Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 20
July 26, 2026 01:30
A. Gomez
80'
30'
(ast. Reinaldo)
Igor Formiga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Mirassol 27%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Mirassol. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mirassol.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.83
Actual xG
0.84
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
5
17
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
30'
ast. Reinaldo ·
Igor Formiga⚽
36'
Lucas Oliveira
/
Jose Aldo
46'
Carlos Eduardo
/
Gustavo Silva
Tche Tche
/ N. Moreira
60'
Adson
/ David
60'
66'
Walter
69'
Fernandinho
/
Edson Carioca
69'
Eduardo
/
Japa
Ramon Rique
/ Jair
70'
Cuiabano
/ Lucas Piton
71'
Cauan Barros
/ J. Rojas
74'
⚽A. Gomez
80'
82'
Chico Kim
/
Denilson
N. Moreira
83'
Pre-match prediction
43.72%
Vasco
28.41%
X ←
27.86%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.83
+0.66
0.90
0.84
-0.06
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.84).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leo Jardim
G
Leo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
71'
D
Cuiabano
71'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
2
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
3
Tche Tche
60'
M
Tche Tche
60'
M
88
Cauan Barros
74'
M
Cauan Barros
74'
M
11
A. Gómez
1 ⚽
M
A. Gómez
1 ⚽
M
83
Ramon Rique
70'
M
Ramon Rique
70'
M
28
Adson
60'
M
Adson
60'
M
77
C. Spinelli
F
C. Spinelli
F
Bench
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
37'
F
David
37'
F
8
Jair
27'
M
Jair
27'
M
60
João Vitor Silva
F
João Vitor Silva
F
98
JP
M
JP
M
10
J. Rojas
23'
F
J. Rojas
23'
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
26'
D
Lucas Piton
26'
D
18
M. Hinestroza
F
M. Hinestroza
F
17
N. Moreira
37'
M
N. Moreira
37'
M
29
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
1 👟
D
Reinaldo
1 👟
D
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
1 ⚽
D
Igor Formiga
1 ⚽
D
5
Japa
69'
M
Japa
69'
M
21
Jose Aldo
36'
M
Jose Aldo
36'
M
8
Denilson
82'
M
Denilson
82'
M
95
Edson Carioca
69'
F
Edson Carioca
69'
F
30
Bruno Santos
F
Bruno Santos
F
19
Gustavo Silva
45'
F
Gustavo Silva
45'
F
Bench
27
A. Galeano
F
A. Galeano
F
9
Andre Luis
F
Andre Luis
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
52'
F
Carlos Eduardo
52'
F
10
Chico Kim
15'
M
Chico Kim
15'
M
33
Eduardo
28'
M
Eduardo
28'
M
18
Elias
D
Elias
D
17
Fernandinho
28'
F
Fernandinho
28'
F
2
Lucas Oliveira
61'
D
Lucas Oliveira
61'
D
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
Best on the pitch
A. Gómez
M · Vasco
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 29 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
8.20
· 32 pass
João Victor
D · Mirassol
8.00
· 43 pass
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.20
· 47 pass
C. Cuesta
D · Vasco
7.20
1 shots
· 54 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Jardim | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Tche Tche | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 97 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| David | F | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jair | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | F | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Moreira | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 97 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Aldo | M | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 69 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Chico Kim | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 28 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Mirassol win.