Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 09, 2026 15:30

VfB Stuttgart

#4 · 61 pts

3 – 1

Final score

Bayer Leverkusen

#6 · 58 pts

E. Demirovic (ast. N. Nartey) 5'

M. Mittelstadt 45'+7 (pen.)

D. Undav (ast. J. Leweling) 58'

1' (ast. C. Kofane) A. Garcia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayer Leverkusen a 41% win probability (draw 18%, VfB Stuttgart 40%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bayer Leverkusen.

Match statistics

14

Total shots

6

9

Shots on target

5

2.78

Actual xG

0.56

4

Saves

5

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

6

10

Tackles

12

1

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

1'

ast. C. Kofane · A. Garcia⚽

⚽E. Demirovic · ast. N. Nartey

5'

⚽M. Mittelstadt (pen.)

45'+7

47'

⚽D. Undav · ast. J. Leweling

58'

65'

M. Tillman / A. Garcia ↕

65'

Arthur / M. Culbreath ↕

↕ D. Undav / T. Tomas

68'

↕ M. Mittelstadt / L. Jaquez

78'

↕ N. Nartey / B. El Khannouss

78'

78'

E. Poku / C. Kofane ↕

C. Fuhrich

80'

86'

E. Ben Seghir / J. Quansah ↕

↕ C. Fuhrich / L. Assignon

87'

↕ J. Leweling / J. Vagnoman

87'

90'+7

E. Palacios

T. Tomas

90'+7

Pre-match prediction

40.86%

VfB ←

18.02%

X

41.13%

Bayer

we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 40.86% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfB

2.82

2.78

-0.04

Bayer

2.98

0.56

-2.42

VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (2.78 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart 3-4-1-2

33

G 7.90

7

Maximilian Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ 78' D 7.70

24 J. Chabot D 6.90

3 R. Hendriks D 6.00

10

C. Fuhrich 87' M 6.90

6

Angelo Stiller M 8.20

30

C. Andres M 7.00

18 J. Leweling 1 👟 87' M 8.00

28

N. Nartey 1 👟 78' F 7.60

26 D. Undav 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.20

9 E. Demirović 1 ⚽ F 7.90

Bench

11 B. El Khannouss 18' M 6.50

23

D. Zagadou D

4

J. Vagnoman 9' D 6.30

22 L. Assignon 9' D 6.30

8

Tiago Tomás 28' F 6.60

Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1

1

G 6.90

12 E. Tapsoba D 6.30

8 R. Andrich D 6.30

4

J. Quansah 86' D 6.20

20

A. Grimaldo M 7.20

25 E. Palacios M 6.90

24 Aleix García 1 ⚽ 65' M 7.60

42

M. Culbreath 65' M 6.30

30 I. Maza F 6.90

14 P. Schick F 6.70

35

Christian Kofane 1 👟 78' F 7.20

Bench

6

E. Fernandez M

19 E. Poku 18' F 6.50

28

J. Blaswich G

21

Lucas D

10 M. Tillman 31' M 6.90

Best on the pitch

Angelo Stiller

M · VfB

8.20

1 shots · 53 pass

J. Leweling

M · VfB

8.00

1 👟

· 29 pass

G · VfB

7.90

· 33 pass

E. Demirović

F · VfB

7.90

1 ⚽

6 shots · 16 pass

Maximilian Mittelstädt

D · VfB

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 39 pass

N. Nartey

F · VfB

7.60

1 👟

· 20 pass

VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	7.90	—	—	—	33	19%	—	—	—
Maximilian Mittelstädt	D	78	7.70	1	—	2	39	37%	1	—	—
J. Chabot	D	96	6.90	—	—	1	36	35%	1	—	—
R. Hendriks	D	96	6.00	—	—	—	25	23%	1	—	—
C. Fuhrich	M	87	6.90	—	—	—	34	28%	—	1	—
Angelo Stiller	M	96	8.20	—	—	1	53	46%	4	—	—
C. Andres	M	96	7.00	—	—	—	40	34%	1	—	—
J. Leweling	M	87	8.00	—	1	—	29	25%	—	—	—
N. Nartey	F	78	7.60	—	1	—	20	17%	1	—	—
D. Undav	F	68	7.20	1	—	4	27	22%	—	—	—
E. Demirović	F	96	7.90	1	—	6	16	13%	1	—	—
B. El Khannouss	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	14	9%	—	—	—
J. Vagnoman	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
L. Assignon	D	9	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Tiago Tomás	F	28	6.60	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—

Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	29	11%	—	—	—
E. Tapsoba	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	45	38%	1	—	—
R. Andrich	D	96	6.30	—	—	—	31	29%	—	—	—
J. Quansah	D	86	6.20	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
A. Grimaldo	M	96	7.20	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
E. Palacios	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	66	64%	2	—	—
Aleix García	M	65	7.60	1	—	1	49	37%	1	—	—
M. Culbreath	M	65	6.30	—	—	1	14	9%	1	—	—
I. Maza	F	96	6.90	—	—	1	26	21%	2	—	—
P. Schick	F	96	6.70	—	—	—	16	14%	2	—	—
Christian Kofane	F	78	7.20	—	1	1	11	9%	—	—	—
E. Poku	F	18	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
M. Tillman	M	31	6.90	—	—	1	9	8%	—	—	—