Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
May 01, 2026 00:00
J. Rodriguez
(ast. Adson)
39'
N. Moreira
(ast. Adson)
51'
Adson
(ast. J. Rojas)
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Olimpia 28%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Olimpia. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Olimpia.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
8
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
0.45
2
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
4
Corners
6
19
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
H. Sandoval
Adson
14'
⚽J. Rodriguez
· ast. Adson
39'
⚽N. Moreira
· ast. Adson
51'
⚽Adson
· ast. J. Rojas
55'
57'
I. Leguizamon
/
R. Lezcano
57'
R. Sanchez
/
A. F. Franco Zayas
57'
J. F. Alfaro
/
R. Ortiz
65'
A. Alcaraz
/
H. Sandoval
Ramon Rique
/ Cauan Barros
70'
J. Rodriguez
/ Paulo Henrique
70'
Lucas Piton
/ Riquelme Avellar
70'
J. Rojas
/ Brenner
78'
Adson
/ M. Hinestroza
78'
84'
A. Silva
/
H. Quintana
Lucas Freitas
90'+4
Brenner
90'
Pre-match prediction
41.65%
Vasco ←
29.6%
X
28.75%
Olimpia
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
41.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.25
-0.03
1.08
0.45
-0.63
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.45).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
70'
D
Lucas Piton
70'
D
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
4
Alan Saldivia
D
Alan Saldivia
D
2
Puma Rodríguez
1 ⚽
70'
D
Puma Rodríguez
1 ⚽
70'
D
25
Hugo Moura
M
Hugo Moura
M
83
Ramon Rique
70'
M
Ramon Rique
70'
M
17
Nuno Moreira
1 ⚽
M
Nuno Moreira
1 ⚽
M
10
Johan Rojas
1 👟
78'
M
Johan Rojas
1 👟
78'
M
28
Adson
1 ⚽
2 👟
78'
M
Adson
1 ⚽
2 👟
78'
M
77
Claudio Spinelli
F
Claudio Spinelli
F
Bench
20
Brenner
12'
F
Brenner
12'
F
88
Cauan Barros
20'
M
Cauan Barros
20'
M
7
David
F
David
F
86
Lukas Zuccarello
M
Lukas Zuccarello
M
18
Marino Hinestroza
12'
F
Marino Hinestroza
12'
F
9
Matheus França
F
Matheus França
F
96
Paulo Henrique
20'
D
Paulo Henrique
20'
D
82
Riquelme Avellar
20'
D
Riquelme Avellar
20'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
1
Gastón Olveira
G
Gastón Olveira
G
30
A. Rodríguez
D
A. Rodríguez
D
15
M. Gamarra
D
M. Gamarra
D
22
D
4
D
6
R. Ortiz
57'
M
R. Ortiz
57'
M
37
R. Benitez
M
R. Benitez
M
28
H. Quintana
84'
M
H. Quintana
84'
M
8
Alex Franco
57'
M
Alex Franco
57'
M
19
R. Lezcano
57'
M
R. Lezcano
57'
M
9
Hugo Sandoval
65'
F
Hugo Sandoval
65'
F
Bench
17
A. Alcaraz
25'
F
A. Alcaraz
25'
F
3
Alejandro Silva
12'
M
Alejandro Silva
12'
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
7
Fernando Cardozo
F
Fernando Cardozo
F
14
G. Vargas
D
G. Vargas
D
29
I. Leguizamon
33'
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
33'
M
Juan Fernando Alfaro
33'
M
27
R. Cáceres
D
R. Cáceres
D
26
R. Sánchez
33'
M
R. Sánchez
33'
M
11
S. Ferreira
F
S. Ferreira
F
Best on the pitch
Adson
M · Vasco
9.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
1 shots
· 27 pass
Puma Rodríguez
D · Vasco
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Nuno Moreira
M · Vasco
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Johan Rojas
M · Vasco
7.90
1 👟
4 shots
· 31 pass
Lucas Freitas
D · Vasco
7.50
· 57 pass
Alan Saldivia
D · Vasco
7.50
· 73 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alan Saldivia | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 73 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 70 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Johan Rojas | M | 78 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 4 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Adson | M | 78 | 9.30 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 6 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Riquelme Avellar | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gamarra | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 39% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 22% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Ortiz | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Franco | M | 57 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lezcano | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Alcaraz | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Silva | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Leguizamon | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 33 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Sánchez | M | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 3–0 Olimpia.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 29% to a draw, and 28% to an Olimpia win.