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Vasco DA Gama - Santa Fe

Copa Sudamericana September 16, 2026 00:00
Vasco DA Gama
#2 · 10 pts
vs
Santa Fe
⚡ Pre-match analysis
56.18%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
24.19%
Draw
19.63%
Win
Santa Fe
1.78
Expected xG
0.79
Most likely outcome
Vasco DA Gama
56.18%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 4 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.32%)
1X2 Result
1 56%
X 24%
2 20%
Double Chance
1X 80%
X2 44%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vasco DA Gama a 56% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Santa Fe. Expected goals are 1.8 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.8 for Santa Fe (total 2.6), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.32% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.

Season Stats

Vasco DA Gama
6W 5D 4L
Santa Fe
2W 3D 0L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.2
1.0
Conceded
0.2
5.3
Shots OT
2.8
4.6
Corners
2.8
53%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
60%
O 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
20%
47%
Clean Sht
80%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
36%
BTTS
Vasco DA Gama
5W 3D 1L · at home
Santa Fe
1W 1D 0L · away
1.4
gls/g
2.0
0.3
Conceded
0.5
56%
Win %
50%
89%
Win or Draw
100%
56%
O 1.5
100%
44%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
22%
BTTS
50%
78%
Clean Sht
50%
22%
Failed to Score
0%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vasco DA Gama Santa Fe →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 13.6% 10.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% —
2 12.1% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 7.2% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
D Santa Fe 0–0
W Olimpia 1–4
D Olimpia 0–0
W Independiente Medellin 1–0
D Independiente Medellin 2–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 41%
Santa Fe Santa Fe
D Vasco DA Gama 0–0
D River Plate 1–1
D River Plate 0–0
W Caracas FC 0–3
W Caracas FC 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
46
Defence
71
Form
67
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Attack
33
Defence
68
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Vasco DA Gama
1
Draw
0
Santa Fe
9 Sep 2026 Copa Sudamericana 0–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama a 56% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 19% for an Santa Fe win.
How many goals are expected in Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.8, Santa Fe 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.32%.