MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 18, 2026 06:30
✓Model correct — prediction Vancouver Whitecaps
E. Sabbi
13'
B. Caicedo
23'
T. Muller
(ast. E. Sabbi)
28'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vancouver Whitecaps a 61% win probability (draw 19%, Sporting Kansas City 19%). The final result was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
1
6
Shots on target
0
3.06
Actual xG
0.14
0
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
6
Corners
3
17
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽E. Sabbi
13'
⚽B. Caicedo
23'
⚽T. Muller
· ast. E. Sabbi
28'
32'
C. Harris
51'
I. James
/
J. Reynolds
51'
L. Johnsen
/
M. Tschantret
B. Caicedo
/ K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
64'
66'
Diego Borges
S. Berhalter
69'
70'
J. Miller
/
Diego Borges
71'
S. Afrifa
/
C. Harris
S. Berhalter
/ O. Larraz
74'
B. White
/ R. Elloumi
74'
E. Sabbi
/ C. Sabaly
81'
E. Ocampo
/ N. Djordjevic
82'
87'
S. Suleymanov
/
Capita
Pre-match prediction
61.44%
Vancouver ←
19.22%
X
19.33%
Sporting
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vancouver Whitecaps)
61.44%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.50
3.06
-1.44
0.40
0.14
-0.26
Vancouver Whitecaps dominated by xG (3.06 vs 0.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
28
Tate Johnson
D
Tate Johnson
D
2
Mathías Laborda
D
Mathías Laborda
D
33
Tristan Blackmon
D
Tristan Blackmon
D
18
Édier Ocampo
82'
D
Édier Ocampo
82'
D
20
Andrés Cubas
M
Andrés Cubas
M
16
Sebastian Berhalter
74'
M
Sebastian Berhalter
74'
M
14
Bruno Quiñonez
1 ⚽
64'
M
Bruno Quiñonez
1 ⚽
64'
M
13
Thomas Müller
1 ⚽
M
Thomas Müller
1 ⚽
M
11
Emmanuel Sabbi
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
Emmanuel Sabbi
1 ⚽
1 👟
81'
M
24
Brian White
74'
F
Brian White
74'
F
Bench
22
Aziel Jackson
M
Aziel Jackson
M
7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
9'
F
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly
9'
F
59
Jeevan Badwal
M
Jeevan Badwal
M
8
Oliver Larraz
16'
M
Oliver Larraz
16'
M
1
G
20
D
57
70'
D
23
Ethan Bartlow
D
Ethan Bartlow
D
13
Justin Reynolds
51'
D
Justin Reynolds
51'
D
6
Manu García
M
Manu García
M
16
Jacob Bartlett
M
Jacob Bartlett
M
14
Macielo Tschantret
51'
M
Macielo Tschantret
51'
M
7
Capita
87'
F
Capita
87'
F
9
Dejan Joveljić
F
Dejan Joveljić
F
11
Calvin Harris
71'
F
Calvin Harris
71'
F
Bench
2
Ian James
39'
D
Ian James
39'
D
8
Jacob Davis
M
Jacob Davis
M
99
Jayden Reid
D
Jayden Reid
D
93
Shapi Suleymanov
9'
F
Shapi Suleymanov
9'
F
19
Taylor Calheira
F
Taylor Calheira
F
Best on the pitch
Thomas Müller
M · Vancouver
9.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 50 pass
Emmanuel Sabbi
M · Vancouver
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 18 pass
Bruno Quiñonez
M · Vancouver
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Tristan Blackmon
D · Vancouver
7.90
· 64 pass
Tate Johnson
D · Vancouver
7.50
· 57 pass
Édier Ocampo
D · Vancouver
7.30
1 shots
· 29 pass
Vancouver Whitecaps — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Tate Johnson | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathías Laborda | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Tristan Blackmon | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 64 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Édier Ocampo | D | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Andrés Cubas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Sebastian Berhalter | M | 74 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Quiñonez | M | 64 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Thomas Müller | M | 90 | 9.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 50 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Sabbi | M | 81 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Brian White | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cheick Tidiane Sabaly | F | 9 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Oliver Larraz | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | 1 | — | |
| Ethan Bartlow | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 57 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Justin Reynolds | D | 51 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Manu García | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacob Bartlett | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Macielo Tschantret | M | 51 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Capita | F | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Dejan Joveljić | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Calvin Harris | F | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Ian James | D | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Shapi Suleymanov | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Vancouver Whitecaps vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Vancouver Whitecaps win, 19% to a draw, and 19% to an Sporting Kansas City win.