Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 26 September 05, 2026 16:00 Parnu Rannastaadion, Parnu

Vaprus

#8 · 36 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Nõmme United

#7 · 37 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Vaprus

T. Pajo 51'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vaprus a 71% win probability (draw 13%, Nõmme United 15%). The final result was Vaprus 1–0 Nõmme United. In 3 previous meetings, Vaprus have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Nõmme United.

Match statistics

Match Events

46'

O. Dacosta / I. Krasnov ↕

⚽T. Pajo

51'

59'

K. Matas

M. Villota

64'

68'

H. Jarvelaid / A. Alteberg ↕

68'

N. Vassiljev / K. Oostenbrink ↕

↕ S. Viidas / V. Vallik

74'

K. Aloe

78'

↕ S. Kapper / J. Poder

81'

↕ M. Villota / R. Orm

81'

M. Limberg

82'

↕ T. Pajo / U. Nomm

87'

J. Poder

90'+3

90'+4

H. Jarvelaid

90'

K. Laanelaid / B. Chisala ↕

Pre-match prediction

71.01%

Vaprus ←

13.65%

X

15.34%

Nõmme

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Vaprus) 71.01% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Vaprus

3.49

—

—

Nõmme

1.32

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	34	87
2	Paide	33	60
3	Flora Tallinn	34	58
4	Kalju Nomme	33	54
5	Tammeka	34	50
6	Laagri	34	47
7	Nõmme United	34	37
8	Vaprus	33	36
9	Kuressaare	33	35
10	Trans Narva	34	20