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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 22, 2026 14:30
VfL Bochum
#10 · 41 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Holstein Kiel
#11 · 41 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction VfL Bochum, result Holstein Kiel vince

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Bochum a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Holstein Kiel 18%). The final result was VfL Bochum 2–3 Holstein Kiel. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Bochum have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Holstein Kiel.

Match statistics
10
Shots on target
4
0.97
Actual xG
1.93
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
58.86%
VfL
22.17%
X
18.97%
Holstein ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Holstein Kiel) 18.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfL
1.89
0.97
-0.92
Holstein
0.76
1.93
+1.17
Holstein Kiel dominated by xG (1.93 vs 0.97). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 33 67
2 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 33 59
3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 33 59
4 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 33 59
5 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 33 52
6 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 33 51
7 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 33 49
8 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 33 45
9 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 33 44
10 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 33 41
11 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 33 41
12 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 33 39
13 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 33 38
14 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 33 37
15 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 33 37
16 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 33 36
17 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33 34
18 Preußen Münster Preußen Münster 33 30
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
The final score was VfL Bochum 2–3 Holstein Kiel.
What did the model predict before VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel?
The model assigned 58% probability to a VfL Bochum win, 22% to a draw, and 18% to an Holstein Kiel win.