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Velez Sarsfield - Boca Juniors

Copa Argentina September 03, 2026 02:15
Velez Sarsfield
vs
Boca Juniors
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.26%
Win
Velez Sarsfield
32.02%
Draw
31.73%
Win
Boca Juniors
1.27
Expected xG
0.96

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (14.65%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
✓ 75.0% hit rate (12 picks)
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Velez Sarsfield a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Boca Juniors. Expected goals are 1.3 for Velez Sarsfield and 1.0 for Boca Juniors (total 2.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.65% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Boca Juniors.

Season Stats

Velez Sarsfield
2W 0D 0L
Boca Juniors
2W 0D 0L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ Based on the last 2 matches in Copa Argentina. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Velez Sarsfield
2W 0D 0L · at home
Boca Juniors
1W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
2.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
100%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Velez Sarsfield Boca Juniors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7% 10.3% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.1% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.7% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
W Gimnasia Y Tiro 2–0
W Deportivo Armenio 4–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
W Sarmiento Junin 0–2
W Gimnasia Chivilcoy 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
Attack
38
Defence
63
Form
65
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
Attack
33
Defence
77
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Velez Sarsfield
1
Draw
0
Boca Juniors
9 Aug 2026 Liga Profesional 1–1
9 Feb 2026 Liga Profesional 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
The model gives Velez Sarsfield a 36% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an Boca Juniors win.
How many goals are expected in Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
Expected goals: Velez Sarsfield 1.3, Boca Juniors 1.0 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Velez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.65%.