Jamie Leweling
36'
47'
(ast. Ademola Lookman)
Julián Álvarez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Madrid 29%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atletico Madrid.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
1.53
Actual xG
0.90
2
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
9
Corners
4
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Maximilian Mittelstädt
17'
⚽Jamie Leweling
36'
45'
Ademola Lookman
/
Jonathan David
47'
ast. Ademola Lookman ·
Julián Álvarez⚽
Josha Vagnoman
/ Lorenz Assignon
52'
64'
Morten Hjulmand
69'
Johnny Cardoso
/
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Jamie Leweling
/ Ermedin Demirović
72'
78'
Obed Vargas
/
Julián Álvarez
78'
Robin Le Normand
/
Pablo Barrios Rivas
85'
Diego Pablo Simeone
87'
Alexander Sørloth
/
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
Deniz Undav
/ Dženan Pejčinović
87'
Chris Führich
/ Leo Sauer
87'
Pre-match prediction
45.12%
VfB
25.43%
X ←
29.45%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.43
1.53
+0.1
0.93
0.90
-0.03
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (1.53 vs 0.90).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
41
D. Seimen
G
D. Seimen
G
7
M. Mittelstädt
D
M. Mittelstädt
D
24
J. Chabot
D
J. Chabot
D
3
R. Hendriks
D
R. Hendriks
D
4
J. Vagnoman
52'
D
J. Vagnoman
52'
D
6
A. Stiller
M
A. Stiller
M
21
G. Prömel
M
G. Prömel
M
10
C. Führich
87'
M
C. Führich
87'
M
11
B. El Khannouss
M
B. El Khannouss
M
18
J. Leweling
1 ⚽
72'
M
J. Leweling
1 ⚽
72'
M
26
D. Undav
87'
F
D. Undav
87'
F
Bench
2
A. Al Dakhil
D
A. Al Dakhil
D
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
17
D. Pejčinović
3'
F
D. Pejčinović
3'
F
9
E. Demirović
18'
F
E. Demirović
18'
F
1
F. Bredlow
G
F. Bredlow
G
29
Finn Jeltsch
D
Finn Jeltsch
D
22
L. Assignon
38'
D
L. Assignon
38'
D
14
L. Jaquez
D
L. Jaquez
D
44
L. Sauer
3'
F
L. Sauer
3'
F
33
M. Funk
G
M. Funk
G
28
N. Nartey
M
N. Nartey
M
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
22
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
14
Marcos Llorente
D
Marcos Llorente
D
10
Álex Baena
69'
M
Álex Baena
69'
M
23
M. Hjulmand
64'
M
M. Hjulmand
64'
M
8
Pablo Barrios
78'
M
Pablo Barrios
78'
M
20
G. Simeone
87'
M
G. Simeone
87'
M
19
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
78'
F
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
78'
F
15
J. David
45'
F
J. David
45'
F
Bench
11
A. Lookman
1 👟
45'
F
A. Lookman
1 👟
45'
F
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
Arnau Ortiz
F
9
A. Sørloth
3'
F
A. Sørloth
3'
F
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
5
J. Cardoso
21'
M
J. Cardoso
21'
M
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
27
J. Dominguez
D
J. Dominguez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
7
Lee Kang-In
M
Lee Kang-In
M
3
O. Vargas
12'
M
O. Vargas
12'
M
24
Robin Le Normand
12'
D
Robin Le Normand
12'
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Best on the pitch
J. Álvarez
F · Atletico
8.06
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
J. Leweling
M · VfB
7.79
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
M. Mittelstädt
D · VfB
7.60
· 59 pass
Álex Grimaldo
D · Atletico
7.39
1 shots
· 36 pass
A. Stiller
M · VfB
7.16
3 shots
· 84 pass
L. Assignon
D · VfB
7.13
· 21 pass
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Seimen | G | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 54% | 5 | 1 | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 56% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vagnoman | D | 52 | 7.10 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 3 | 84 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 3 | 41 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 87 | 6.33 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 3 | 53 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 72 | 7.79 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 87 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 3 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 18 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Assignon | D | 38 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Sauer | F | 3 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 7.39 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 69 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 64 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | 1 |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 78 | 6.96 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 87 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 78 | 8.06 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| J. David | F | 45 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 45 | 6.84 | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 3 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 21 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Vargas | M | 12 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 12 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atletico Madrid.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
The model assigned 45% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico Madrid win.