Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 15:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

#15 · 3 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#5 · 7 pts

E. Demirovic (ast. N. Nartey) 5'

M. Mittelstadt 45'+7 (pen.)

D. Undav (ast. J. Leweling) 58'

1' (ast. C. Kofane) A. Garcia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 41% win probability (draw 18%, VfB Stuttgart 40%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.78

Actual xG

0.56

4

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

6

10

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

1'

ast. C. Kofane · A. Garcia⚽

⚽E. Demirovic · ast. N. Nartey

5'

⚽M. Mittelstadt (pen.)

45'+7

47'

⚽D. Undav · ast. J. Leweling

58'

65'

M. Tillman / A. Garcia ↕

65'

Arthur / M. Culbreath ↕

↕ D. Undav / T. Tomas

68'

↕ M. Mittelstadt / L. Jaquez

78'

↕ N. Nartey / B. El Khannouss

78'

78'

E. Poku / C. Kofane ↕

C. Fuhrich

80'

86'

E. Ben Seghir / J. Quansah ↕

↕ C. Fuhrich / L. Assignon

87'

↕ J. Leweling / J. Vagnoman

87'

90'+7

E. Palacios

T. Tomas

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

40.86%

VfB ←

18.02%

X

41.13%

Bayer

we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 40.86% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfB

2.82

2.78

-0.04

Bayer

2.98

0.56

-2.42

VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (2.78 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

33

G 7.90

7 M. Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ 78' D 7.70

24 J. Chabot D 6.90

3 R. Hendriks D 6.00

10 C. Führich 87' M 6.90

6 A. Stiller M 8.20

30 José María Andrés Baixauli M 7.00

18 J. Leweling 1 👟 87' M 8.00

28 N. Nartey 1 👟 78' F 7.60

26 D. Undav 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.20

9 E. Demirović 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

11 B. El Khannouss 18' M 6.50

23 Dan Zagadou D

4 J. Vagnoman 9' D 6.30

22 L. Assignon 9' D 6.30

8 Tiago Tomás 28' F 6.60

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.90

12 E. Tapsoba D 6.30

8 R. Andrich D 6.30

4 J. Quansah 86' D 6.20

20 Álex Grimaldo M 7.20

25 E. Palacios M 6.90

24 Aleix García 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.60

42 Montrell Culbreath 65' M 6.30

30 I. Maza F 6.90

14 P. Schick F 6.70

35 Christian Kofane 1 👟 78' F 7.20

Bench

6 E. Fernández M

19 Ernest Poku 18' F 6.50

28 J. Blaswich G

21 Lucas Vázquez D

10 Malik Tillman 31' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

A. Stiller

M · VfB

8.20

1 shots · 53 pass

J. Leweling

M · VfB

8.00

1 👟

· 29 pass

G · VfB

7.90

· 33 pass

E. Demirović

F · VfB

7.90

1 ⚽

6 shots · 16 pass

M. Mittelstädt

D · VfB

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

N. Nartey

F · VfB

7.60

1 👟

· 20 pass

VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
M. Mittelstädt	D	78	7.70	1	—	2	39	37%	1	—	—
J. Chabot	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	36	35%	1	—	—
R. Hendriks	D	96	6.00	—	—	—	25	23%	1	—	—
C. Führich	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	34	28%	—	1	—
A. Stiller	M	96	8.20	—	—	1	53	46%	4	—	—
José María Andrés Baixauli	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
J. Leweling	M	87	8.00	—	1	—	29	25%	—	—	—
N. Nartey	F	78	7.60	—	1	—	20	17%	1	—	—
D. Undav	F	68	7.20	1	—	4	27	22%	—	—	—
E. Demirović	F	96	7.90	1	—	6	16	13%	1	—	—
B. El Khannouss	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
J. Vagnoman	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
L. Assignon	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Tiago Tomás	F	28	6.60	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	29	11%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	45	38%	1	—	—
R. Andrich	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	31	29%	—	—	—
J. Quansah	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
Álex Grimaldo	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
E. Palacios	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	66	64%	2	—	—
Aleix García	M	65	7.60	1	—	1	49	37%	1	—	—
Montrell Culbreath	M	65	6.30	—	—	1	14	9%	1	—	—
I. Maza	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	26	21%	2	—	—
P. Schick	F	96	6.70	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—
Christian Kofane	F	78	7.20	—	1	1	11	9%	—	—	—
Ernest Poku	F	18	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
Malik Tillman	M	31	6.90	—	—	1	9	8%	—	—	—