Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 15:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

#4 · 62 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#6 · 59 pts

E. Demirovic (ast. N. Nartey) 5'

M. Mittelstadt 45'+7 (pen.)

D. Undav (ast. J. Leweling) 58'

1' (ast. C. Kofane) A. Garcia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 41% win probability (draw 18%, VfB Stuttgart 40%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.78

Actual xG

0.56

4

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

6

10

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

1'

ast. C. Kofane · A. Garcia⚽

⚽E. Demirovic · ast. N. Nartey

5'

⚽M. Mittelstadt (pen.)

45'+7

47'

⚽D. Undav · ast. J. Leweling

58'

65'

M. Tillman / A. Garcia ↕

65'

Arthur / M. Culbreath ↕

↕ D. Undav / T. Tomas

68'

↕ M. Mittelstadt / L. Jaquez

78'

↕ N. Nartey / B. El Khannouss

78'

78'

E. Poku / C. Kofane ↕

C. Fuhrich

80'

86'

E. Ben Seghir / J. Quansah ↕

↕ C. Fuhrich / L. Assignon

87'

↕ J. Leweling / J. Vagnoman

87'

90'+7

E. Palacios

T. Tomas

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

40.86%

VfB ←

18.02%

X

41.13%

Bayer

we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 40.86% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfB

2.82

2.78

-0.04

Bayer

2.98

0.56

-2.42

VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (2.78 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

33

G 7.90

7 Maximilian Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ 78' D 7.70

24 J. Chabot D 6.90

3 R. Hendriks D 6.00

10 C. Führich 87' M 6.90

6 A. Stiller M 8.20

30 Chema Andrés M 7.00

18 J. Leweling 1 👟 87' M 8.00

28 Nikolas Nartey 1 👟 78' F 7.60

26 D. Undav 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.20

9 E. Demirović 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

11 Bilal El Khannouss 18' M 6.50

23 Dan Zagadou D

4 Josha Vagnoman 9' D 6.30

22 L. Assignon 9' D 6.30

8 Tiago Tomás 28' F 6.60

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.90

12 E. Tapsoba D 6.30

8 R. Andrich D 6.30

4 J. Quansah 86' D 6.20

20 Álex Grimaldo M 7.20

25 Exequiel Palacios M 6.90

24 Aleix García 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.60

42 Montrell Culbreath 65' M 6.30

30 Ibrahim Maza F 6.90

14 P. Schick F 6.70

35

Christian Kofane 1 👟 78' F 7.20

Bench

19 E. Poku 18' F 6.50

6 Ezequiel Fernández M

28 Janis Blaswich G

21 Lucas Vázquez D

10 M. Tillman 31' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

A. Stiller

M · VfB

8.20

1 shots · 53 pass

J. Leweling

M · VfB

8.00

1 👟

· 29 pass

G · VfB

7.90

· 33 pass

E. Demirović

F · VfB

7.90

1 ⚽

6 shots · 16 pass

Maximilian Mittelstädt

D · VfB

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

Nikolas Nartey

F · VfB

7.60

1 👟

· 20 pass

VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
Maximilian Mittelstädt	D	78	7.70	1	—	2	39	37%	1	—	—
J. Chabot	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	36	35%	1	—	—
R. Hendriks	D	96	6.00	—	—	—	25	23%	1	—	—
C. Führich	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	34	28%	—	1	—
A. Stiller	M	96	8.20	—	—	1	53	46%	4	—	—
Chema Andrés	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
J. Leweling	M	87	8.00	—	1	—	29	25%	—	—	—
Nikolas Nartey	F	78	7.60	—	1	—	20	17%	1	—	—
D. Undav	F	68	7.20	1	—	4	27	22%	—	—	—
E. Demirović	F	96	7.90	1	—	6	16	13%	1	—	—
Bilal El Khannouss	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
Josha Vagnoman	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
L. Assignon	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Tiago Tomás	F	28	6.60	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	29	11%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	45	38%	1	—	—
R. Andrich	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	31	29%	—	—	—
J. Quansah	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
Álex Grimaldo	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
Exequiel Palacios	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	66	64%	2	—	—
Aleix García	M	65	7.60	1	—	1	49	37%	1	—	—
Montrell Culbreath	M	65	6.30	—	—	1	14	9%	1	—	—
Ibrahim Maza	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	26	21%	2	—	—
P. Schick	F	96	6.70	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—
Christian Kofane	F	78	7.20	—	1	1	11	9%	—	—	—
E. Poku	F	18	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
M. Tillman	M	31	6.90	—	—	1	9	8%	—	—	—