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Liga Profesional · Clausura - 1 July 25, 2026 00:00
Velez Sarsfield
#1 · 17 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Instituto Cordoba
#4 · 16 pts
M. Lanzini (ast. T. Andrada) 45'+1
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Instituto Cordoba 31%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto Cordoba. In 1 previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Instituto Cordoba.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
2
0.98
Actual xG
3.51
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
1
Corners
6
23
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
M. Gallardo
⚽M. Lanzini · ast. T. Andrada
45'+1
45'+2
F. R. Alarcon
59'
J. Mendez / G. Abregu ↕
↕ M. Pellegrini / A. Veron
63'
66'
N. Guerra / M. Tissera ↕
66'
J. Lazaro / A. Luna ↕
C. Baeza
75'
76'
M. Fonseca / M. Gallardo ↕
76'
F. Suarez / J. E. Cordoba Mosquera ↕
↕ C. Baeza / L. Robertone
78'
↕ M. Lanzini / D. Valdes
78'
T. Silvero
79'
↕ T. Andrada / L. Feler
88'
↕ F. Monzon / D. Godoy
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.02%
Velez ←
30.96%
X
31.02%
Instituto
we assigned to the actual result (Velez Sarsfield) 38.02% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Velez
0.94
0.98
+0.04
Instituto
0.93
3.51
+2.58
Instituto Cordoba dominated by xG (3.51 vs 0.98). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 9 17
2 Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 9 17
3 Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 9 16
4 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 8 16
5 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 9 14
6 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 8 13
7 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 9 13
8 Independiente Independiente 8 13
9 Lanus Lanus 8 10
10 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 8 10
11 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 8 9
12 Platense Platense 8 9
13 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 8 7
14 Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 9 7
15 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 8 5
Lineups
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
1 T. Marchiori T. Marchiori G 8.50
3 Elías Gómez Elías Gómez D 7.30
16 L. Magallán L. Magallán D 7.90
32 Thiago Silveor Thiago Silveor D 7.60
4 J. García J. García D 8.20
5 C. Baeza C. Baeza 78' M 6.70
29 R. Aliendro R. Aliendro M 7.20
11 M. Pellegrini M. Pellegrini 63' M 6.90
22 M. Lanzini M. Lanzini 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.90
50 T. Andrada T. Andrada 1 👟 88' M 7.20
9 F. Monzón F. Monzón 89' F 6.30
Bench
42 Agustin Cortez Agustin Cortez G
47 A. Pereyra A. Pereyra D
17 A. Verón A. Verón 33' F 6.20
15 D. Godoy D. Godoy 7' F
10 D. Valdés D. Valdés 18' M 6.90
37 Juan Cruz Policella Juan Cruz Policella F
19 L. Cristaldo L. Cristaldo D
30 L. Piola L. Piola F
8 L. Robertone L. Robertone 18' M 6.60
48 Luca Feler Luca Feler 8' M 6.60
18 S. Escobar S. Escobar D
39 T. Aguirre T. Aguirre F
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 3-4-2-1
29 M. Ledesma M. Ledesma G 6.90
6 F. Alarcón F. Alarcón D 7.00
26 L. Mosevich L. Mosevich D 6.60
30 J. Galván J. Galván D 6.30
3 D. Sosa D. Sosa M 7.30
15 M. Gallardo M. Gallardo 76' M 6.70
55 G. Abregú G. Abregú 59' M 6.50
44 G. Cerato G. Cerato M 7.00
10 A. Luna A. Luna 66' F 7.20
20 J. Córdoba J. Córdoba 76' F 6.30
17 M. Tissera M. Tissera 66' F 6.20
Bench
32 A. Bravo A. Bravo D
22 A. Massaccesi A. Massaccesi D
35 E. Sittaro E. Sittaro G
9 F. Suárez F. Suárez 20' F 6.20
2 H. De La Fuente H. De La Fuente D
13 I. Méndez I. Méndez 37' M 6.60
8 J. Acevedo J. Acevedo M
21 J. Lázaro J. Lázaro 30' M 6.30
23 J. Meli J. Meli D
11 M. Fonseca M. Fonseca 20' F 6.20
7 N. Guerra N. Guerra 30' F 6.50
90 Pedro Baster Pedro Baster M
Best on the pitch
M. Lanzini
M. Lanzini
M · Velez
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 62 pass
T. Marchiori
T. Marchiori
G · Velez
8.50
· 26 pass
J. García
J. García
D · Velez
8.20
· 42 pass
L. Magallán
L. Magallán
D · Velez
7.90
· 46 pass
Thiago Silveor
Thiago Silveor
D · Velez
7.60
· 59 pass
D. Sosa
D. Sosa
M · Instituto
7.30
2 shots · 45 pass
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Marchiori G 96 8.50 — — — 26 13% — — —
Elías Gómez D 96 7.30 — — — 43 35% 2 — —
L. Magallán D 96 7.90 — — — 46 42% 3 — —
Thiago Silveor D 96 7.60 — — — 59 43% 2 1 —
J. García D 96 8.20 — — — 42 38% 5 — —
C. Baeza M 78 6.70 — — — 52 44% — 1 —
R. Aliendro M 96 7.20 — — — 47 40% 4 — —
M. Pellegrini M 63 6.90 — — 2 28 23% 2 — —
M. Lanzini M 78 8.90 1 — 1 62 51% 1 — —
T. Andrada M 88 7.20 — 1 — 71 60% 3 — —
F. Monzón F 89 6.30 — — 1 31 19% — — —
A. Verón F 33 6.20 — — 2 5 5% — — —
D. Godoy F 7 — — — — 1 1% — — —
D. Valdés M 18 6.90 — — 1 10 6% — — —
L. Robertone M 18 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Luca Feler M 8 6.60 — — — 5 4% — — —
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Ledesma G 96 6.90 — — — 29 18% — — —
F. Alarcón D 96 7.00 — — 1 33 22% 4 1 —
L. Mosevich D 96 6.60 — — 2 25 19% 2 — —
J. Galván D 96 6.30 — — — 42 23% 2 — —
D. Sosa M 96 7.30 — — 2 45 40% 1 — —
M. Gallardo M 76 6.70 — — 1 38 27% — 1 —
G. Abregú M 59 6.50 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
G. Cerato M 96 7.00 — — — 30 21% — — —
A. Luna F 66 7.20 — — 3 18 13% 1 — —
J. Córdoba F 76 6.30 — — — 13 9% 2 — —
M. Tissera F 66 6.20 — — 2 13 11% — — —
F. Suárez F 20 6.20 — — — 8 3% — — —
I. Méndez M 37 6.60 — — — 28 22% — — —
J. Lázaro M 30 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
M. Fonseca F 20 6.20 — — — 5 1% — — —
N. Guerra F 30 6.50 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba?
The final score was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto Cordoba.
What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Instituto Cordoba win.