2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 13:30 Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum

VfL Bochum

#9 · 0 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Holstein Kiel

#12 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction VfL Bochum, result Holstein Kiel wins

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Bochum a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 18%). The final result was VfL Bochum 2–3 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Bochum have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics

10

Shots on target

4

0.97

Actual xG

1.93

47%

Possession

53%

2

Corners

3

Pre-match prediction

58.86%

VfL

22.17%

X

18.97%

Holstein ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 18.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

VfL

1.89

0.97

-0.92

Holstein

0.76

1.93

+1.17

Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.97). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	0	0
2	1. FC Heidenheim	0	0
3	FC St. Pauli	0	0
4	Hannover 96	0	0
5	SV Darmstadt 98	0	0
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0	0
7	Hertha BSC	0	0
8	1. FC Nürnberg	0	0
9	VfL Bochum	0	0
10	Karlsruher SC	0	0
11	Dynamo Dresden	0	0
12	Holstein Kiel	0	0
13	Arminia Bielefeld	0	0
14	1. FC Magdeburg	0	0
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	0	0
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	0	0
17	VfL Osnabrück	0	0
18	Energie Cottbus	0	0