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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 13 October 18, 2026 01:00 Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
Velez Sarsfield
#2 · 27 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Gimnasia M.
#7 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Velez Sarsfield
Thiago Silvero (ast. Lucas Robertone) 85'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 67% win probability (draw 17%, Gimnasia M. 15%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M.. In 1 previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gimnasia M..

Match statistics
20
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
2
1.55
Actual xG
0.75
2
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
12
Corners
2
23
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
10'
Simón Escobar
32'
45'
Nahuel Barboza / Esteban Fernández ↕
58'
Fermin Antonini
Manuel Lanzini
60'
70'
Blas Armoa Nunez / Luciano César Cingolani ↕
70'
Santiago Rodríguez / Matías Vargas ↕
↕ Juan Cruz Policella / Thiago Aguirre
79'
↕ Simón Escobar / Diego Valdés
79'
82'
Luciano Paredes
82'
Martín Úbeda / Fermin Antonini ↕
85'
Cesar Rigamonti
⚽Thiago Silvero · ast. Lucas Robertone
85'
↕ Manuel Lanzini / Claudio Baeza
87'
88'
I. Charparin / Diego Mondino ↕
Joaquin Garcia
90'+3
↕ Lucas Robertone / Luca Feler
90'+4
↕ Ronaldo Martinez / Dilan Godoy
90'+4
Thiago Aguirre
90'
Pre-match prediction
67.85%
Velez ←
17.05%
X
15.1%
Gimnasia
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Velez Sarsfield) 67.85% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Velez
2.51
1.55
-0.96
Gimnasia
1.02
0.75
-0.27
Velez Sarsfield dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 14 32
2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 14 27
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 14 27
4 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 14 27
5 Lanus Lanus 14 24
6 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 14 21
7 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 14 20
8 Independiente Independiente 14 19
9 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 14 18
10 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 14 17
11 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 14 14
12 Platense Platense 14 14
13 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 14 12
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 14 10
15 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 14 9
Lineups
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
1 T. Marchiori T. Marchiori G 7.08
3 Elías Gómez Elías Gómez D 7.09
16 L. Magallán L. Magallán D 7.89
32 Thiago Silveor Thiago Silveor 1 ⚽ D 8.06
4 J. García J. García D 6.36
8 L. Robertone L. Robertone 1 👟 89' M 7.70
29 R. Aliendro R. Aliendro M 7.20
18 S. Escobar S. Escobar 79' M 6.01
22 M. Lanzini M. Lanzini 87' M 7.20
37 J. Policella J. Policella 79' M 6.32
77 R. Martínez R. Martínez 89' F 6.69
Bench
17 A. Verón A. Verón F 0.00
5 C. Baeza C. Baeza 3' M 6.83
15 D. Godoy D. Godoy 1' F 0.00
10 D. Valdés D. Valdés 11' M 6.96
23 F. Sanguinetti F. Sanguinetti G 0.00
21 Jano Gordon Jano Gordon D 0.00
19 L. Cristaldo L. Cristaldo D 0.00
30 L. Piola L. Piola F 0.00
48 Luca Feler Luca Feler 1' M 0.00
35 M. Arias M. Arias F 0.00
39 T. Aguirre T. Aguirre 11' F 6.42
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 4-2-3-1
23 C. Rigamonti C. Rigamonti G 7.95
3 M. Recalde M. Recalde D 6.94
4 E. Muñoz E. Muñoz D 5.91
2 D. Mondino D. Mondino 88' D 6.23
32 L. Paredes L. Paredes D 6.23
30 E. Fernández E. Fernández 45' M 6.61
21 F. Antonini F. Antonini 82' M 5.80
26 F. Lencioni F. Lencioni M 6.88
8 M. Vargas M. Vargas 70' M 6.01
7 L. Cingolani L. Cingolani 70' M 6.71
9 A. Módica A. Módica F 6.14
Bench
33 B. Andrada B. Andrada F 0.00
27 B. Armoa B. Armoa 20' F 6.39
17 I. Sabatini I. Sabatini 2' F 6.26
19 J. Ceballos J. Ceballos M 0.00
22 J. Franco J. Franco D 0.00
42 L. Carrera L. Carrera M 0.00
31 L. Petruchi L. Petruchi G 0.00
25 M. Ubeda M. Ubeda 8' D 6.55
5 N. Barboza N. Barboza 45' M 6.44
11 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 20' F 6.33
15 U. Sánchez U. Sánchez M 0.00
35 V. Simoni V. Simoni F 0.00
Best on the pitch
Thiago Silveor
Thiago Silveor
D · Velez
8.06
1 ⚽
1 shots · 53 pass
C. Rigamonti
C. Rigamonti
G · Gimnasia
7.95
· 33 pass
L. Magallán
L. Magallán
D · Velez
7.89
· 71 pass
L. Robertone
L. Robertone
M · Velez
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
R. Aliendro
R. Aliendro
M · Velez
7.20
2 shots · 51 pass
M. Lanzini
M. Lanzini
M · Velez
7.20
5 shots · 53 pass
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Marchiori G 90 7.08 — — 1 25 20% 0 — —
Elías Gómez D 90 7.09 — — 0 38 28% 1 — —
L. Magallán D 90 7.89 — — 0 71 64% 2 — —
Thiago Silveor D 90 8.06 1 — 1 53 41% 3 — —
J. García D 90 6.36 — — 1 45 32% 1 1 —
L. Robertone M 89 7.70 — 1 1 64 53% 3 — —
R. Aliendro M 90 7.20 — — 2 51 44% 6 — —
S. Escobar M 79 6.01 — — 2 27 20% 0 1 —
M. Lanzini M 87 7.20 — — 5 53 48% 3 1 —
J. Policella M 79 6.32 — — 2 35 25% 3 — —
R. Martínez F 89 6.69 — — 4 19 14% 0 — —
C. Baeza M 3 6.83 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
D. Godoy F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
D. Valdés M 11 6.96 — — 1 9 8% 0 — —
Luca Feler M 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Aguirre F 11 6.42 — — 0 2 2% 1 1 —
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Rigamonti G 90 7.95 — — 0 33 19% 1 1 —
M. Recalde D 90 6.94 — — 0 37 26% 3 — —
E. Muñoz D 90 5.91 — — 0 36 25% 0 — —
D. Mondino D 88 6.23 — — 1 40 23% 0 — —
L. Paredes D 90 6.23 — — 0 30 20% 3 1 —
E. Fernández M 45 6.61 — — 0 17 14% 2 — —
F. Antonini M 82 5.80 — — 0 16 11% 1 1 —
F. Lencioni M 90 6.88 — — 2 24 19% 1 — —
M. Vargas M 70 6.01 — — 1 17 15% 0 — —
L. Cingolani M 70 6.71 — — 0 16 10% 2 — —
A. Módica F 90 6.14 — — 4 16 8% 0 — —
B. Armoa F 20 6.39 — — 1 3 2% 1 — —
I. Sabatini F 2 6.26 — — 1 1 0% 0 — —
M. Ubeda D 8 6.55 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
N. Barboza M 45 6.44 — — 0 20 15% 0 — —
S. Rodríguez F 20 6.33 — — 1 8 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
The final score was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Gimnasia M..
What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M.?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Gimnasia M. win.