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← Brasileirão Série A
#16 · 31 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#7 · 40 pts
32' (ast. Bernard) Vitor Hugo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico-MG 36%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Atletico-MG.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
1.29
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
8
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
4
25
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
ast. Bernard · Vitor Hugo⚽
Cauan Barros
34'
↕ N. Moreira / David
58'
63'
M. Cisse / Bernard ↕
63'
Alexsander / Victor Hugo ↕
↕ J. Rojas / Bruno Lopes
69'
80'
K. Pascini / R. Lodi ↕
80'
Caua / Reinier ↕
↕ Adson / Lukas Zuccarello
80'
↕ J. Rodriguez / Paulo Henrique
80'
Pre-match prediction
39.57%
Vasco
23.6%
X
36.83%
Atletico-MG ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 36.83% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vasco
1.47
1.29
-0.18
Atletico-MG
1.59
0.39
-1.2
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.39). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
1 Léo Jardim Léo Jardim G 7.20
66 Cuiabano Cuiabano D 7.90
30 Robert Renan Robert Renan D 6.70
46 C. Cuesta C. Cuesta D 6.90
2 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 80' D 6.60
88 Cauan Barros Cauan Barros M 6.70
17 Nuno Moreira Nuno Moreira 58' M 6.70
10 J. Rojas J. Rojas 69' M 6.90
23 Thiago Mendes Thiago Mendes M 7.30
28 Adson Adson 80' M 7.30
77 C. Spinelli C. Spinelli F 6.50
Bench
82 Avellar Avellar D
72 Bruno Lopes Bruno Lopes 25' F 6.60
13 Daniel Fuzato Daniel Fuzato G
7 David David 36' F 7.00
25 Hugo Moura Hugo Moura M
60 João Vitor Silva João Vitor Silva D
43 Lucas Freitas Lucas Freitas D
86 Lukas Zuccarello Lukas Zuccarello 14' M 6.70
96 Paulo Henrique Paulo Henrique 14' D 6.60
83 Ramon Rique Ramon Rique M
3 Tchê Tchê Tchê Tchê M
64 Walace Walace D
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
22 Everson Everson G 8.30
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo 1 ⚽ D 8.20
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 7.30
3 Iván Román Iván Román D 6.90
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 80' M 6.70
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 63' M 6.70
25 T. Pérez T. Pérez M 7.50
2 Natanael Natanael M 6.70
11 Bernard Bernard 1 👟 63' F 6.60
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello F 6.60
19 Reinier Reinier 80' F 6.90
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander 31' M 6.60
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares 14' F 6.50
92 Dudu Dudu F
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini 14' D 6.70
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 31' M 6.30
48 Mateus Jose Iseppe Mateus Jose Iseppe M
31 Robert Robert G
40 Vitão Vitão D
Best on the pitch
Everson
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
8.30
· 34 pass
Vitor Hugo
Vitor Hugo
D · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 27 pass
Cuiabano
Cuiabano
D · Vasco
7.90
1 shots · 51 pass
T. Pérez
T. Pérez
M · Atletico-MG
7.50
1 shots · 40 pass
Lyanco
Lyanco
D · Atletico-MG
7.30
· 17 pass
Adson
Adson
M · Vasco
7.30
2 shots · 36 pass
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Jardim G 94 7.20 — — — 8 5% — — —
Cuiabano D 94 7.90 — — 1 51 41% 8 — —
Robert Renan D 94 6.70 — — — 63 58% 2 — —
C. Cuesta D 94 6.90 — — — 58 53% — — —
J. Rodríguez D 80 6.60 — — 1 28 25% 2 — —
Cauan Barros M 94 6.70 — — 1 63 54% 2 1 —
Nuno Moreira M 58 6.70 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
J. Rojas M 69 6.90 — — 3 41 35% 1 — —
Thiago Mendes M 94 7.30 — — 2 70 64% 3 — —
Adson M 80 7.30 — — 2 36 30% 3 — —
C. Spinelli F 94 6.50 — — 2 9 6% — — —
Bruno Lopes F 25 6.60 — — 2 2 1% — — —
David F 36 7.00 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Lukas Zuccarello M 14 6.70 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Paulo Henrique D 14 6.60 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Everson G 94 8.30 — — — 34 19% — — —
Vitor Hugo D 94 8.20 1 — 1 27 26% 1 — —
Lyanco D 94 7.30 — — — 17 14% 3 — —
Iván Román D 94 6.90 — — — 29 16% 4 1 —
Renan Lodi M 80 6.70 — — 1 22 21% 1 — —
Victor Hugo M 63 6.70 — — 2 25 22% — — —
T. Pérez M 94 7.50 — — 1 40 30% 3 — —
Natanael M 94 6.70 — — — 28 26% — — —
Bernard F 63 6.60 — 1 — 27 21% 1 — —
T. Cuello F 94 6.60 — — — 23 15% — — —
Reinier F 80 6.90 — — 2 31 23% 1 — —
Alexsander M 31 6.60 — — — 5 5% 2 — —
Cauã Campos Soares F 14 6.50 — — — 2 1% 1 — —
K. Pascini D 14 6.70 — — — 3 1% — — —
Mamady Cisse M 31 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Atletico-MG win.