VfB Stuttgart - Atletico Madrid
Champions League
October 20, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.91%
Win
VfB Stuttgart
28.32%
Draw
24.77%
Win
Atletico Madrid
1.67
0.61
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.48%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
28%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
53%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives VfB Stuttgart a 46% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Atletico Madrid. Expected goals are 1.7 for VfB Stuttgart and 0.6 for Atletico Madrid (total 2.3), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.48% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
6W
3D
6L
Averages per game
3.0
Goals
1.9
1.0
Conceded
1.7
3.0
Shots OT
5.0
3.0
Corners
5.3
62%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
100%
O 2.5
73%
100%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
78%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
1W
0D
0L
· at home
2W
2D
5L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.6
1.0
Conceded
2.1
100%
Win %
22%
100%
Win or Draw
44%
100%
O 1.5
89%
100%
O 2.5
67%
100%
O 3.5
56%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
11%
0%
Failed to Score
22%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ VfB Stuttgart
Atletico Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 17.1% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
VfB Stuttgart
Attack
66
Defence
62
Form
56
Atletico Madrid
Attack
43
Defence
57
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
The model gives VfB Stuttgart a 46% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 24% for an Atletico Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 1.7, Atletico Madrid 0.6 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.48%.