Venezia - Modena
Coppa Italia
August 15, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.83%
Win
Venezia
28.29%
Draw
24.88%
Win
Modena
2.68
0.79
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(14.18%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
53%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
50%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Venezia a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Modena. Expected goals are 2.7 for Venezia and 0.8 for Modena (total 3.5), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 14.18% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Venezia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Modena.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.0
1.7
Conceded
1.0
4.7
Shots OT
4.0
5.7
Corners
7.0
54%
Poss.
42%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
0%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Coppa Italia. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Venezia
Modena →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Venezia
Attack
74
Defence
81
Form
82
Modena
Attack
37
Defence
70
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Venezia vs Modena?
The model gives Venezia a 46% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 24% for an Modena win.
How many goals are expected in Venezia vs Modena?
Expected goals: Venezia 2.7, Modena 0.8 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Venezia vs Modena?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.18%.