Robin Fabinski
(ast. Niklas Wiemann)
87'
38'
(ast. Jonas Sterner)
Niklas Hauptmann
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Osnabrück a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Dynamo Dresden 30%). The final result was VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
2
1.45
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
4
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
10
12
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
38'
ast. Jonas Sterner ·
Niklas Hauptmann⚽
Robin Meißner
45'
Fridolin Wagner
/ Leon Maximilian Flach
45'
Patrick Kammerbauer
/ Konrad Faber
61'
Jonathan Gómez
/ Ismail Badjie
61'
Bernd Riesselmann
/ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
61'
68'
Nicolai Rapp
69'
Christoph Daferner
/
Vincent Vermeij
72'
Jonas Sterner
Robin Fabinski
75'
81'
Patrice Čović
82'
Simon Straudi
82'
Jakob Lemmer
/
Niklas Hauptmann
Bjarke Jacobsen
/ Luca Raimund
82'
Konrad Faber
84'
⚽Robin Fabinski
· ast. Niklas Wiemann
87'
87'
Kennedy Okpala
/
Patrice Čović
87'
Ahmet Muhamedbegovic
/
Ben Bobzien
87'
Alexander Rossipal
/
Simon Straudi
Leon Maximilian Flach
90'+1
Adrian Beck
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
38.91%
VfL
30.52%
X ←
30.56%
Dynamo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.26
1.45
+0.2
0.78
0.63
-0.15
VfL Osnabrück dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
32
J. Krumrey
G
J. Krumrey
G
25
N. Wiemann
1 👟
D
N. Wiemann
1 👟
D
24
J. Müller
D
J. Müller
D
27
R. Fabinski
1 ⚽
D
R. Fabinski
1 ⚽
D
42
J. Gómez
61'
M
J. Gómez
61'
M
26
F. Wagner
45'
M
F. Wagner
45'
M
15
B. Jacobsen
82'
M
B. Jacobsen
82'
M
21
A. Beck
M
A. Beck
M
31
P. Kammerbauer
61'
M
P. Kammerbauer
61'
M
11
R. Meißner
F
R. Meißner
F
22
B. Riesselmann
61'
F
B. Riesselmann
61'
F
Bench
7
D. Kyereh
29'
M
D. Kyereh
29'
M
10
I. Badjie
29'
M
I. Badjie
29'
M
4
J. Abu Hanna
D
J. Abu Hanna
D
28
K. Faber
29'
D
K. Faber
29'
D
18
L. Flach
45'
M
L. Flach
45'
M
8
L. Münst
M
L. Münst
M
17
L. Raimund
8'
F
L. Raimund
8'
F
1
N. Sauter
G
N. Sauter
G
20
T. Janotta
D
T. Janotta
D
22
L. Grill
G
L. Grill
G
44
S. Straudi
87'
D
S. Straudi
87'
D
42
F. Muller
D
F. Muller
D
6
N. Rapp
D
N. Rapp
D
32
J. Sterner
1 👟
D
J. Sterner
1 👟
D
21
T. Raschl
M
T. Raschl
M
18
R. Wagner
M
R. Wagner
M
20
B. Bobzien
87'
M
B. Bobzien
87'
M
27
N. Hauptmann
1 ⚽
82'
M
N. Hauptmann
1 ⚽
82'
M
24
P. Čović
87'
M
P. Čović
87'
M
9
V. Vermeij
69'
F
V. Vermeij
69'
F
Bench
17
A. Muhamedbegović
3'
D
A. Muhamedbegović
3'
D
19
A. Rossipal
3'
D
A. Rossipal
3'
D
33
C. Daferner
21'
F
C. Daferner
21'
F
10
J. Lemmer
8'
M
J. Lemmer
8'
M
11
K. Inanoglu
F
K. Inanoglu
F
7
K. Okpala
3'
F
K. Okpala
3'
F
8
L. Herrmann
M
L. Herrmann
M
34
T. Neininger
D
T. Neininger
D
1
T. Schreiber
G
T. Schreiber
G
Best on the pitch
N. Hauptmann
M · Dynamo
8.05
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
R. Fabinski
D · VfL
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 75 pass
N. Wiemann
D · VfL
7.28
1 👟
2 shots
· 61 pass
T. Raschl
M · Dynamo
7.02
1 shots
· 85 pass
J. Müller
D · VfL
6.92
· 72 pass
J. Sterner
D · Dynamo
6.84
1 👟
1 shots
· 71 pass
VfL Osnabrück — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Krumrey | G | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Wiemann | D | 90 | 7.28 | — | 1 | 2 | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Müller | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 72 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Fabinski | D | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 75 | 66% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Gómez | M | 61 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Wagner | M | 45 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Jacobsen | M | 82 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Beck | M | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 27% | 0 | 1 | — |
| P. Kammerbauer | M | 61 | 6.03 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Meißner | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Riesselmann | F | 61 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Kyereh | M | 29 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Badjie | M | 29 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Faber | D | 29 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Flach | M | 45 | 5.73 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Raimund | F | 8 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Dynamo Dresden — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Grill | G | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Straudi | D | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 46% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Muller | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Rapp | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 63 | 59% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Sterner | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | 1 | 1 | 71 | 66% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Raschl | M | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Wagner | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Bobzien | M | 87 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Hauptmann | M | 82 | 8.05 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Čović | M | 87 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 43% | 0 | 1 | — |
| V. Vermeij | F | 69 | 5.86 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Muhamedbegović | D | 3 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Rossipal | D | 3 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Daferner | F | 21 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Lemmer | M | 8 | 6.36 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Okpala | F | 3 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
The final score was VfL Osnabrück 1–1 Dynamo Dresden.
What did the model predict before VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden?
The model assigned 38% probability to a VfL Osnabrück win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Dynamo Dresden win.