Liga Profesional
· Clausura - 1
July 25, 2026 00:00
M. Lanzini
(ast. T. Andrada)
45'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Velez Sarsfield a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Instituto Cordoba 31%). The final result was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto Cordoba. In 1 previous meetings, Velez Sarsfield have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Instituto Cordoba.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
2
0.98
Actual xG
3.51
2
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
1
Corners
6
23
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
M. Gallardo
⚽M. Lanzini
· ast. T. Andrada
45'+1
45'+2
F. R. Alarcon
59'
J. Mendez
/
G. Abregu
M. Pellegrini
/ A. Veron
63'
66'
N. Guerra
/
M. Tissera
66'
J. Lazaro
/
A. Luna
C. Baeza
75'
76'
M. Fonseca
/
M. Gallardo
76'
F. Suarez
/
J. E. Cordoba Mosquera
C. Baeza
/ L. Robertone
78'
M. Lanzini
/ D. Valdes
78'
T. Silvero
79'
T. Andrada
/ L. Feler
88'
F. Monzon
/ D. Godoy
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.02%
Velez ←
30.96%
X
31.02%
Instituto
we assigned to the actual result (Velez Sarsfield)
38.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
0.98
+0.04
0.93
3.51
+2.58
Instituto Cordoba dominated by xG (3.51 vs 0.98).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Marchiori
G
T. Marchiori
G
3
Elías Gómez
D
Elías Gómez
D
16
L. Magallán
D
L. Magallán
D
32
Thiago Silveor
D
Thiago Silveor
D
4
J. García
D
J. García
D
5
C. Baeza
78'
M
C. Baeza
78'
M
29
R. Aliendro
M
R. Aliendro
M
11
M. Pellegrini
63'
M
M. Pellegrini
63'
M
22
M. Lanzini
1 ⚽
78'
M
M. Lanzini
1 ⚽
78'
M
50
T. Andrada
1 👟
88'
M
T. Andrada
1 👟
88'
M
9
F. Monzón
89'
F
F. Monzón
89'
F
Bench
42
Agustin Cortez
G
Agustin Cortez
G
47
A. Pereyra
D
A. Pereyra
D
17
A. Verón
33'
F
A. Verón
33'
F
15
D. Godoy
7'
F
D. Godoy
7'
F
10
D. Valdés
18'
M
D. Valdés
18'
M
37
Juan Cruz Policella
F
Juan Cruz Policella
F
19
L. Cristaldo
D
L. Cristaldo
D
30
L. Piola
F
L. Piola
F
8
L. Robertone
18'
M
L. Robertone
18'
M
48
Luca Feler
8'
M
Luca Feler
8'
M
18
S. Escobar
D
S. Escobar
D
39
T. Aguirre
F
T. Aguirre
F
29
M. Ledesma
G
M. Ledesma
G
6
F. Alarcón
D
F. Alarcón
D
26
L. Mosevich
D
L. Mosevich
D
30
J. Galván
D
J. Galván
D
3
D. Sosa
M
D. Sosa
M
15
M. Gallardo
76'
M
M. Gallardo
76'
M
55
G. Abregú
59'
M
G. Abregú
59'
M
44
G. Cerato
M
G. Cerato
M
10
A. Luna
66'
F
A. Luna
66'
F
20
J. Córdoba
76'
F
J. Córdoba
76'
F
17
M. Tissera
66'
F
M. Tissera
66'
F
Bench
32
A. Bravo
D
A. Bravo
D
22
A. Massaccesi
D
A. Massaccesi
D
35
E. Sittaro
G
E. Sittaro
G
9
F. Suárez
20'
F
F. Suárez
20'
F
2
H. De La Fuente
D
H. De La Fuente
D
13
I. Méndez
37'
M
I. Méndez
37'
M
8
J. Acevedo
M
J. Acevedo
M
21
J. Lázaro
30'
M
J. Lázaro
30'
M
23
J. Meli
D
J. Meli
D
11
M. Fonseca
20'
F
M. Fonseca
20'
F
7
N. Guerra
30'
F
N. Guerra
30'
F
90
Pedro Baster
M
Pedro Baster
M
Best on the pitch
M. Lanzini
M · Velez
8.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 62 pass
T. Marchiori
G · Velez
8.50
· 26 pass
J. García
D · Velez
8.20
· 42 pass
L. Magallán
D · Velez
7.90
· 46 pass
Thiago Silveor
D · Velez
7.60
· 59 pass
D. Sosa
M · Instituto
7.30
2 shots
· 45 pass
Velez Sarsfield — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Marchiori | G | 96 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Elías Gómez | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Magallán | D | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiago Silveor | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 59 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. García | D | 96 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 5 | — | — |
| C. Baeza | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Aliendro | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Pellegrini | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lanzini | M | 78 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 62 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Andrada | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 71 | 60% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Monzón | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Verón | F | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Godoy | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Valdés | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Robertone | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Feler | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Instituto Cordoba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ledesma | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Alarcón | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 4 | 1 | — |
| L. Mosevich | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Galván | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Sosa | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gallardo | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Abregú | M | 59 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Cerato | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Luna | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Córdoba | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Tissera | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Suárez | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Méndez | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Lázaro | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Fonseca | F | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| N. Guerra | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba?
The final score was Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Instituto Cordoba.
What did the model predict before Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto Cordoba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Velez Sarsfield win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Instituto Cordoba win.