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Vanuatu - New Caledonia

Friendlies Internazionali September 27, 2026 06:00
Vanuatu
vs
New Caledonia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.19%
Win
Vanuatu
32.26%
Draw
32.54%
Win
New Caledonia
1.49
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (11.52%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vanuatu a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for New Caledonia. Expected goals are 1.5 for Vanuatu and 1.0 for New Caledonia (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.52% probability.

Season Stats

Vanuatu
2W 2D 0L
New Caledonia
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
1.5
Conceded
1.5
12.0
Shots OT
5.0
4.0
Corners
7.0
41%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
50%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Vanuatu
1W 1D 0L · at home
New Caledonia
1W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vanuatu New Caledonia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.9% 12.3% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.4% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
4 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Vanuatu Vanuatu
D Solomon Islands 3–3
W Fiji 0–1
D Fiji 2–2
W Fiji 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
New Caledonia New Caledonia
W Papua New Guinea 1–2
L Solomon Islands 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Vanuatu Vanuatu
Attack
38
Defence
81
Form
66
New Caledonia New Caledonia
Attack
0
Defence
50
Form
35
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?
The model gives Vanuatu a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an New Caledonia win.
How many goals are expected in Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?
Expected goals: Vanuatu 1.5, New Caledonia 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Vanuatu vs New Caledonia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.52%.