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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 17:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
#13 · 3 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Hamburger SV
#17 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction VfB Stuttgart
A. Stiller (ast. J. Leweling) 21'
C. Fuhrich (ast. E. Demirovic) 32'
M. Mittelstadt (ast. C. Fuhrich) 56'
B. El Khannouss (ast. T. Tomas) 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 71% win probability (draw 15%, Hamburger SV 12%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
5
3.64
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Stiller · ast. J. Leweling
21'
Chema Andrés
24'
⚽C. Fuhrich · ast. E. Demirovic
32'
⚽M. Mittelstadt · ast. C. Fuhrich
56'
60'
O. Stange / R. Philippe ↕
60'
R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek ↕
67'
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
70'
↕ E. Demirovic / T. Tomas
70'
↕ C. Fuhrich / B. El Khannouss
70'
72'
G. Gocholeishvili / F. Balde ↕
72'
N. Capaldo / D. Elfadli ↕
Deniz Undav
80'
80'
Nicolás Capaldo
81'
⚽B. El Khannouss · ast. T. Tomas
86'
↕ L. Assignon / J. Vagnoman
88'
↕ D. Undav / Jeremy Arevalo
88'
Pre-match prediction
71.41%
VfB ←
15.67%
X
12.93%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 71.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.78
3.64
+0.86
Hamburger
1.14
0.61
-0.53
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 7.30
7 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ D 9.90
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 8.20
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 7.50
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 88' D 6.90
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller 1 ⚽ M 7.90
30 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli 70' M 7.20
10 C. Führich C. Führich 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.90
26 D. Undav D. Undav 88' M 7.20
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 1 👟 M 7.30
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 ⚽ 20' M 8.20
23 Dan Zagadou Dan Zagadou D
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D
25 Jeremy Arevalo Jeremy Arevalo 2' F
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman 2' D
28 Nikolas Nartey Nikolas Nartey 20' M 7.00
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 1 👟 20' F 7.30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1
G 6.60
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli 72' D 6.30
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.70
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 5.90
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 72' M 6.50
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg M 6.20
23 A. Grønbæk A. Grønbæk 60' M 6.30
2 W. Mikelbrencis W. Mikelbrencis M 6.50
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.00
14 R. Philippe R. Philippe 60' F 6.50
11 R. Königsdörffer R. Königsdörffer F 6.50
Bench
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo 18' M 6.50
27 P. Otele P. Otele F
9 R. Glatzel R. Glatzel 30' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
M. Mittelstädt
M. Mittelstädt
D · VfB
9.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
C. Führich
C. Führich
M · VfB
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 34 pass
J. Chabot
J. Chabot
D · VfB
8.20
1 shots · 73 pass
B. El Khannouss
B. El Khannouss
M · VfB
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
A. Stiller
A. Stiller
M · VfB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 78 pass
R. Hendriks
R. Hendriks
D · VfB
7.50
· 58 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
M. Mittelstädt D 90 9.90 1 — 3 63 55% 4 — —
J. Chabot D 90 8.20 — — 1 73 67% 2 — —
R. Hendriks D 90 7.50 — — — 58 52% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 88 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
A. Stiller M 90 7.90 1 — 1 78 70% 2 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 70 7.20 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
C. Führich M 70 8.90 1 1 4 34 28% 1 — —
D. Undav M 88 7.20 — — 4 39 29% — 1 —
J. Leweling M 90 7.30 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
E. Demirović F 70 6.90 — 1 1 16 14% — — —
B. El Khannouss M 20 8.20 1 — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Jeremy Arevalo F 2 — — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Vagnoman D 2 — — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Nikolas Nartey M 20 7.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Tiago Tomás F 20 7.30 — 1 — 5 5% 1 — —
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 57 33% — — —
Daniel Elfadli D 72 6.30 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.70 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 5.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Fabio Baldé M 72 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
N. Remberg M 90 6.20 — — — 38 29% — — —
A. Grønbæk M 60 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
W. Mikelbrencis M 90 6.50 — — — 19 14% 4 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.00 — — 1 28 27% — — —
R. Philippe F 60 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 2 — —
R. Königsdörffer F 90 6.50 — — 4 13 9% — — —
N. Capaldo M 18 6.50 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
R. Glatzel F 30 6.20 — — 1 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 71% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Hamburger SV win.