Vasco DA Gama - Fluminense
Copa do Brasil
August 01, 2026 22:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.6%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
27.82%
Draw
39.58%
Win
Fluminense
1.23
1.51
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.95%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
28%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
67%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fluminense a 39% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vasco DA Gama. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.5 for Fluminense (total 2.7), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.95% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.
Season Stats
5W
7D
2L
8W
2D
2L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
2.0
0.8
Conceded
0.7
5.5
Shots OT
5.9
4.9
Corners
6.1
57%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
79%
O 1.5
67%
43%
O 2.5
50%
57%
BTTS
50%
36%
Clean Sht
42%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
31%
O 3.5
79%
BTTS
2W
3D
1L
· at home
4W
1D
2L
· away
1.7
gls/g
2.4
1.3
Conceded
0.9
33%
Win %
57%
83%
Win or Draw
71%
100%
O 1.5
71%
67%
O 2.5
71%
33%
O 3.5
29%
100%
BTTS
57%
0%
Clean Sht
29%
0%
Failed to Score
29%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Vasco DA Gama
Attack
37
Defence
57
Form
40
Fluminense
Attack
44
Defence
78
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama a 32% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 39% for an Fluminense win.
How many goals are expected in Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.2, Fluminense 1.5 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.95%.