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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 19:30
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 61 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Hamburger SV
#11 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction VfB Stuttgart
A. Stiller (ast. J. Leweling) 21'
C. Fuhrich (ast. E. Demirovic) 32'
M. Mittelstadt (ast. C. Fuhrich) 56'
B. El Khannouss (ast. T. Tomas) 86'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 71% win probability (draw 15%, Hamburger SV 12%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
5
3.64
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Stiller · ast. J. Leweling
21'
Chema Andrés
24'
⚽C. Fuhrich · ast. E. Demirovic
32'
⚽M. Mittelstadt · ast. C. Fuhrich
56'
60'
O. Stange / R. Philippe ↕
60'
R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek ↕
67'
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
70'
↕ E. Demirovic / T. Tomas
70'
↕ C. Fuhrich / B. El Khannouss
70'
72'
G. Gocholeishvili / F. Balde ↕
72'
N. Capaldo / D. Elfadli ↕
Deniz Undav
80'
80'
Nicolás Capaldo
81'
⚽B. El Khannouss · ast. T. Tomas
86'
↕ L. Assignon / J. Vagnoman
88'
↕ D. Undav / Jeremy Arevalo
88'
Pre-match prediction
71.41%
VfB ←
15.67%
X
12.93%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 71.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.78
3.64
+0.86
Hamburger
1.14
0.61
-0.53
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 7.30
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ D 9.90
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 8.20
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 7.50
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 88' D 6.90
6
Angelo Stiller 1 ⚽ M 7.90
30
C. Andres 70' M 7.20
10
C. Fuhrich 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.90
26 D. Undav D. Undav 88' M 7.20
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 1 👟 M 7.30
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 ⚽ 20' M 8.20
23
D. Zagadou D
29
F. Jeltsch D
25
Jeremy Arevalo 2' F
4
J. Vagnoman 2' D
28
N. Nartey 20' M 7.00
8
Tiago Tomás 1 👟 20' F 7.30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1
G 6.60
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli 72' D 6.30
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.70
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 5.90
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 72' M 6.50
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg M 6.20
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 60' M 6.30
2
W. Mikelbrencis M 6.50
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.00
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 60' F 6.50
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.50
Bench
24 Nicolás Capaldo Nicolás Capaldo 18' M 6.50
27 Philip Otele Philip Otele F
9
R. Glatzel 30' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Maximilian Mittelstädt
D · VfB
9.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
C. Fuhrich
M · VfB
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 34 pass
J. Chabot
J. Chabot
D · VfB
8.20
1 shots · 73 pass
B. El Khannouss
B. El Khannouss
M · VfB
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 78 pass
R. Hendriks
R. Hendriks
D · VfB
7.50
· 58 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 90 9.90 1 — 3 63 55% 4 — —
J. Chabot D 90 8.20 — — 1 73 67% 2 — —
R. Hendriks D 90 7.50 — — — 58 52% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 88 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Angelo Stiller M 90 7.90 1 — 1 78 70% 2 — —
C. Andres M 70 7.20 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
C. Fuhrich M 70 8.90 1 1 4 34 28% 1 — —
D. Undav M 88 7.20 — — 4 39 29% — 1 —
J. Leweling M 90 7.30 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
E. Demirović F 70 6.90 — 1 1 16 14% — — —
B. El Khannouss M 20 8.20 1 — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Jeremy Arevalo F 2 — — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Vagnoman D 2 — — — — 5 3% 1 — —
N. Nartey M 20 7.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Tiago Tomás F 20 7.30 — 1 — 5 5% 1 — —
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 57 33% — — —
Daniel Elfadli D 72 6.30 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.70 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 5.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Fabio Baldé M 72 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
N. Remberg M 90 6.20 — — — 38 29% — — —
Albert Grønbæk M 60 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
W. Mikelbrencis M 90 6.50 — — — 19 14% 4 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.00 — — 1 28 27% — — —
Rayan Philippe F 60 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 2 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 6.50 — — 4 13 9% — — —
Nicolás Capaldo M 18 6.50 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
R. Glatzel F 30 6.20 — — 1 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 71% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Hamburger SV win.