Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen
(ast. Gerrit Holtmann)
46'
Philipp Hofmann
(ast. Jarne Steuckers)
75'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 41% win probability (draw 21%, VfL Bochum 36%). The final result was VfL Bochum 2–0 FSV Mainz 05.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
0.49
4
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
5
Corners
6
15
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen
· ast. Gerrit Holtmann
46'
Berkan Taz
/ Koji Miyoshi
63'
63'
Eric Martel
/
Lee Jae-Sung
Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen
/ Philipp Hofmann
63'
63'
Anthony Caci
/
Silvan Widmer
63'
Ransford Königsdörffer
/
Phillip Tietz
64'
Ransford Königsdörffer
Tom Meyer
66'
Gerrit Holtmann
/ Mansour Ouro-Tagba
71'
⚽Philipp Hofmann
· ast. Jarne Steuckers
75'
Maximilian Wittek
/ Leon Sawas
81'
Jarne Steuckers
/ Lasse Isbruch
81'
84'
Benedict Hollerbach
/
Paul Nebel
84'
Sota Kawasaki
/
Danny da Costa
Lasse Isbruch
90'+6
Sean Klaiber
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
36.34%
VfL ←
21.78%
X
41.88%
FSV
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Bochum)
36.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
1.35
-1.1
2.40
0.49
-1.91
VfL Bochum dominated by xG (1.35 vs 0.49).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Horn
G
T. Horn
G
32
M. Wittek
81'
D
M. Wittek
81'
D
5
K. Mets
D
K. Mets
D
15
M. Steinwender
D
M. Steinwender
D
2
S. Klaiber
D
S. Klaiber
D
34
T. Meyer
M
T. Meyer
M
24
M. Pannewig
M
M. Pannewig
M
17
G. Holtmann
1 👟
71'
M
G. Holtmann
1 👟
71'
M
10
B. Taz
63'
M
B. Taz
63'
M
14
J. Steuckers
1 👟
81'
M
J. Steuckers
1 👟
81'
M
7
C. Rasmussen
1 ⚽
63'
F
C. Rasmussen
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
28
C. Patino
M
C. Patino
M
19
D. Hanslik
F
D. Hanslik
F
23
K. Miyoshi
27'
M
K. Miyoshi
27'
M
39
L. Isbruch
9'
M
L. Isbruch
9'
M
31
L. Sawas
9'
D
L. Sawas
9'
D
29
M. Ouro-Tagba
19'
F
M. Ouro-Tagba
19'
F
33
P. Hofmann
1 ⚽
27'
F
P. Hofmann
1 ⚽
27'
F
16
T. Casali
G
T. Casali
G
4
Y. Karademir
D
Y. Karademir
D
1
A. Schwolow
G
A. Schwolow
G
48
K. Potulski
D
K. Potulski
D
4
S. Posch
D
S. Posch
D
21
D. da Costa
84'
D
D. da Costa
84'
D
2
P. Mwene
M
P. Mwene
M
7
Lee Jae-Sung
63'
M
Lee Jae-Sung
63'
M
6
K. Sano
M
K. Sano
M
8
P. Nebel
84'
M
P. Nebel
84'
M
30
S. Widmer
63'
M
S. Widmer
63'
M
9
P. Tietz
63'
F
P. Tietz
63'
F
23
S. Becker
F
S. Becker
F
Bench
19
A. Caci
27'
D
A. Caci
27'
D
17
B. Hollerbach
6'
F
B. Hollerbach
6'
F
5
E. Martel
27'
M
E. Martel
27'
M
3
F. Gruber
D
F. Gruber
D
15
L. Maloney
M
L. Maloney
M
11
R. Königsdörffer
27'
F
R. Königsdörffer
27'
F
47
R. Nakuzola
D
R. Nakuzola
D
27
R. Zentner
G
R. Zentner
G
24
S. Kawasaki
6'
M
S. Kawasaki
6'
M
Best on the pitch
C. Rasmussen
F · VfL
7.95
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
T. Horn
G · VfL
7.81
· 29 pass
M. Steinwender
D · VfL
7.79
1 shots
· 68 pass
J. Steuckers
M · VfL
7.70
1 👟
· 23 pass
K. Mets
D · VfL
7.64
· 75 pass
P. Hofmann
F · VfL
7.52
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
VfL Bochum — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Horn | G | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Wittek | D | 81 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Mets | D | 90 | 7.64 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 68% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Steinwender | D | 90 | 7.79 | — | — | 1 | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Klaiber | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| T. Meyer | M | 90 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 25% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Pannewig | M | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Holtmann | M | 71 | 7.19 | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Taz | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Steuckers | M | 81 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Rasmussen | F | 63 | 7.95 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Miyoshi | M | 27 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Isbruch | M | 9 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Sawas | D | 9 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ouro-Tagba | F | 19 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hofmann | F | 27 | 7.52 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Schwolow | G | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Posch | D | 90 | 7.44 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 70% | 4 | — | — |
| D. da Costa | D | 84 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Mwene | M | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| Lee Jae-Sung | M | 63 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Sano | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Nebel | M | 84 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Widmer | M | 63 | 5.68 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Tietz | F | 63 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Becker | F | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Caci | D | 27 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hollerbach | F | 6 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Martel | M | 27 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Königsdörffer | F | 27 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. Kawasaki | M | 6 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
The final score was VfL Bochum 2–0 FSV Mainz 05.
What did the model predict before VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
The model assigned 36% probability to a VfL Bochum win, 21% to a draw, and 41% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.