56%	0	—	—
M. Laborda	D	90	7.84	—	1	0	64	59%	4	—	—
É. Ocampo	D	90	6.28	—	—	0	26	20%	0	—	—
Y. Diaby	M	67	6.50	—	—	3	14	10%	1	—	—
O. Larraz	M	67	7.03	—	1	1	42	35%	0	—	—
A. Cvetković	M	90	7.87	1	—	1	35	31%	1	—	—
R. Gauld	M	74	8.20	1	—	2	28	25%	7	—	—
B. White	F	90	8.14	1	—	3	20	13%	0	—	—
R. Elloumi	F	90	7.02	—	1	5	11	9%	1	—	1
Bruno Steven Caicedo Quiñonez	F	23	7.37	1	—	1	2	1%	1	—	—
M. Gherasimencov	D	7	6.56	—	—	0	6	6%	0	—	—
R. Priso	M	23	6.69	—	1	0	16	16%	0	—	—
R. Veselinović	D	16	6.32	—	—	0	12	12%	0	—	—
T. Müller	F	16	6.40	—	—	0	11	6%	0	—	—

San Diego — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Sisniega	G	90	7.31	—	—	0	34	33%	0	—	—
Kieran Sargeant	D	90	6.00	—	—	1	47	39%	1	—	—
M. Duah	D	90	5.61	—	—	0	91	82%	0	1	—
C. McVey	D	90	6.15	—	—	0	74	68%	1	—	—
O. Verhoeven	D	90	6.11	—	—	2	39	33%	1	—	—
Gabriel Pirani	M	90	6.28	—	—	3	42	33%	4	—	—
A. Godoy	M	62	5.91	—	—	0	57	52%	2	—	—
J. Tverskov	M	74	6.22	—	—	1	70	65%	0	1	—
A. Pellegrino	F	62	6.45	—	—	3	12	11%	0	—	—
C. Bakambu	F	62	6.40	—	—	4	12	9%	0	—	—
A. Dreyer	F	74	5.86	—	—	0	45	40%	1	—	—
A. Alvarado	F	28	6.30	—	—	0	22	20%	0	—	—
B. B. Zamble	F	28	7.02	—	—	0	3	1%	0	—	—
D. Vazquez	M	16	5.75	—	1	1	3	3%	1	—	—
M. Ingvartsen	F	28	6.57	—	—	4	6	6%	0	—	—
O. Valakari	M	16	6.64	1	—	1	14	11%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?

The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego.

What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego?

The model assigned 73% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an San Diego win.