← Brasileirão Série A
#8 · 20 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#12 · 18 pts
David (ast. J. Rodriguez) 61'
66' L. M. Villalba Jaume
79' (ast. A. Montoro) Matheus Martins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Botafogo 26%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Botafogo. In 2 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
15
5
Shots on target
9
2.16
Actual xG
1.13
8
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
3
Corners
2
11
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
A. Saldivia
41'
46'
Caio Roque / Alex Telles
52'
Junior Santos
55'
N. Ferraresi
60'
L. M. Villalba Jaume / Junior Santos
David · ast. J. Rodriguez
61'
66'
L. M. Villalba Jaume
68'
K. Barria / Edenilson
68'
A. Montoro / Arthur Cabral
J. Rojas / N. Moreira
70'
Tche Tche / M. Hinestroza
70'
David / C. Spinelli
78'
79'
ast. A. Montoro · Matheus Martins
88'
Newton / Allan
90'+2
Raul Steffens
90'
Edenilson
Pre-match prediction
49.75%
Vasco
23.92%
X
26.33%
Botafogo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo) 26.33% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vasco
2.56
2.16
-0.4
Botafogo
0.87
1.13
+0.26
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (2.16 vs 1.13). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4-2-3-1
1 Léo Jardim Léo Jardim G 7.60
66
Cuiabano D 6.60
30 Robert Renan Robert Renan D 7.30
4 Alan Saldivia Alan Saldivia D 6.30
2 Puma Rodríguez Puma Rodríguez 1 👟 D 7.70
23 Thiago Mendes Thiago Mendes M 6.90
88
Cauan Barros M 7.70
11 Andrés Gómez Andrés Gómez M 6.20
10 Johan Rojas Johan Rojas 70' M 6.60
3 Tchê Tchê Tchê Tchê 70' M 6.60
7 David David 1 ⚽ 78' F 7.00
Bench
28 Adson Adson F
46 Carlos Cuesta Carlos Cuesta D
77 Claudio Spinelli Claudio Spinelli 12' F 6.20
25 Hugo Moura Hugo Moura M
98 JP JP M
43 Lucas Freitas Lucas Freitas D
6 Lucas Piton Lucas Piton D
18 Marino Hinestroza Marino Hinestroza 20' F 6.70
9 Matheus França Matheus França F
17 Nuno Moreira Nuno Moreira 20' M 6.60
96
Paulo Henrique D
Botafogo Botafogo 4-3-3
1 Raul Raul G 6.90
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles 45' D 6.60
20 Alexander Barboza Alexander Barboza D 7.00
5 Nahuel Ferraresi Nahuel Ferraresi D 6.30
2
Vitinho D 7.20
8 Danilo Oliveira Danilo Oliveira M 7.00
25
Allan 88' M 6.30
88 Edenilson Edenilson 68' M 6.90
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 1 ⚽ F 7.60
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral 68' F 6.90
7
Junior Santos 60' F 6.50
Bench
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro 1 👟 22' M 7.20
15
Bastos D
27 Caio Roque Caio Roque 45' D 6.70
6 Cristian Medina Cristian Medina M
14 Jordan Barrera Jordan Barrera M
37 Kadir Barría Kadir Barría 22' F 6.90
77 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.90
28 Newton Newton 10' M 6.70
23
S. Rodriguez M
Best on the pitch
Lucas Villalba
Lucas Villalba
F · Botafogo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
Puma Rodríguez
Puma Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 37 pass
Cauan Barros
M · Vasco
7.70
· 60 pass
Léo Jardim
Léo Jardim
G · Vasco
7.60
· 28 pass
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
F · Botafogo
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Robert Renan
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.30
· 84 pass
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Jardim G 90 7.60 28 25%
Cuiabano D 90 6.60 58 51% 2
Robert Renan D 90 7.30 84 77% 2
Alan Saldivia D 90 6.30 1 55 50% 2 1
Puma Rodríguez D 90 7.70 1 3 37 33% 2
Thiago Mendes M 90 6.90 74 71%
Cauan Barros M 90 7.70 60 55% 1
Andrés Gómez M 90 6.20 2 23 21%
Johan Rojas M 70 6.60 39 34%
Tchê Tchê M 70 6.60 1 17 14%
David F 78 7.00 1 2 16 13%
Claudio Spinelli F 12 6.20 3 3%
Marino Hinestroza F 20 6.70 1 5 4% 1
Nuno Moreira M 20 6.60 1 13 10% 1
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Raul G 90 6.90 38 30% 1
Alex Telles D 45 6.60 14 10% 1
Alexander Barboza D 90 7.00 3 47 36% 3
Nahuel Ferraresi D 90 6.30 1 36 31% 2 1
Vitinho D 90 7.20 20 13% 5
Danilo Oliveira M 90 7.00 1 22 20%
Allan M 88 6.30 35 25% 2
Edenilson M 68 6.90 2 15 14% 1 1
Matheus Martins F 90 7.60 1 3 27 22% 3
Arthur Cabral F 68 6.90 3 8 7% 1
Junior Santos F 60 6.50 1 10 7% 1
Álvaro Montoro M 22 7.20 1 5 5% 2
Caio Roque D 45 6.70 11 9% 1
Kadir Barría F 22 6.90 3 2% 1
Lucas Villalba F 30 7.90 1 1 7 4% 4
Newton M 10 6.70 1 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 23% to a draw, and 26% to an Botafogo win.