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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2 September 04, 2026 20:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
VfB Stuttgart
#14 · 3 pts
4 – 1
Final score
1. FC Köln
#11 · 4 pts
Bilal El Khannouss (ast. Josha Vagnoman) 39'
Grischa Prömel (ast. Maximilian Mittelstädt) 60'
Ermedin Demirović (ast. Finn Jeltsch) 75'
Josha Vagnoman 90'
81' Marius Bülter
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 39% win probability (draw 30%, 1. FC Köln 30%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln. In 2 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Köln.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
18
8
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
8
12
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Bilal El Khannouss · ast. Josha Vagnoman
39'
41'
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
45'
Ellyes Skhiri / Paul Okon-Engstler ↕
45'
Mikey Moore / Jan Thielmann ↕
Maximilian Mittelstädt
51'
⚽Grischa Prömel · ast. Maximilian Mittelstädt
60'
↕ Chris Führich / Jamie Leweling
70'
↕ Deniz Undav / Ermedin Demirović
70'
75'
Reigan Heskey / Linton Maina ↕
75'
Marius Bülter / Ragnar Ache ↕
⚽Ermedin Demirović · ast. Finn Jeltsch
75'
↕ Bilal El Khannouss / Leo Sauer
78'
↕ Maximilian Mittelstädt / Ramon Hendriks
78'
81'
Marius Bülter⚽
85'
Tom Krauß
86'
Alessio Castro-Montes
↕ Angelo Stiller / Yanik Spalt
90'+2
90'
Imad Rondić / Tom Krauß ↕
⚽Josha Vagnoman
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.34%
VfB ←
30.38%
X
30.28%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 39.34% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.24
—
—
1.
1.73
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3 4
10 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
11 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 3 4
12 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
13 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
14 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-4-2
1 F. Bredlow F. Bredlow G 6.88
7 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt 1 👟 78' D 7.50
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 7.23
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch 1 👟 D 7.33
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman 1 ⚽ 1 👟 D 8.35
10 C. Führich C. Führich 70' M 6.07
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller 89' M 6.63
21 G. Prömel G. Prömel 1 ⚽ M 8.17
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 ⚽ 78' M 8.03
26 D. Undav D. Undav 70' F 6.50
17 D. Pejčinović D. Pejčinović F 6.37
Bench
2 A. Al Dakhil A. Al Dakhil D 0.00
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M 0.00
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.93
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 20' F 6.42
44 L. Sauer L. Sauer 12' F 6.59
20 L. Stergiou L. Stergiou D 0.00
33 M. Funk M. Funk G 0.00
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks 12' D 5.98
47 Y. Spalt Y. Spalt 1' M 0.00
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 4-3-3
1 M. Schwäbe M. Schwäbe G 6.16
14 G. Mensah G. Mensah D 6.24
24 L. Lochoshvili L. Lochoshvili D 5.92
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 5.61
17 A. Castro-Montes A. Castro-Montes D 5.63
23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler 45' M 6.71
5 T. Krauß T. Krauß 89' M 6.11
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 6.44
37 L. Maina L. Maina 75' F 6.50
9 R. Ache R. Ache 75' F 5.96
29 J. Thielmann J. Thielmann 45' F 6.58
Bench
3 B. Sosa B. Sosa D 0.00
6 E. Skhiri E. Skhiri 45' M 6.34
15 I. Rondić I. Rondić 1' F 0.00
2 J. Schmied J. Schmied D 0.00
30 M. Bülter M. Bülter 1 ⚽ 15' F 6.51
47 M. Moore M. Moore 45' F 7.20
11 Reigan Heskey Reigan Heskey 15' F 6.33
33 R. van den Berg R. van den Berg D 0.00
20 R. Zieler R. Zieler G 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Vagnoman
J. Vagnoman
D · VfB
8.35
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 40 pass
G. Prömel
G. Prömel
M · VfB
8.17
1 ⚽
3 shots · 45 pass
B. El Khannouss
B. El Khannouss
M · VfB
8.03
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
E. Demirović
E. Demirović
F · VfB
7.93
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
M. Mittelstädt
M. Mittelstädt
D · VfB
7.50
1 👟
· 56 pass
Finn Jeltsch
Finn Jeltsch
D · VfB
7.33
1 👟
2 shots · 65 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Bredlow G 90 6.88 — — 0 24 20% 0 — —
M. Mittelstädt D 78 7.50 — 1 0 56 52% 1 1 —
J. Chabot D 90 7.23 — — 2 57 52% 2 — —
Finn Jeltsch D 90 7.33 — 1 2 65 60% 2 — —
J. Vagnoman D 90 8.35 1 1 3 40 33% 0 — —
C. Führich M 70 6.07 — — 0 44 37% 2 — —
A. Stiller M 89 6.63 — — 1 80 73% 0 — —
G. Prömel M 90 8.17 1 — 3 45 42% 0 — —
B. El Khannouss M 78 8.03 1 — 2 31 22% 3 — —
D. Undav F 70 6.50 — — 1 30 23% 0 — —
D. Pejčinović F 90 6.37 — — 6 27 14% 2 — —
E. Demirović F 20 7.93 1 — 1 5 4% 0 — —
J. Leweling F 20 6.42 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
L. Sauer F 12 6.59 — — 1 7 5% 0 — —
R. Hendriks D 12 5.98 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
Y. Spalt M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Schwäbe G 90 6.16 — — 0 50 34% 0 — —
G. Mensah D 90 6.24 — — 2 33 30% 1 — —
L. Lochoshvili D 90 5.92 — — 1 42 38% 0 — —
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 90 5.61 — — 0 43 33% 0 1 —
A. Castro-Montes D 90 5.63 — — 0 26 19% 4 1 —
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M 45 6.71 — — 0 25 24% 0 — —
T. Krauß M 89 6.11 — — 2 34 30% 2 1 —
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M 90 6.44 — — 1 31 27% 1 — —
L. Maina F 75 6.50 — — 1 24 21% 0 — —
R. Ache F 75 5.96 — — 2 18 11% 0 — —
J. Thielmann F 45 6.58 — — 1 8 7% 0 — —
E. Skhiri M 45 6.34 — — 2 21 20% 0 — —
I. Rondić F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
M. Bülter F 15 6.51 1 — 3 8 7% 0 — —
M. Moore F 45 7.20 — — 2 13 12% 0 — —
Reigan Heskey F 15 6.33 — — 1 4 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln?
The model assigned 39% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an 1. FC Köln win.