Copa Sudamericana
· Quarter-finals
September 16, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Vasco DA Gama
Bruno Duarte Da Silva
(ast. Alan Saldivia)
37'
David
(ast. Jose Luis Rodriguez)
65'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 58% win probability (draw 23%, Santa Fe 17%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Santa Fe. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Santa Fe.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
5
26
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
Emanuel Olivera
⚽Bruno Duarte Da Silva
· ast. Alan Saldivia
37'
40'
Maximiliano Lovera
/
Emerson Rodriguez
62'
Nahuel Bustos
/
Jader Obrian
62'
Kilian Toscano
/
Daniel Torres
Bruno Duarte Da Silva
/ David
62'
Adson
/ Nuno Moreira
63'
Marino Hinestroza
/ Andrés Gómez
63'
Ramon Rique Santos De Souza Barros
/ Thiago Mendes
63'
⚽David
· ast. Jose Luis Rodriguez
65'
82'
Alexis Zapata
/
Jhojan Torres
Santiago Sosa
/ Lucas Freitas
83'
Pre-match prediction
58.45%
Vasco ←
23.78%
X
17.77%
Santa
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
58.45%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
—
—
0.72
—
—
Lineups
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
4
Alan Saldivia
1 👟
D
Alan Saldivia
1 👟
D
2
Puma Rodríguez
1 👟
D
Puma Rodríguez
1 👟
D
83
Ramon Rique
63'
M
Ramon Rique
63'
M
5
Santiago Sosa
83'
M
Santiago Sosa
83'
M
18
Marino Hinestroza
63'
M
Marino Hinestroza
63'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
28
Adson
63'
M
Adson
63'
M
19
Bruno Duarte
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bruno Duarte
1 ⚽
62'
F
Bench
11
A. Gómez
27'
F
A. Gómez
27'
F
77
C. Spinelli
F
C. Spinelli
F
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
1 ⚽
28'
F
David
1 ⚽
28'
F
8
Jair
M
Jair
M
10
J. Rojas
F
J. Rojas
F
43
Lucas Freitas
7'
D
Lucas Freitas
7'
D
17
Nuno Moreira
27'
M
Nuno Moreira
27'
M
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
23
Thiago Mendes
27'
M
Thiago Mendes
27'
M
1
A. Mosquera
G
A. Mosquera
G
32
Christian Mafla
D
Christian Mafla
D
3
Victor Moreno
D
Victor Moreno
D
18
Emanuel Olivera
D
Emanuel Olivera
D
13
Helibelton Palacios
D
Helibelton Palacios
D
16
Daniel Torres
62'
M
Daniel Torres
62'
M
7
Jhojan Torres
82'
M
Jhojan Torres
82'
M
25
Emerson Rodríguez
40'
M
Emerson Rodríguez
40'
M
9
Franco Fagúndez
M
Franco Fagúndez
M
77
Jader Obrian
62'
M
Jader Obrian
62'
M
11
Hugo Rodallega
F
Hugo Rodallega
F
Bench
10
Alexis Zapata
8'
M
Alexis Zapata
8'
M
21
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
Ewil Murillo Renteria
M
15
Ivan Scarpeta
D
Ivan Scarpeta
D
24
Jeison Angulo
D
Jeison Angulo
D
31
Juan Espitia
G
Juan Espitia
G
6
Kilian Toscano
28'
F
Kilian Toscano
28'
F
14
Luis Angel Palacios
F
Luis Angel Palacios
F
4
Mateo Puerta
D
Mateo Puerta
D
17
Maximiliano Lovera
50'
F
Maximiliano Lovera
50'
F
19
N. Bustos
28'
F
N. Bustos
28'
F
12
Weimar Asprilla
G
Weimar Asprilla
G
Best on the pitch
Puma Rodríguez
D · Vasco
7.93
1 👟
2 shots
· 45 pass
Bruno Duarte
F · Vasco
7.71
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Léo Jardim
G · Vasco
7.40
· 17 pass
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
7.37
· 36 pass
David
F · Vasco
7.26
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Alan Saldivia
D · Vasco
7.05
1 👟
1 shots
· 32 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 3 | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.37 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Alan Saldivia | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.93 | — | 1 | 2 | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 63 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Sosa | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | M | 63 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Adson | M | 63 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Duarte | F | 62 | 7.71 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gómez | F | 27 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| David | F | 28 | 7.26 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 7 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 27 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 27 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Santa Fe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mosquera | G | 90 | 5.71 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Christian Mafla | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| Victor Moreno | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| Emanuel Olivera | D | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Helibelton Palacios | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Torres | M | 62 | 5.44 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Jhojan Torres | M | 82 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Emerson Rodríguez | M | 40 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Franco Fagúndez | M | 90 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Obrian | M | 62 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| Hugo Rodallega | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Alexis Zapata | M | 8 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Kilian Toscano | F | 28 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| Maximiliano Lovera | F | 50 | 5.72 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Bustos | F | 28 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Santa Fe.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Santa Fe?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Santa Fe win.