Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 02:20
Tche Tche
33'
Lucas Freitas
(ast. Lucas Piton)
55'
David
(ast. Ramon Rique)
90'+2
90'+5
(ast. Matheus Pereira)
Felipe Morais
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cruzeiro a 37% win probability (draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 36%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
5
3.24
Actual xG
0.26
5
Saves
7
46%
Possession
54%
11
Corners
2
14
Tackles
26
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
24'
Joao Marcelo
Adson
27'
⚽Tche Tche
33'
⚽Lucas Freitas
· ast. Lucas Piton
55'
62'
Matheus Pereira
/
L. Rodriguez
62'
Wesley
/
J. Costa
Adson
/ J. Rodriguez
70'
S. Sosa
/ Cauan Barros
79'
F. Colidio
/ David
79'
79'
Felipe Morais
/
Kenji
79'
Lucas Silva
/
Ze Lucas
A. Gomez
/ M. Hinestroza
85'
Tche Tche
/ Ramon Rique
85'
85'
Wanderson
/
N. Villarreal
⚽David
· ast. Ramon Rique
90'+2
Lucas Freitas
90'+4
90'+5
ast. Matheus Pereira ·
Felipe Morais⚽
Pre-match prediction
36.1%
Vasco ←
26.75%
X
37.15%
Cruzeiro
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
36.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.14
3.24
+2.1
1.23
0.26
-0.97
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (3.24 vs 0.26).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
1 👟
D
Lucas Piton
1 👟
D
43
Lucas Freitas
1 ⚽
D
Lucas Freitas
1 ⚽
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
5
S. Sosa
79'
M
S. Sosa
79'
M
11
A. Gómez
85'
M
A. Gómez
85'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
3
Tchê Tchê
1 ⚽
85'
M
Tchê Tchê
1 ⚽
85'
M
28
Adson
70'
M
Adson
70'
M
9
F. Colidio
79'
F
F. Colidio
79'
F
Bench
4
A. Saldivia
D
A. Saldivia
D
82
Avellar
D
Avellar
D
80
Bruno Andre
D
Bruno Andre
D
88
Cauan Barros
14'
M
Cauan Barros
14'
M
77
C. Spinelli
F
C. Spinelli
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
1 ⚽
14'
F
David
1 ⚽
14'
F
2
J. Rodríguez
23'
D
J. Rodríguez
23'
D
18
M. Hinestroza
8'
F
M. Hinestroza
8'
F
17
Nuno Moreira
M
Nuno Moreira
M
83
Ramon Rique
1 👟
8'
M
Ramon Rique
1 👟
8'
M
81
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
G
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
G
27
G. Rojas
D
G. Rojas
D
34
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
43
João Marcelo
D
João Marcelo
D
12
William
D
William
D
5
Zé Lucas
79'
M
Zé Lucas
79'
M
7
Matheus Henrique
M
Matheus Henrique
M
70
Kenji
79'
M
Kenji
79'
M
97
L. Rodríguez
62'
M
L. Rodríguez
62'
M
67
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
62'
M
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco
62'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
85'
F
Néiser Villarreal
85'
F
Bench
1
Cássio
G
Cássio
G
23
Fágner
D
Fágner
D
38
Felipe Morais
1 ⚽
14'
M
Felipe Morais
1 ⚽
14'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
F
Kaio Jorge
F
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
29
L. Romero
M
L. Romero
M
16
Lucas Silva
14'
M
Lucas Silva
14'
M
25
L. Villalba
D
L. Villalba
D
11
Marquinhos
F
Marquinhos
F
10
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
31'
M
Matheus Pereira
1 👟
31'
M
94
Wanderson
8'
F
Wanderson
8'
F
20
Wesley Gassova
31'
F
Wesley Gassova
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Lucas Piton
D · Vasco
9.50
1 👟
· 51 pass
Tchê Tchê
M · Vasco
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Lucas Freitas
D · Vasco
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 47 pass
Ramon Rique
M · Vasco
7.70
1 👟
· 3 pass
Thiago Mendes
M · Vasco
7.70
· 50 pass
A. Gómez
M · Vasco
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 93 | 9.50 | — | 1 | — | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 93 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| S. Sosa | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 85 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 70 | 5.70 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Colidio | F | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 5 | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| David | F | 14 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 8 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa | G | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 13% | — | — | — |
| G. Rojas | D | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Jonathan | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | 3 | — | — |
| João Marcelo | D | 93 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 87 | 78% | 4 | 1 | — |
| William | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 5 | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Kenji | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| João Gabriel e Costa Cesco | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Néiser Villarreal | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Morais | M | 14 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Wanderson | F | 8 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley Gassova | F | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 26% to a draw, and 37% to an Cruzeiro win.