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(pen.) 13' M. Torres
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Gimnasia L.P. 28%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia L.P..

Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
3
1.35
Actual xG
1.02
2
Saves
5
71%
Possession
29%
16
Corners
0
13
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
J. Garcia
10'
13'
(pen.) M. Torres
M. Lanzini
18'
21'
German Conti
25'
M. Torres
R. Aliendro / M. Pellegrini
46'
55'
E. Martinez
57'
M. Melluso / A. Max
57'
R. Giampaoli / P. Silva Torrejon
67'
A. Auzmendi
L. Robertone / D. Valdes
71'
76'
M. Panaro / M. Torres
76'
B. Barros Schelotto / M. Seoane
80'
N. Fernandez
J. Garcia / D. Godoy
81'
88'
G. Errecalde / A. Auzmendi
90'+1
N. Insfran
Pre-match prediction
45.62%
Velez
26.0%
X
28.39%
Gimnasia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia L.P.) 28.39% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Velez
1.38
1.35
-0.03
Gimnasia
1.05
1.02
-0.03
Velez Sarsfield dominated by xG (1.35 vs 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 16 30
3 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 16 28
4 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 16 26
5 Independiente Independiente 16 24
6 Lanus Lanus 16 24
7 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 16 22
8 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 16 21
9 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 16 21
10 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 16 19
11 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 16 19
12 Platense Platense 16 16
13 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 16 16
14 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 16 15
15 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 16 11
Lineups
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
12 Álvaro Montero Álvaro Montero G 7.00
3 Elías Gómez Elías Gómez D 6.90
16 Lisandro Magallán Lisandro Magallán D 6.50
2 Emanuel Mammana Emanuel Mammana D 7.20
4 Joaquín García Joaquín García 81' D 5.70
8 Lucas Robertone Lucas Robertone 71' M 8.90
5 Claudio Baeza Claudio Baeza M 7.70
29 Rodrigo Aliendro Rodrigo Aliendro 45' M 6.30
22 Manuel Lanzini Manuel Lanzini M 7.30
50 Tobías Andrada Tobías Andrada M 7.50
23 F. Monzón F. Monzón F 5.90
Bench
6 Aarón Quirós Aarón Quirós D
47 Alexis Pereyra Alexis Pereyra D
17 Alex Verón Alex Verón F
15 Dilan Godoy Dilan Godoy 19' F 6.30
10 D. Valdés D. Valdés 29' M 7.30
48 Luca Feler Luca Feler M
35 Matias Arias Matias Arias F
11 Matías Pellegrini Matías Pellegrini 55' F 6.70
18 Simon Escobar Simon Escobar D
39 Thiago Aguirre Thiago Aguirre F
32 Thiago Silvero Thiago Silvero D
1 Tomás Marchiori Tomás Marchiori G
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
23 Nelson Insfrán Nelson Insfrán G 8.50
24 Pedro Silva Pedro Silva 57' D 6.60
21 E. Martínez E. Martínez 55' D 5.90
13 Germán Conti Germán Conti D 7.50
25 A. Steimbach A. Steimbach D 7.20
18 Mateo Seoane Mateo Seoane 76' M 6.70
16 A. Max A. Max 57' M 7.30
5 Ignacio Miramón Ignacio Miramón M 6.90
8 I. Fernández I. Fernández M 6.90
29 Agustín Auzmendi Agustín Auzmendi 88' F 6.60
32 M. Torres M. Torres 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30
Bench
31 Bautista Barros Schelotto Bautista Barros Schelotto 24' D 6.90
28 Cayetano Bolzan Cayetano Bolzan F
26 Franco Torres Franco Torres F
14 Gonzalo Errecalde Gonzalo Errecalde 12' D 6.20
20 Juan Pérez Juan Pérez M
27 Julián Kadijevic Julián Kadijevic G
19 Lucas Castro Lucas Castro M
22 Matías Melluso Matías Melluso 43' D 7.20
43 Maximiliano Zalazar Maximiliano Zalazar F
7 M. Panaro M. Panaro 24' F 6.30
33 Pablo Aguiar Pablo Aguiar M
4 Renzo Giampaoli Renzo Giampaoli 43' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
Lucas Robertone
Lucas Robertone
M · Velez
8.90
1 shots · 50 pass
Nelson Insfrán
Nelson Insfrán
G · Gimnasia
8.50
· 25 pass
Claudio Baeza
Claudio Baeza
M · Velez
7.70
· 83 pass
Tobías Andrada
Tobías Andrada
M · Velez
7.50
1 shots · 59 pass
Germán Conti
Germán Conti
D · Gimnasia
7.50
· 19 pass
D. Valdés
D. Valdés
M · Velez
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Álvaro Montero G 100 7.00 10 8%
Elías Gómez D 100 6.90 50 40% 2
Lisandro Magallán D 100 6.50 3 47 37%
Emanuel Mammana D 100 7.20 2 46 40% 2
Joaquín García D 81 5.70 54 42% 1
Lucas Robertone M 71 8.90 1 50 45% 2
Claudio Baeza M 100 7.70 83 66% 3
Rodrigo Aliendro M 45 6.30 19 12% 1
Manuel Lanzini M 100 7.30 3 40 34% 1 1
Tobías Andrada M 100 7.50 1 59 54% 1
F. Monzón F 100 5.90 3 19 15%
Dilan Godoy F 19 6.30 4 3%
D. Valdés M 29 7.30 1 23 23%
Matías Pellegrini F 55 6.70 1 17 14% 1
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nelson Insfrán G 100 8.50 25 11% 1
Pedro Silva D 57 6.60 17 12%
E. Martínez D 55 5.90 26 19% 1
Germán Conti D 100 7.50 19 14% 2 1
A. Steimbach D 100 7.20 1 16 12% 2
Mateo Seoane M 76 6.70 1 16 13%
A. Max M 57 7.30 16 10% 2
Ignacio Miramón M 100 6.90 19 13%
I. Fernández M 100 6.90 32 19% 1 1
Agustín Auzmendi F 88 6.60 1 17 11% 1
M. Torres F 76 7.30 1 1 11 11% 1
Bautista Barros Schelotto D 24 6.90 2 2% 1
Gonzalo Errecalde D 12 6.20
Matías Melluso D 43 7.20 4 2% 2
M. Panaro F 24 6.30 2
Renzo Giampaoli D 43 7.20 10 5%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The final score was Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia L.P..
What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.