Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 26 September 05, 2026 16:00 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Vaprus

#6 · 34 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Nõmme United

#8 · 28 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Vaprus

T. Pajo 51'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vaprus a 71% win probability (draw 13%, Nõmme United 15%). The final result was Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme United. In 2 previous meetings, Vaprus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Nõmme United.

Match statistics

Match Events

46'

O. Dacosta / I. Krasnov ↕

⚽T. Pajo

51'

59'

K. Matas

M. Villota

64'

68'

H. Jarvelaid / A. Alteberg ↕

68'

N. Vassiljev / K. Oostenbrink ↕

↕ S. Viidas / V. Vallik

74'

K. Aloe

78'

↕ S. Kapper / J. Poder

81'

↕ M. Villota / R. Orm

81'

M. Limberg

82'

↕ T. Pajo / U. Nomm

87'

J. Poder

90'+3

90'+4

H. Jarvelaid

90'

K. Laanelaid / B. Chisala ↕

Pre-match prediction

71.01%

Vaprus ←

13.65%

X

15.34%

Nõmme

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vaprus) 71.01% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vaprus

3.49

—

—

Nõmme

1.32

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	27	68
2	Flora Tallinn	27	49
3	Kalju Nomme	28	47
4	Paide	26	45
5	Tammeka	26	41
6	Vaprus	27	34
7	Laagri	27	31
8	Nõmme United	27	28
9	Kuressaare	27	28
10	Trans Narva	28	18