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Vasco DA Gama - Vitoria

Copa do Brasil August 26, 2026 22:00
Vasco DA Gama
vs
Vitoria
⚡ Pre-match analysis
50.2%
Win
Vasco DA Gama
28.13%
Draw
21.67%
Win
Vitoria
1.69
Expected xG
0.74

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.66%)
1X2 Result
1 50%
X 28%
2 22%
Double Chance
1X 78%
X2 50%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 69%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Vasco DA Gama a 50% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Vitoria. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vasco DA Gama and 0.7 for Vitoria (total 2.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.66% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Vasco DA Gama have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.

Season Stats

Vasco DA Gama
5W 8D 2L
Vitoria
3W 0D 3L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.0
4.8
Shots OT
3.0
4.4
Corners
4.3
54%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
83%
40%
O 2.5
33%
60%
BTTS
17%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Vasco DA Gama
2W 4D 1L · at home
Vitoria
1W 0D 2L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.7
1.1
Conceded
1.3
29%
Win %
33%
86%
Win or Draw
33%
86%
O 1.5
67%
57%
O 2.5
33%
29%
O 3.5
0%
86%
BTTS
33%
14%
Clean Sht
33%
14%
Failed to Score
33%
last 7
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Vasco DA Gama Vitoria →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8% 6.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% —
1 14.9% 11.0% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% —
2 12.6% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 7.1% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% — —
5 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
W Fluminense 1–3
D Fluminense 0–0
D Paysandu 2–2
W Paysandu 0–2
L Corinthians 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 44%
Vitoria Vitoria
W Atletico Paranaense 4–0
L Atletico Paranaense 2–0
W Flamengo 2–0
L Flamengo 2–1
L Nautico Recife 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Attack
34
Defence
78
Form
54
Vitoria Vitoria
Attack
30
Defence
56
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Vasco DA Gama
0
Draw
1
Vitoria
17 Jul 2026 Brasileirão Série A 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
The model gives Vasco DA Gama a 50% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 21% for an Vitoria win.
How many goals are expected in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
Expected goals: Vasco DA Gama 1.7, Vitoria 0.7 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Vasco DA Gama vs Vitoria?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.66%.