Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia L.P. — pre-match prediction — Liga Profesional — May 11, 2026

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Liga Profesional · Apertura - Round of 16 May 11, 2026 02:30

Velez Sarsfield

#3 · 28 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Gimnasia L.P.

#6 · 26 pts

(pen.) 13' M. Torres

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Gimnasia L.P. 28%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia L.P..

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.35

Actual xG

1.02

Saves

71%

Possession

29%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

J. Garcia

10'

13'

(pen.) M. Torres⚽

M. Lanzini

18'

21'

German Conti

25'

M. Torres

↕ R. Aliendro / M. Pellegrini

46'

55'

E. Martinez

57'

M. Melluso / A. Max ↕

57'

R. Giampaoli / P. Silva Torrejon ↕

67'

A. Auzmendi

↕ L. Robertone / D. Valdes

71'

76'

M. Panaro / M. Torres ↕

76'

B. Barros Schelotto / M. Seoane ↕

80'

N. Fernandez

↕ J. Garcia / D. Godoy

81'

88'

G. Errecalde / A. Auzmendi ↕

90'+1

N. Insfran

Pre-match prediction

45.62%

Velez

26.0%

28.39%

Gimnasia ←

we assigned to the actual result (Gimnasia L.P.) 28.39% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Velez

1.38

1.35

-0.03

Gimnasia

1.05

1.02

-0.03

Velez Sarsfield dominated by xG (1.35 vs 1.02). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31
1	Independ. Rivadavia	14	30
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34
2	Estudiantes L.P.	14	27
2	Boca Juniors	16	30
2	River Plate	16	29
3	River Plate	14	26
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	28
3	Argentinos JRS	16	29
4	Rosario Central	16	28
4	Velez Sarsfield	14	26
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	26
5	Argentinos JRS	14	26
5	Belgrano Cordoba	16	26
5	Independiente	16	24
6	Lanus	16	24
6	Boca Juniors	14	24
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	26
7	Huracan	16	22
7	Talleres Cordoba	14	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	22
8	Union Santa Fe	16	21
8	Rosario Central	14	24
8	Racing Club	16	21
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	21
9	Barracas Central	16	21
9	Belgrano Cordoba	14	23
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	19
10	Lanus	14	22
10	Tigre	16	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	19
11	Gimnasia M.	16	19
11	Independiente	14	21
12	Banfield	16	18
12	Platense	16	16
12	Huracan	14	21
13	Barracas Central	14	20
13	Atletico Tucuman	16	14
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	16
14	Gimnasia L.P.	14	20
14	Aldosivi	16	8
14	Newells Old Boys	16	15
15	Union Santa Fe	14	19
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	11
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	5
16	Tigre	14	19
17	Defensa Y Justicia	14	19
18	Racing Club	14	19
19	San Lorenzo	14	19
20	Instituto Cordoba	14	17
21	Platense	14	16
22	Sarmiento Junin	14	16
23	Gimnasia M.	14	16
24	Central Cordoba de Santiago	14	15
25	Banfield	14	14
26	Newells Old Boys	14	13
27	Atletico Tucuman	14	10
28	Deportivo Riestra	14	7
29	Aldosivi	14	7
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	5

Lineups

Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1

Álvaro Montero G 7.00

Elías Gómez D 6.90

Lisandro Magallán D 6.50

Emanuel Mammana D 7.20

Joaquín García 81' D 5.70

Lucas Robertone 71' M 8.90

Claudio Baeza M 7.70

Rodrigo Aliendro 45' M 6.30

Manuel Lanzini M 7.30

Tobías Andrada M 7.50

F. Monzón F 5.90

Bench

Aarón Quirós D

Alexis Pereyra D

Alex Verón F

Dilan Godoy 19' F 6.30

D. Valdés 29' M 7.30

Luca Feler M

Matias Arias F

Matías Pellegrini 55' F 6.70

Simon Escobar D

Thiago Aguirre F

Thiago Silvero D

Tomás Marchiori G

Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2

Nelson Insfrán G 8.50

Pedro Silva 57' D 6.60

Enzo Martínez 55' D 5.90

Germán Conti D 7.50

Alexis Steimbach D 7.20

Mateo Seoane 76' M 6.70

Augusto Max 57' M 7.30

Ignacio Miramón M 6.90

Nacho Fernández M 6.90

Agustín Auzmendi 88' F 6.60

Marcelo Torres 1 ⚽ 76' F 7.30

Bench

Bautista Barros Schelotto 24' D 6.90

Cayetano Bolzan F

Franco Torres F

Gonzalo Errecalde 12' D 6.20

Juan Pérez M

Julián Kadijevic G

Lucas Castro M

Manuel Panaro 24' F 6.30

Matías Melluso 43' D 7.20

Maximiliano Zalazar F

Pablo Aguiar M

Renzo Giampaoli 43' D 7.20

Best on the pitch

Lucas Robertone

M · Velez

8.90

1 shots · 50 pass

Nelson Insfrán

G · Gimnasia

8.50

· 25 pass

Claudio Baeza

M · Velez

7.70

· 83 pass

Tobías Andrada

M · Velez

7.50

1 shots · 59 pass

Germán Conti

D · Gimnasia

7.50

· 19 pass

D. Valdés

M · Velez

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Álvaro Montero	G	100	7.00	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
Elías Gómez	D	100	6.90	—	—	—	50	40%	2	—	—
Lisandro Magallán	D	100	6.50	—	—	3	47	37%	—	—	—
Emanuel Mammana	D	100	7.20	—	—	2	46	40%	2	—	—
Joaquín García	D	81	5.70	—	—	—	54	42%	—	1	—
Lucas Robertone	M	71	8.90	—	—	1	50	45%	2	—	—
Claudio Baeza	M	100	7.70	—	—	—	83	66%	3	—	—
Rodrigo Aliendro	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	19	12%	1	—	—
Manuel Lanzini	M	100	7.30	—	—	3	40	34%	1	1	—
Tobías Andrada	M	100	7.50	—	—	1	59	54%	1	—	—
F. Monzón	F	100	5.90	—	—	3	19	15%	—	—	—
Dilan Godoy	F	19	6.30	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
D. Valdés	M	29	7.30	—	—	1	23	23%	—	—	—
Matías Pellegrini	F	55	6.70	—	—	1	17	14%	1	—	—

Gimnasia L.P. — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Nelson Insfrán	G	100	8.50	—	—	—	25	11%	—	1	—
Pedro Silva	D	57	6.60	—	—	—	17	12%	—	—	—
Enzo Martínez	D	55	5.90	—	—	—	26	19%	—	—	1
Germán Conti	D	100	7.50	—	—	—	19	14%	2	1	—
Alexis Steimbach	D	100	7.20	—	—	1	16	12%	2	—	—
Mateo Seoane	M	76	6.70	—	—	1	16	13%	—	—	—
Augusto Max	M	57	7.30	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
Ignacio Miramón	M	100	6.90	—	—	—	19	13%	—	—	—
Nacho Fernández	M	100	6.90	—	—	—	32	19%	1	1	—
Agustín Auzmendi	F	88	6.60	—	—	1	17	11%	—	1	—
Marcelo Torres	F	76	7.30	1	—	1	11	11%	—	1	—
Bautista Barros Schelotto	D	24	6.90	—	—	—	2	2%	1	—	—
Gonzalo Errecalde	D	12	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Manuel Panaro	F	24	6.30	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—
Matías Melluso	D	43	7.20	—	—	—	4	2%	2	—	—
Renzo Giampaoli	D	43	7.20	—	—	—	10	5%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The final score was Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Gimnasia L.P..

What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?

The model assigned 45% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 26% to a draw, and 28% to an Gimnasia L.P. win.