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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 15:30 MHPArena, Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
#4 · 0 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Werder Bremen
#15 · 0 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction VfB Stuttgart, result Draw
E. Demirovic (ast. B. El Khannouss) 61'
18' (ast. Y. Sugawara) J. Stage
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfB Stuttgart a 60% win probability (draw 19%, Werder Bremen 20%). The final result was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen. In 1 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.78
Actual xG
1.00
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
14
Corners
2
13
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
18'
ast. Y. Sugawara · J. Stage⚽
↕ D. Zagadou / R. Hendriks
46'
↕ L. Assignon / C. Fuhrich
57'
↕ T. Tomas / E. Demirovic
57'
⚽E. Demirovic · ast. B. El Khannouss
61'
65'
M. Wober / N. Stark ↕
65'
J. Njinmah / J. Milosevic ↕
↕ J. Leweling / B. Bouanani
78'
78'
M. Backhaus
83'
S. Mbangula / J. Stage ↕
↕ C. Andres / N. Nartey
89'
90'+4
S. Musah / R. Schmid ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
VfB
19.16%
X ←
20.18%
Werder
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfB
2.60
1.78
-0.82
Werder
1.62
1.00
-0.62
VfB Stuttgart dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 0 0
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 0 0
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 0 0
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 0 0
11 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0 0
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
13 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 0 0
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 0 0
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 0 0
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 0 0
17 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 0 0
18 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.20
7 Maximilian Mittelstädt Maximilian Mittelstädt D 6.90
23 Dan Zagadou Dan Zagadou 45' D 6.70
14
D 6.60
22 L. Assignon L. Assignon 57' D 6.60
6 Angelo Stiller Angelo Stiller M 8.20
30 Chema Andrés Chema Andrés 89' M 6.30
18 J. Leweling J. Leweling 78' M 6.00
11 Bilal El Khannouss Bilal El Khannouss 1 👟 M 7.20
8 Tiago Tomás Tiago Tomás 57' M 6.30
26 D. Undav D. Undav F 6.50
Bench
16 A. Karazor A. Karazor M
10 C. Führich C. Führich 33' M 7.90
9 Ermedin Demirović Ermedin Demirović 1 ⚽ 33' F 7.50
24 J. Chabot J. Chabot D
4 Josha Vagnoman Josha Vagnoman D
28 Nikolas Nartey Nikolas Nartey 1' M
3 R. Hendriks R. Hendriks 45' D 6.90
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1
30 Mio Backhaus Mio Backhaus G 7.20
31 Karim Coulibaly Karim Coulibaly D 6.70
4 Niklas Stark Niklas Stark 65' D 6.90
5 Amos Pieper Amos Pieper D 7.30
2 Olivier Deman Olivier Deman M 6.60
14
M 6.70
18 Cameron Puertas Cameron Puertas M 6.20
3 Yukinari Sugawara Yukinari Sugawara 1 👟 M 7.30
20 Romano Schmid Romano Schmid 89' F 7.70
6 J. Stage J. Stage 1 ⚽ 83' F 8.00
19 J. Milošević J. Milošević 65' F 6.60
Bench
23 Isaac Schmidt Isaac Schmidt D
11 Justin Njinmah Justin Njinmah 25' F 6.30
29 Salim Musah Salim Musah 1' F
Best on the pitch
Angelo Stiller
Angelo Stiller
M · VfB
8.20
· 94 pass
J. Stage
J. Stage
F · Werder
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
C. Führich
C. Führich
M · VfB
7.90
· 24 pass
Romano Schmid
Romano Schmid
F · Werder
7.70
· 36 pass
Ermedin Demirović
Ermedin Demirović
F · VfB
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Amos Pieper
Amos Pieper
D · Werder
7.30
· 25 pass
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.20 — — — 36 25% — — —
Maximilian Mittelstädt D 90 6.90 — — 1 77 75% 2 — —
Dan Zagadou D 45 6.70 — — — 42 41% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — 1 108 101% 1 — —
L. Assignon D 57 6.60 — — — 31 29% — — —
Angelo Stiller M 90 8.20 — — — 94 89% 3 — —
Chema Andrés M 89 6.30 — — — 51 43% 2 — —
J. Leweling M 78 6.00 — — — 34 27% — — —
Bilal El Khannouss M 90 7.20 — 1 3 52 38% 2 — —
Tiago Tomás M 57 6.30 — — 2 22 17% 3 — —
D. Undav F 90 6.50 — — 2 28 20% — — —
C. Führich M 33 7.90 — — — 24 20% — — —
Ermedin Demirović F 33 7.50 1 — 2 3 3% — — —
Nikolas Nartey M 1 — — — — 5 4% — — —
R. Hendriks D 45 6.90 — — — 42 41% — — —
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mio Backhaus G 90 7.20 — — — 38 23% — 1 —
Karim Coulibaly D 90 6.70 — — — 29 22% — — —
Niklas Stark D 65 6.90 — — — 28 24% 2 — —
Amos Pieper D 90 7.30 — — — 25 21% 1 — —
Olivier Deman M 90 6.60 — — — 28 20% 5 — —
M 90 6.70 — — 2 27 19% 3 — —
Cameron Puertas M 90 6.20 — — — 37 31% 2 — —
Yukinari Sugawara M 90 7.30 — 1 1 17 15% 3 — —
Romano Schmid F 89 7.70 — — — 36 29% 3 — —
J. Stage F 83 8.00 1 — 3 33 23% 1 — —
J. Milošević F 65 6.60 — — 1 9 6% 1 — —
Justin Njinmah F 25 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Salim Musah F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 60% probability to a VfB Stuttgart win, 19% to a draw, and 20% to an Werder Bremen win.