Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 15, 2026 02:00
Brenner
45'+3
62'
(ast. F. Troyansky)
M. Fuentes
(pen.)
86'
F. Troyansky
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 51% win probability (draw 26%, A. Italiano 21%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 1–2 A. Italiano. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for A. Italiano.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
2
1.39
Actual xG
1.43
0
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
5
Corners
4
13
Tackles
16
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
2
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
JP
15'
JP
35'
JP
35'
43'
O. J. Rojas Munoz
⚽Brenner
45'+3
46'
P. Guajardo
/
O. J. Rojas Munoz
N. Moreira
/ Paulo Henrique
46'
M. Hinestroza
/ Thiago Mendes
46'
51'
M. Collao
60'
D. Coelho
/
G. Chiaverano
60'
R. Cabral
/
M. Collao
62'
ast. F. Troyansky ·
M. Fuentes⚽
C. Spinelli
/ David
65'
Brenner
/ Andres Gomez
66'
Andres Gomez
71'
78'
N. Aedo
/
E. Matus
C. Cuesta
83'
Hugo Moura
84'
86'
(pen.)
F. Troyansky⚽
J. Rodriguez
/ Adson
88'
90'+1
D. Monreal
/
F. Troyansky
90'+3
N. Aedo
90'+7
M. Ortiz
Pre-match prediction
51.82%
Vasco
26.69%
X
21.49%
A. ←
we assigned to the actual result (A. Italiano)
21.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
1.39
-0.35
0.74
1.43
+0.69
xG dominance was balanced (1.39 – 1.43).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
46
C. Cuesta
83'
D
C. Cuesta
83'
D
2
J. Rodríguez
88'
D
J. Rodríguez
88'
D
98
JP
35'
M
JP
35'
M
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
20
Brenner
1 ⚽
66'
M
Brenner
1 ⚽
66'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
45'
M
Nuno Moreira
45'
M
18
M. Hinestroza
45'
M
M. Hinestroza
45'
M
77
C. Spinelli
65'
F
C. Spinelli
65'
F
Bench
28
Adson
11'
F
Adson
11'
F
11
Andrés Gómez
33'
F
Andrés Gómez
33'
F
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
7
David
34'
F
David
34'
F
10
J. Rojas
F
J. Rojas
F
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
96
Paulo Henrique
54'
D
Paulo Henrique
54'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
23
Thiago Mendes
54'
M
Thiago Mendes
54'
M
1
T. Ahumada
G
T. Ahumada
G
4
D. Piña
D
D. Piña
D
29
M. Ortiz
D
M. Ortiz
D
16
O. Rojas
45'
D
O. Rojas
45'
D
23
E. Matus
78'
M
E. Matus
78'
M
28
M
8
M. Collao
60'
M
M. Collao
60'
M
35
R. Rebolledo
M
R. Rebolledo
M
27
M. Fuentes
1 ⚽
F
M. Fuentes
1 ⚽
F
21
G. Chiaverano
60'
F
G. Chiaverano
60'
F
11
F. Troyansky
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
F. Troyansky
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
9
D. Coelho
39'
F
D. Coelho
39'
F
17
F. Loyola
M
F. Loyola
M
18
N. Aedo
21'
M
7
P. Guajardo
54'
M
P. Guajardo
54'
M
10
Rodrigo Cabral
39'
F
Rodrigo Cabral
39'
F
2
V. Zenteno
M
V. Zenteno
M
Best on the pitch
F. Troyansky
F · A.
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 18 pass
M · A.
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.20
1 shots
· 21 pass
Brenner
M · Vasco
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Adson
F · Vasco
7.20
· 5 pass
T. Ahumada
G · A.
7.00
· 19 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 83 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| JP | M | 35 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Brenner | M | 66 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | 11 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| David | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
A. Italiano — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Ahumada | G | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Piña | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ortiz | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| O. Rojas | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Matus | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 31% | 5 | — | — | |
| M. Collao | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| R. Rebolledo | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fuentes | F | 99 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | — | — | — |
| G. Chiaverano | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Troyansky | F | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Coelho | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Aedo | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Guajardo | M | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Cabral | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 1–2 A. Italiano.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs A. Italiano?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an A. Italiano win.