Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 00:00
J. Rodriguez
(ast. Adson)
39'
N. Moreira
(ast. Adson)
51'
Adson
(ast. J. Rojas)
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Olimpia 28%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Olimpia. In 3 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Olimpia.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
6
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
H. Sandoval
Adson
14'
⚽J. Rodriguez
· ast. Adson
39'
⚽N. Moreira
· ast. Adson
51'
⚽Adson
· ast. J. Rojas
55'
57'
I. Leguizamon
/
R. Lezcano
57'
R. Sanchez
/
A. F. Franco Zayas
57'
J. F. Alfaro
/
R. Ortiz
65'
A. Alcaraz
/
H. Sandoval
Ramon Rique
/ Cauan Barros
70'
J. Rodriguez
/ Paulo Henrique
70'
Lucas Piton
/ Riquelme Avellar
70'
J. Rojas
/ Brenner
78'
Adson
/ M. Hinestroza
78'
84'
A. Silva
/
H. Quintana
Lucas Freitas
90'+4
Brenner
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.65%
Vasco ←
29.6%
X
28.75%
Olimpia
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
41.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.25
-0.03
1.08
0.45
-0.63
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
70'
D
Lucas Piton
70'
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
4
A. Saldivia
D
A. Saldivia
D
2
J. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
70'
D
J. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
70'
D
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
83
Ramon Rique
70'
M
Ramon Rique
70'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
1 ⚽
M
Nuno Moreira
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Rojas
1 👟
78'
M
J. Rojas
1 👟
78'
M
28
Adson
1 ⚽
2 👟
78'
M
Adson
1 ⚽
2 👟
78'
M
77
C. Spinelli
F
C. Spinelli
F
Bench
82
Avellar
20'
D
Avellar
20'
D
20
Brenner
12'
F
Brenner
12'
F
88
Cauan Barros
20'
M
Cauan Barros
20'
M
7
David
F
David
F
86
Lukas Zuccarello
M
Lukas Zuccarello
M
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
18
M. Hinestroza
12'
F
M. Hinestroza
12'
F
96
Paulo Henrique
20'
D
Paulo Henrique
20'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
1
Gastón Olveira
G
30
Alan Rodríguez
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
22
D
4
D
6
Richard Ortiz
57'
M
37
R. Benitez
M
R. Benitez
M
28
H. Quintana
84'
M
H. Quintana
84'
M
8
Alex Franco
57'
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
57'
M
9
Hugo Sandoval
65'
F
Bench
17
Adrián Alcaraz
25'
F
Adrián Alcaraz
25'
F
3
Alejandro Silva
12'
M
Alejandro Silva
12'
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
7
Fernando Cardozo
F
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
29
I. Leguizamon
33'
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
33'
M
27
Raúl Cáceres
D
26
Richard Sánchez
33'
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
F
Best on the pitch
Adson
M · Vasco
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Vasco
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Nuno Moreira
M · Vasco
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
J. Rojas
M · Vasco
7.90
1 👟
4 shots
· 31 pass
Lucas Freitas
D · Vasco
7.50
· 57 pass
A. Saldivia
D · Vasco
7.50
· 73 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Saldivia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 78 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 4 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Adson | M | 78 | 9.30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Avellar | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| Richard Ortiz | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Rubén Lezcano | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Silva | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Leguizamon | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Sánchez | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Olimpia.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Olimpia win.