Vasco DA Gama - Olimpia
Copa Sudamericana
August 12, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.51%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
26.83%
Draw
35.66%
Win
Olimpia
1.8
1.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.32%)
1X2 Result
✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1
38%
X
27%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
63%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5
61%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vasco DA Gama a 37% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vasco DA Gama and 1.8 for Olimpia (total 3.6), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.32% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Olimpia.
Season Stats
6W
4D
5L
5W
1D
1L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.6
1.2
Conceded
0.9
5.0
Shots OT
6.3
4.6
Corners
5.1
55%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
71%
60%
O 2.5
57%
40%
BTTS
43%
47%
Clean Sht
43%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
5W
2D
1L
· at home
3W
0D
1L
· away
1.6
gls/g
1.2
0.4
Conceded
1.0
63%
Win %
75%
88%
Win or Draw
75%
63%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
25%
BTTS
25%
75%
Clean Sht
50%
13%
Failed to Score
25%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Vasco DA Gama
Olimpia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Vasco DA Gama
Attack
38
Defence
65
Form
45
Olimpia
Attack
54
Defence
61
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama a 37% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 35% for an Olimpia win.
How many goals are expected in Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.8, Olimpia 1.8 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.32%.