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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 15:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
#13 · 3 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Werder Bremen
#12 · 3 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction VfB Stuttgart, result Draw
E. Demirovic (ast. B. El Khannouss) 61'
18' (ast. Y. Sugawara) J. Stage
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Werder Bremen 20%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.78
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
14
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
ast. Y. Sugawara · J. Stage⚽
↕ D. Zagadou / R. Hendriks
46'
↕ L. Assignon / C. Fuhrich
57'
↕ T. Tomas / E. Demirovic
57'
⚽E. Demirovic · ast. B. El Khannouss
61'
65'
M. Wober / N. Stark ↕
65'
J. Njinmah / J. Milosevic ↕
↕ J. Leweling / B. Bouanani
78'
78'
M. Backhaus
83'
S. Mbangula / J. Stage ↕
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
89'
90'+4
S. Musah / R. Schmid ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
VfB
19.16%
X ←
20.18%
Werder
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.60
1.78
-0.82
Werder
1.62
1.00
-0.62
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 3 9
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 9
3 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 3 7
4 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 2 6
5 Bayern München Bayern München 2 4
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 4
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 3 4
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 3 4
9 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 3 4
10 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 2 3
11 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
12 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 2 3
13 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 3
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 2 3
15 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 3 1
16 Union Berlin Union Berlin 3 1
17 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 2 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 0
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
7 M. Mittelstädt M. Mittelstädt D 6.90
23 Dan Zagadou Dan Zagadou 45' D 6.70
14
D 6.60
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 57' D 6.60
6 A. Stiller A. Stiller M 8.20
30 José María Andrés Baixauli José María Andrés Baixauli 89' M 6.30
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 78' M 6.00
11 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 1 👟 M 7.20
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 57' M 6.30
26 D. Undav D. Undav F 6.50
Bench
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M
10 C. Führich C. Führich 33' M 7.90
9 E. Demirović E. Demirović 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.50
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D
4 J. Vagnoman J. Vagnoman D
28 Nikolas Nartey Nikolas Nartey 1' M
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks 45' D 6.90
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1
30 M. Backhaus M. Backhaus G 7.20
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 6.70
4 N. Stark N. Stark 65' D 6.90
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper D 7.30
2 O. Deman O. Deman M 6.60
14
M 6.70
18 Cameron Puertas Cameron Puertas M 6.20
3 Yukinari Sugawara Yukinari Sugawara 1 👟 M 7.30
20 Romano Schmid Romano Schmid 89' F 7.70
6 Jens Stage Jens Stage 1 ⚽ 83' F 8.00
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 65' F 6.60
Bench
23 I. Schmidt I. Schmidt D
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah 25' F 6.30
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 1' F
Best on the pitch
A. Stiller
A. Stiller
M · VfB
8.20
· 94 pass
Jens Stage
Jens Stage
F · Werder
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
C. Führich
C. Führich
M · VfB
7.90
· 24 pass
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid
F · Werder
7.70
· 36 pass
E. Demirović
E. Demirović
F · VfB
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
A. Pieper
A. Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 25 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 36 25% — — —
M. Mittelstädt D 90 6.90 — — 1 77 75% 2 — —
Dan Zagadou D 45 6.70 — — — 42 41% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — 1 108 101% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 57 6.60 — — — 31 29% — — —
A. Stiller M 90 8.20 — — — 94 89% 3 — —
José María Andrés Baixauli M 89 6.30 — — — 51 43% 2 — —
J. Leweling M 78 6.00 — — — 34 27% — — —
B. El Khannouss M 90 7.20 — 1 3 52 38% 2 — —
Tiago Tomás M 57 6.30 — — 2 22 17% 3 — —
D. Undav F 90 6.50 — — 2 28 20% — — —
C. Führich M 33 7.90 — — — 24 20% — — —
E. Demirović F 33 7.50 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
Nikolas Nartey M 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
R. Hendriks D 45 6.90 — — — 42 41% — — —
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Backhaus G 90 7.20 — — — 38 23% — 1 —
Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D 90 6.70 — — — 29 22% — — —
N. Stark D 65 6.90 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
A. Pieper D 90 7.30 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
O. Deman M 90 6.60 — — — 28 20% 5 — —
M 90 6.70 — — 2 27 19% 3 — —
Cameron Puertas M 90 6.20 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
Yukinari Sugawara M 90 7.30 — 1 1 17 15% 3 — —
Romano Schmid F 89 7.70 — — — 36 29% 3 — —
Jens Stage F 83 8.00 1 — 3 33 23% 1 — —
J. Milošević F 65 6.60 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
Justin Njinmah F 25 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Salim Musah F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 60% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Werder Bremen win.