← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 7 March 19, 2026 02:30
Vasco DA Gama
#8 · 20 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Fluminense
#3 · 27 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 34% win probability (draw 30%, Fluminense 34%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Fluminense. In 2 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
0.99
Actual xG
0.73
52%
Possession
48%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
34.51%
Vasco ←
30.51%
X
34.99%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama) 34.51% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Vasco
1.29
0.99
-0.3
Fluminense
1.34
0.73
-0.61
xG dominance was balanced (0.99 – 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Fluminense win.