Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Vasco DA Gama
Adson
32'
Adson
45'+2
J. Rojas
(ast. Adson)
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 75% win probability (draw 12%, Barracas Central 11%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
3
10
Shots on target
1
2.47
Actual xG
0.65
1
Saves
6
74%
Possession
26%
7
Corners
1
18
Tackles
35
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
F. Bruera
Tche Tche
14'
Cauan Barros
16'
⚽Adson
32'
35'
F. Tobio
39'
R. Insua
43'
D. Martinez
⚽Adson
45'+2
46'
R. Barrios
/
I. Tapia
46'
T. Porra
/
I. A. Guaraz
46'
R. Bogarin
/
N. Briasco
C. Spinelli
/ Brenner
46'
⚽J. Rojas
· ast. Adson
55'
Adson
/ Lukas Zuccarello
57'
Tche Tche
/ N. Moreira
57'
61'
G. Campi
/
D. Martinez
62'
T. Porra
70'
G. Maroni
/
D. Miloc
Cuiabano
/ Riquelme Avellar
70'
Cauan Barros
/ Bruno Lopes
70'
73'
⚽Brenner
(missed pen.)
87'
Pre-match prediction
75.57%
Vasco ←
12.63%
X
11.8%
Barracas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
75.57%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.99
2.47
-0.52
0.64
0.65
+0.01
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
70'
D
Cuiabano
70'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
3
Tchê Tchê
57'
D
Tchê Tchê
57'
D
88
Cauan Barros
70'
M
Cauan Barros
70'
M
11
A. Gómez
M
A. Gómez
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
10
J. Rojas
1 ⚽
M
J. Rojas
1 ⚽
M
28
Adson
2 ⚽
1 👟
57'
M
Adson
2 ⚽
1 👟
57'
M
77
C. Spinelli
45'
F
C. Spinelli
45'
F
Bench
4
Alan Saldivia
D
Alan Saldivia
D
20
Brenner
45'
F
Brenner
45'
F
72
Bruno Lopes
20'
F
Bruno Lopes
20'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
F
David
F
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
98
JP
M
JP
M
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
86
Lukas Zuccarello
33'
M
Lukas Zuccarello
33'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
33'
M
Nuno Moreira
33'
M
83
Ramon Rique
M
Ramon Rique
M
82
Riquelme Avellar
20'
D
Riquelme Avellar
20'
D
30
Marcelo Agustín Miño
G
Marcelo Agustín Miño
G
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
14
Kevin Jappert
D
Kevin Jappert
D
6
R. Insúa
39'
M
R. Insúa
39'
M
16
Ivan Guaraz
45'
M
Ivan Guaraz
45'
M
5
Dardo Miloc
70'
M
Dardo Miloc
70'
M
4
D. Martínez
61'
M
D. Martínez
61'
M
10
Iván Tapia
45'
F
Iván Tapia
45'
F
7
Facundo Bruera
F
Facundo Bruera
F
11
Norberto Briasco
45'
F
Norberto Briasco
45'
F
Bench
24
Enzo Taborda
F
Enzo Taborda
F
37
Gastón Campi
29'
D
Gastón Campi
29'
D
33
Gonzalo Maroni
20'
M
Gonzalo Maroni
20'
M
20
Jhonatan Candia
F
Jhonatan Candia
F
1
Juan Espínola
G
Juan Espínola
G
18
Manuel Duarte
M
Manuel Duarte
M
79
M. Puig
M
M. Puig
M
13
Rafael Barrios
45'
D
Rafael Barrios
45'
D
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
45'
M
Rodrigo Bogarín
45'
M
8
Tomás Porra
45'
M
Tomás Porra
45'
M
15
Yonatthan Rak
D
Yonatthan Rak
D
Best on the pitch
Adson
M · Vasco
9.20
2 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
J. Rojas
M · Vasco
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 54 pass
Gastón Campi
D · Barracas
8.00
· 4 pass
Riquelme Avellar
D · Vasco
8.00
1 shots
· 21 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.50
· 59 pass
Thiago Mendes
M · Vasco
7.50
3 shots
· 91 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | — | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | D | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 91 | 85% | — | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 54 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 57 | 9.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Lopes | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Zuccarello | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Riquelme Avellar | D | 20 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Agustín Miño | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 8% | — | — | — |
| N. Demartini | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 8 | — | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Jappert | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 7 | — | — |
| R. Insúa | M | 39 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Ivan Guaraz | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Dardo Miloc | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Iván Tapia | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Bruera | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Norberto Briasco | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Gastón Campi | D | 29 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Gonzalo Maroni | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Barrios | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Bogarín | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Porra | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Barracas Central?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 75% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 12% to a draw, and 11% to an Barracas Central win.