VfB Stuttgart - SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Friendlies Clubs
October 01, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.14%
Win
VfB Stuttgart
25.96%
Draw
26.9%
Win
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.51
1.36
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.12%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
26%
2
27%
Double Chance
1X
73%
X2
53%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives VfB Stuttgart a 47% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 26% for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Expected goals are 2.5 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.4 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth (total 3.9), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.12% probability.
Season Stats
5W
1D
1L
4W
0D
3L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
86%
O 1.5
71%
86%
O 2.5
57%
57%
BTTS
29%
29%
Clean Sht
29%
ℹ
Based on the last 7 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
70%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
2W
1D
0L
· at home
3W
0D
2L
· away
2.7
gls/g
1.8
1.7
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
60%
100%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
100%
O 2.5
60%
100%
O 3.5
40%
100%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ VfB Stuttgart
SpVgg Greuther Fürth →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
VfB Stuttgart
Attack
69
Defence
77
Form
72
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Attack
50
Defence
75
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
The model gives VfB Stuttgart a 47% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 26% for an SpVgg Greuther Fürth win.
How many goals are expected in VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.5, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.4 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in VfB Stuttgart vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.12%.