Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 18
May 31, 2026 21:00
32'
(ast. Bernard)
Vitor Hugo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 39% win probability (draw 23%, Atletico-MG 36%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Atletico-MG.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
4
1.29
Actual xG
0.39
3
Saves
8
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
4
25
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
ast. Bernard ·
Vitor Hugo⚽
Cauan Barros
34'
N. Moreira
/ David
58'
63'
M. Cisse
/
Bernard
63'
Alexsander
/
Victor Hugo
J. Rojas
/ Bruno Lopes
69'
80'
K. Pascini
/
R. Lodi
80'
Caua
/
Reinier
Adson
/ Lukas Zuccarello
80'
J. Rodriguez
/ Paulo Henrique
80'
Pre-match prediction
39.57%
Vasco
23.6%
X
36.83%
Atletico-MG ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
36.83%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.29
-0.18
1.59
0.39
-1.2
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.29 vs 0.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
80'
D
J. Rodríguez
80'
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
17
Nuno Moreira
58'
M
Nuno Moreira
58'
M
10
Johan Rojas
69'
M
Johan Rojas
69'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
28
Adson
80'
M
Adson
80'
M
77
Claudio Spinelli
F
Claudio Spinelli
F
Bench
72
Bruno Lopes
25'
F
Bruno Lopes
25'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
36'
F
David
36'
F
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
60
João Vitor Silva
D
João Vitor Silva
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
86
Lukas Zuccarello
14'
M
Lukas Zuccarello
14'
M
96
Paulo Henrique
14'
D
Paulo Henrique
14'
D
83
Ramon Rique
M
Ramon Rique
M
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
Riquelme Avellar
D
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
64
Walace
D
Walace
D
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
14
Vitor Hugo
1 ⚽
D
Vitor Hugo
1 ⚽
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
3
I. Román
D
I. Román
D
16
Renan Lodi
80'
M
Renan Lodi
80'
M
30
Victor Hugo
63'
M
Victor Hugo
63'
M
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
2
Natanael
M
Natanael
M
11
Bernard
1 👟
63'
F
Bernard
1 👟
63'
F
28
T. Cuello
F
T. Cuello
F
19
Reinier
80'
F
Reinier
80'
F
Bench
5
Alexsander
31'
M
Alexsander
31'
M
29
Cauã Campos Soares
14'
F
Cauã Campos Soares
14'
F
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
36
Kauã Pascini
14'
D
Kauã Pascini
14'
D
39
Mamady Cissé
31'
M
Mamady Cissé
31'
M
48
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
31
Robert Alves
G
Robert Alves
G
40
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
D
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
D
Best on the pitch
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
8.30
· 34 pass
Vitor Hugo
D · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Cuiabano
D · Vasco
7.90
1 shots
· 51 pass
Tomás Pérez
M · Atletico-MG
7.50
1 shots
· 40 pass
Lyanco
D · Atletico-MG
7.30
· 17 pass
Adson
M · Vasco
7.30
2 shots
· 36 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 8 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Johan Rojas | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Lopes | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| David | F | 36 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Lukas Zuccarello | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 94 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Lyanco | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Román | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Renan Lodi | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Natanael | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | F | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Reinier | F | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexsander | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Cauã Campos Soares | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Pascini | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Atletico-MG.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 23% to a draw, and 36% to an Atletico-MG win.