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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 17:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 0 pts
4 – 0
Final score
Hamburger SV
#13 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction VfB Stuttgart
A. Stiller (ast. J. Leweling) 21'
C. Fuhrich (ast. E. Demirovic) 32'
M. Mittelstadt (ast. C. Fuhrich) 56'
B. El Khannouss (ast. T. Tomas) 86'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 71% win probability (draw 15%, Hamburger SV 12%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
8
11
Shots on target
5
3.64
Actual xG
0.61
4
Saves
7
65%
Possession
35%
8
Corners
2
14
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽A. Stiller · ast. J. Leweling
21'
Chema Andrés
24'
⚽C. Fuhrich · ast. E. Demirovic
32'
⚽M. Mittelstadt · ast. C. Fuhrich
56'
60'
O. Stange / R. Philippe ↕
60'
R. Glatzel / A. Gronbaek ↕
67'
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
70'
↕ E. Demirovic / T. Tomas
70'
↕ C. Fuhrich / B. El Khannouss
70'
72'
G. Gocholeishvili / F. Balde ↕
72'
N. Capaldo / D. Elfadli ↕
Deniz Undav
80'
80'
Nicolás Capaldo
81'
⚽B. El Khannouss · ast. T. Tomas
86'
↕ L. Assignon / J. Vagnoman
88'
↕ D. Undav / Jeremy Arevalo
88'
Pre-match prediction
71.41%
VfB ←
15.67%
X
12.93%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (VfB Stuttgart) 71.41% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.78
3.64
+0.86
Hamburger
1.14
0.61
-0.53
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (3.64 vs 0.61). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0 0
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 0
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0 0
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 0 0
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 0 0
17 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 7.30
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt Maximilian Mittelstädt 1 ⚽ D 9.90
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D 8.20
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks D 7.50
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 88' D 6.90
6 Angelo Stiller Angelo Stiller 1 ⚽ M 7.90
30 Chema Andrés Chema Andrés 70' M 7.20
10 C. Führich C. Führich 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.90
26 D. Undav D. Undav 88' M 7.20
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 1 👟 M 7.30
9 Ermedin Demirović Ermedin Demirović 1 👟 70' F 6.90
Bench
11 Bilal El Khannouss Bilal El Khannouss 1 ⚽ 20' M 8.20
23 Dan Zagadou Dan Zagadou D
29 Finn Jeltsch Finn Jeltsch D
25 Jeremy Arevalo Jeremy Arevalo 2' F
4 Josha Vagnoman Josha Vagnoman 2' D
28 Nikolas Nartey Nikolas Nartey 20' M 7.00
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 1 👟 20' F 7.30
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 3-4-1-2
1
G 6.60
8 Daniel Elfadli Daniel Elfadli 72' D 6.30
25 J. Torunarigha J. Torunarigha D 6.70
17 Warmed Omari Warmed Omari D 5.90
45 Fabio Baldé Fabio Baldé 72' M 6.50
21 N. Remberg N. Remberg M 6.20
23 Albert Grønbæk Albert Grønbæk 60' M 6.30
2 William Mikelbrencis William Mikelbrencis M 6.50
20 Fábio Vieira Fábio Vieira F 7.00
14 Rayan Philippe Rayan Philippe 60' F 6.50
11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 6.50
Bench
24 N. Capaldo N. Capaldo 18' M 6.50
27 P. Otele P. Otele F
9
R. Glatzel 30' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt
D · VfB
9.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 63 pass
C. Führich
C. Führich
M · VfB
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 34 pass
J. Chabot
J. Chabot
D · VfB
8.20
1 shots · 73 pass
Bilal El Khannouss
Bilal El Khannouss
M · VfB
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 78 pass
R. Hendriks
R. Hendriks
D · VfB
7.50
· 58 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 34 21% — — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 90 9.90 1 — 3 63 55% 4 — —
J. Chabot D 90 8.20 — — 1 73 67% 2 — —
R. Hendriks D 90 7.50 — — — 58 52% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 88 6.90 — — — 41 35% 1 — —
Angelo Stiller M 90 7.90 1 — 1 78 70% 2 — —
Chema Andrés M 70 7.20 — — 1 35 29% — 1 —
C. Führich M 70 8.90 1 1 4 34 28% 1 — —
D. Undav M 88 7.20 — — 4 39 29% — 1 —
J. Leweling M 90 7.30 — 1 — 26 23% — — —
Ermedin Demirović F 70 6.90 — 1 1 16 14% — — —
Bilal El Khannouss M 20 8.20 1 — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Jeremy Arevalo F 2 — — — — 4 2% — — —
Josha Vagnoman D 2 — — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Nikolas Nartey M 20 7.00 — — — 16 15% — — —
Tiago Tomás F 20 7.30 — 1 — 5 5% 1 — —
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.60 — — — 57 33% — — —
Daniel Elfadli D 72 6.30 — — — 22 19% 2 — —
J. Torunarigha D 90 6.70 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
Warmed Omari D 90 5.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
Fabio Baldé M 72 6.50 — — 1 17 14% 2 — —
N. Remberg M 90 6.20 — — — 38 29% — — —
Albert Grønbæk M 60 6.30 — — — 15 11% 1 — —
William Mikelbrencis M 90 6.50 — — — 19 14% 4 — —
Fábio Vieira F 90 7.00 — — 1 28 27% — — —
Rayan Philippe F 60 6.50 — — 1 5 2% 2 — —
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F 90 6.50 — — 4 13 9% — — —
N. Capaldo M 18 6.50 — — — 7 7% — 1 —
R. Glatzel F 30 6.20 — — 1 4 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 71% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Hamburger SV win.