Varzim - Trofense
Taça de Portugal
August 30, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.04%
Win
Varzim
35.45%
Draw
29.5%
Win
Trofense
0.73
0.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(15.24%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
35%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
71%
X2
65%
12
65%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
56%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Varzim a 35% win probability, against 35% for a draw and 29% for Trofense. Expected goals are 0.7 for Varzim and 0.3 for Trofense (total 1.0), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.24% probability. In 6 previous meetings, Varzim have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Trofense.
Season Stats
0W
0D
1L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
3.5
5.0
Conceded
2.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Varzim
Trofense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 35.6% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 26.0% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 9.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% | — | — | — |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Varzim
Attack
24
Defence
79
Form
51
Trofense
Attack
10
Defence
74
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Varzim vs Trofense?
The model gives Varzim a 35% win probability, 35% for a draw, and 29% for an Trofense win.
How many goals are expected in Varzim vs Trofense?
Expected goals: Varzim 0.7, Trofense 0.3 (total 1.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Varzim vs Trofense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.24%.