Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 21:00
68'
(ast. B. Rollheiser)
Gabriel Barbosa
77'
Willian Arao
81'
Luan Peres
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vasco DA Gama a 42% win probability (draw 28%, Santos 28%). The final result was Vasco DA Gama 0–3 Santos. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
1.04
Actual xG
1.88
2
Saves
4
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
2
9
Tackles
27
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Jair
/ S. Sosa
14'
Robert Renan
39'
62'
Gustavo Henrique
/
C. Oliva
62'
Rony
/
A. Barreal
63'
B. Rollheiser
/
G. Caballero
F. Colidio
/ M. Hinestroza
65'
C. Spinelli
/ David
65'
Lucas Piton
/ J. Rodriguez
66'
68'
ast. B. Rollheiser ·
Gabriel Barbosa⚽
69'
Thaciano
/
Gabriel Barbosa
Tche Tche
/ N. Moreira
75'
77'
Willian Arao⚽
81'
Luan Peres⚽
Paulo Henrique
84'
89'
Joao Ananias
/
Joao Schmidt
Pre-match prediction
42.61%
Vasco
28.65%
X
28.74%
Santos ←
we assigned to the actual result (Santos)
28.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.04
-0.12
0.92
1.88
+0.96
Santos dominated by xG (1.88 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Leo Jardim
G
Leo Jardim
G
6
Lucas Piton
66'
D
Lucas Piton
66'
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
C. Cuesta
D
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
8
Jair
14'
M
Jair
14'
M
9
F. Colidio
65'
M
F. Colidio
65'
M
3
Tche Tche
75'
M
Tche Tche
75'
M
11
A. Gómez
M
A. Gómez
M
77
C. Spinelli
65'
F
C. Spinelli
65'
F
Bench
28
Adson
F
Adson
F
82
Avellar
D
Avellar
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
Cauan Barros
M
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
7
David
29'
F
David
29'
F
2
J. Rodríguez
28'
D
J. Rodríguez
28'
D
10
J. Rojas
F
J. Rojas
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
18
M. Hinestroza
29'
F
M. Hinestroza
29'
F
17
N. Moreira
19'
M
N. Moreira
19'
M
83
Ramon Rique
M
Ramon Rique
M
5
S. Sosa
80'
M
S. Sosa
80'
M
77
Gabriel Brazão
G
Gabriel Brazão
G
31
G. Escobar
D
G. Escobar
D
14
Luan Peres
1 ⚽
D
Luan Peres
1 ⚽
D
15
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
Willian Arão
1 ⚽
D
18
Igor Vinícius
D
Igor Vinícius
D
5
João Schmidt
89'
M
João Schmidt
89'
M
28
Christian Oliva
62'
M
Christian Oliva
62'
M
22
Álvaro Barreal
62'
M
Álvaro Barreal
62'
M
10
Neymar
M
Neymar
M
17
Gustavo Caballero
63'
M
Gustavo Caballero
63'
M
9
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
69'
F
Gabriel Barbosa
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
1 👟
31'
F
Benjamín Rollheiser
1 👟
31'
F
27
D. Fernandes
F
D. Fernandes
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
48
Gustavinho
32'
M
Gustavinho
32'
M
42
João Alencar
D
João Alencar
D
34
João Paulo
G
João Paulo
G
26
João Paulo Ananias
5'
D
João Paulo Ananias
5'
D
30
Miguelito
M
Miguelito
M
7
Nikita Solodchenko
F
Nikita Solodchenko
F
11
Rony
32'
F
Rony
32'
F
81
Samuel Mendes
M
Samuel Mendes
M
16
Thaciano
25'
M
Thaciano
25'
M
Best on the pitch
Willian Arão
D · Santos
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 35 pass
Luan Peres
D · Santos
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 28 pass
Gabriel Barbosa
F · Santos
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
João Schmidt
M · Santos
7.30
· 38 pass
G. Escobar
D · Santos
7.20
· 26 pass
Gabriel Brazão
G · Santos
7.20
· 23 pass
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Jardim | G | 94 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| F. Colidio | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Tche Tche | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| A. Gómez | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| David | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 28 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| N. Moreira | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Sosa | M | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Escobar | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 94 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Arão | D | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 8% | 5 | — | — |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Neymar | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 4 | 35 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 69 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Vasco DA Gama vs Santos?
The final score was Vasco DA Gama 0–3 Santos.
What did the model predict before Vasco DA Gama vs Santos?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Vasco DA Gama win, 28% to a draw, and 28% to an Santos win.