✗Model wrong — prediction VfB Stuttgart, result Draw
E. Demirovic
(ast. B. El Khannouss)
61'
18'
(ast. Y. Sugawara)
J. Stage
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Werder Bremen 20%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.78
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
14
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
ast. Y. Sugawara ·
J. Stage⚽
D. Zagadou
/ R. Hendriks
46'
L. Assignon
/ C. Fuhrich
57'
T. Tomas
/ E. Demirovic
57'
⚽E. Demirovic
· ast. B. El Khannouss
61'
65'
M. Wober
/
N. Stark
65'
J. Njinmah
/
J. Milosevic
J. Leweling
/ B. Bouanani
78'
78'
M. Backhaus
83'
S. Mbangula
/
J. Stage
C. Andres
/ N. Nartey
89'
90'+4
S. Musah
/
R. Schmid
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
VfB
19.16%
X ←
20.18%
Werder
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.60
1.78
-0.82
1.62
1.00
-0.62
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
33
G
7
M. Mittelstädt
D
M. Mittelstädt
D
23
Dan Zagadou
45'
D
Dan Zagadou
45'
D
14
D
22
L. Assignon
57'
D
L. Assignon
57'
D
6
A. Stiller
M
A. Stiller
M
30
José María Andrés Baixauli
89'
M
José María Andrés Baixauli
89'
M
18
J. Leweling
78'
M
J. Leweling
78'
M
11
B. El Khannouss
1 👟
M
B. El Khannouss
1 👟
M
8
Tiago Tomás
57'
M
Tiago Tomás
57'
M
26
D. Undav
F
D. Undav
F
Bench
16
A. Karazor
M
A. Karazor
M
10
C. Führich
33'
M
C. Führich
33'
M
9
E. Demirović
1 ⚽
33'
F
E. Demirović
1 ⚽
33'
F
24
J. Chabot
D
J. Chabot
D
4
J. Vagnoman
D
J. Vagnoman
D
28
N. Nartey
1'
M
N. Nartey
1'
M
3
R. Hendriks
45'
D
R. Hendriks
45'
D
30
M. Backhaus
G
M. Backhaus
G
31
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly
D
4
N. Stark
65'
D
N. Stark
65'
D
5
A. Pieper
D
A. Pieper
D
2
O. Deman
M
O. Deman
M
14
M
18
Cameron Puertas
M
Cameron Puertas
M
3
Y. Sugawara
1 👟
M
Y. Sugawara
1 👟
M
20
R. Schmid
89'
F
R. Schmid
89'
F
6
Jens Stage
1 ⚽
83'
F
Jens Stage
1 ⚽
83'
F
19
J. Milošević
65'
F
J. Milošević
65'
F
Bench
23
I. Schmidt
D
I. Schmidt
D
11
Justin Njinmah
25'
F
Justin Njinmah
25'
F
29
Salim Musah
1'
F
Salim Musah
1'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Stiller
M · VfB
8.20
· 94 pass
Jens Stage
F · Werder
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
C. Führich
M · VfB
7.90
· 24 pass
R. Schmid
F · Werder
7.70
· 36 pass
E. Demirović
F · VfB
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
A. Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 25 pass
VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 75% | 2 | — | — |
| Dan Zagadou | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 108 | 101% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Assignon | D | 57 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 94 | 89% | 3 | — | — |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 52 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | M | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 33 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 33 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Abdoul Karim Coulibaly | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Stark | D | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Pieper | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Deman | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Sugawara | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Schmid | F | 89 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Jens Stage | F | 83 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Njinmah | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Salim Musah | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 60% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Werder Bremen win.