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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 17:30
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 61 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Werder Bremen
#15 · 32 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction VfB Stuttgart, result Pareggio
E. Demirovic (ast. B. El Khannouss) 61'
18' (ast. Y. Sugawara) J. Stage

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Werder Bremen 20%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.78
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
14
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
ast. Y. Sugawara · J. Stage⚽
↕ D. Zagadou / R. Hendriks
46'
↕ L. Assignon / C. Fuhrich
57'
↕ T. Tomas / E. Demirovic
57'
⚽E. Demirovic · ast. B. El Khannouss
61'
65'
M. Wober / N. Stark ↕
65'
J. Njinmah / J. Milosevic ↕
↕ J. Leweling / B. Bouanani
78'
78'
M. Backhaus
83'
S. Mbangula / J. Stage ↕
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
89'
90'+4
S. Musah / R. Schmid ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
VfB
19.16%
X ←
20.18%
Werder
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.60
1.78
-0.82
Werder
1.62
1.00
-0.62
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
7
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 6.90
23
D. Zagadou 45' D 6.70
14
D 6.60
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 57' D 6.60
6
Angelo Stiller M 8.20
30
C. Andres 89' M 6.30
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 78' M 6.00
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 👟 M 7.20
8
Tiago Tomás 57' M 6.30
26 D. Undav D. Undav F 6.50
Bench
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M
10
C. Fuhrich 33' M 7.90
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.50
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D
4
J. Vagnoman D
28
N. Nartey 1' M
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks 45' D 6.90
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1
30
M. Backhaus G 7.20
31
K. Coulibaly D 6.70
4
N. Stark 65' D 6.90
5
Amos Pieper D 7.30
2
O. Deman M 6.60
14
M 6.70
18
Cameron Puertas M 6.20
3
Y. Sugawara 1 👟 M 7.30
20
R. Schmid 89' F 7.70
6
J. Stage 1 ⚽ 83' F 8.00
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 65' F 6.60
Bench
23
I. Schmidt D
11
J. Njinmah 25' F 6.30
29
S. Musah 1' F
Best on the pitch
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
8.20
· 94 pass
J. Stage
F · Werder
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
C. Fuhrich
M · VfB
7.90
· 24 pass
R. Schmid
F · Werder
7.70
· 36 pass
E. Demirović
E. Demirović
F · VfB
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Amos Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 25 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 36 25% — — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 90 6.90 — — 1 77 75% 2 — —
D. Zagadou D 45 6.70 — — — 42 41% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — 1 108 101% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 57 6.60 — — — 31 29% — — —
Angelo Stiller M 90 8.20 — — — 94 89% 3 — —
C. Andres M 89 6.30 — — — 51 43% 2 — —
J. Leweling M 78 6.00 — — — 34 27% — — —
B. El Khannouss M 90 7.20 — 1 3 52 38% 2 — —
Tiago Tomás M 57 6.30 — — 2 22 17% 3 — —
D. Undav F 90 6.50 — — 2 28 20% — — —
C. Fuhrich M 33 7.90 — — — 24 20% — — —
E. Demirović F 33 7.50 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
N. Nartey M 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
R. Hendriks D 45 6.90 — — — 42 41% — — —
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 7.20 — — — 38 23% — 1 —
K. Coulibaly D 90 6.70 — — — 29 22% — — —
N. Stark D 65 6.90 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
Amos Pieper D 90 7.30 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
O. Deman M 90 6.60 — — — 28 20% 5 — —
M 90 6.70 — — 2 27 19% 3 — —
Cameron Puertas M 90 6.20 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
Y. Sugawara M 90 7.30 — 1 1 17 15% 3 — —
R. Schmid F 89 7.70 — — — 36 29% 3 — —
J. Stage F 83 8.00 1 — 3 33 23% 1 — —
J. Milošević F 65 6.60 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
J. Njinmah F 25 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
S. Musah F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 60% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Werder Bremen win.