Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 3
August 04, 2026 00:00
T. Aguirre
70'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Independiente 22%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Independiente. In 1 previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Independiente.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
1
0.89
Actual xG
0.40
2
Saves
2
54%
Possession
46%
4
Corners
4
20
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
27'
S. Arias
/
L. Godoy
D. Godoy
42'
45'+3
M. Gutierrez
46'
F. Valdez
/
M. Abaldo
L. Magallan
/ E. Mammana
46'
G. Barros Schelotto
47'
53'
S. Montiel
M. Lanzini
/ S. Escobar
57'
D. Godoy
/ T. Aguirre
57'
⚽T. Aguirre
70'
M. Pellegrini
72'
76'
M. Meza
/
M. Perez Curci
76'
L. Millan
/
M. Gutierrez
S. Escobar
85'
M. Pellegrini
/ L. Feler
86'
L. Robertone
/ C. Baeza
88'
Pre-match prediction
45.61%
Velez ←
31.74%
X
22.65%
Independiente
we assigned to the actual result (Velez Sarsfield)
45.61%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.89
-0.18
0.63
0.40
-0.23
Velez Sarsfield dominated by xG (0.89 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
T. Marchiori
G
T. Marchiori
G
3
Elías Gómez
D
Elías Gómez
D
16
L. Magallán
45'
D
L. Magallán
45'
D
32
Thiago Silveor
D
Thiago Silveor
D
4
J. García
D
J. García
D
8
L. Robertone
88'
M
L. Robertone
88'
M
29
R. Aliendro
M
R. Aliendro
M
22
M. Lanzini
57'
M
M. Lanzini
57'
M
10
D. Valdés
M
D. Valdés
M
11
M. Pellegrini
86'
M
M. Pellegrini
86'
M
15
D. Godoy
57'
F
D. Godoy
57'
F
Bench
34
Alvaro Busso
G
Alvaro Busso
G
47
A. Pereyra
D
A. Pereyra
D
17
A. Verón
F
A. Verón
F
5
C. Baeza
7'
M
C. Baeza
7'
M
2
E. Mammana
50'
D
E. Mammana
50'
D
37
Juan Cruz Policella
F
Juan Cruz Policella
F
19
L. Cristaldo
D
L. Cristaldo
D
30
L. Piola
F
L. Piola
F
48
Luca Feler
9'
M
Luca Feler
9'
M
18
S. Escobar
38'
D
S. Escobar
38'
D
39
T. Aguirre
1 ⚽
38'
F
T. Aguirre
1 ⚽
38'
F
33
R. Rey
G
R. Rey
G
22
F. Zabala
D
F. Zabala
D
26
K. Lomónaco
D
K. Lomónaco
D
13
J. Fedorco
D
J. Fedorco
D
29
L. Godoy
27'
D
L. Godoy
27'
D
23
I. Marcone
M
I. Marcone
M
16
M. Perez
76'
M
M. Perez
76'
M
19
M. Abaldo
45'
M
M. Abaldo
45'
M
7
S. Montiel
M
S. Montiel
M
28
M. Gutiérrez
76'
M
M. Gutiérrez
76'
M
9
G. Ávalos
F
G. Ávalos
F
Bench
32
D. Martínez
M
D. Martínez
M
20
Facundo Cruz
M
Facundo Cruz
M
18
Facundo Valdéz
50'
F
21
Fernando Closter
D
Fernando Closter
D
34
F. Tempone
F
F. Tempone
F
35
J. Arrayago
D
J. Arrayago
D
1
J. Blázquez
G
J. Blázquez
G
3
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
Jonathan De Irastorza
D
14
Lautaro Millán
19'
M
Lautaro Millán
19'
M
10
L. Cabral
M
L. Cabral
M
8
M. Meza
19'
F
M. Meza
19'
F
4
S. Arias
68'
D
S. Arias
68'
D
Best on the pitch
J. García
D · Velez
7.60
· 40 pass
R. Rey
G · Independiente
7.60
· 34 pass
J. Fedorco
D · Independiente
7.60
1 shots
· 27 pass
Elías Gómez
D · Velez
7.50
· 46 pass
R. Aliendro
M · Velez
7.50
1 shots
· 50 pass
D. Valdés
M · Velez
7.50
3 shots
· 41 pass
Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Marchiori | G | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Elías Gómez | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Magallán | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Silveor | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. García | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Robertone | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Aliendro | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| M. Lanzini | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Valdés | M | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Pellegrini | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D. Godoy | F | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Baeza | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| E. Mammana | D | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Luca Feler | M | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| S. Escobar | D | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Aguirre | F | 38 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Independiente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rey | G | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Zabala | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Lomónaco | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Fedorco | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Godoy | D | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Marcone | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Perez | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Abaldo | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| S. Montiel | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Gutiérrez | M | 76 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Ávalos | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Valdéz | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Lautaro Millán | M | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| M. Meza | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Arias | D | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
The final score was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Independiente.
What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Independiente?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 31% to a draw, and 22% to an Independiente win.