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2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8 October 17, 2026 13:00 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
#4 · 16 pts
3 – 1
Final score
1. FC Heidenheim
#6 · 15 pts
Alexander Bernhardsson (ast. Vinicius de Souza Costa) 1'
Robert Glatzel (ast. Joakim Maehle) 45'+1
Muhammed Damar (ast. Fabian Reese) 65'
21' (ast. Jan Schoppner) Patrick Mainka
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Wolfsburg a 41% win probability (draw 28%, 1. FC Heidenheim 29%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim. In 2 previous meetings, VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
23
10
Shots on target
9
1.50
Actual xG
2.04
7
Saves
7
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
8
16
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Alexander Bernhardsson · ast. Vinicius de Souza Costa
1'
21'
ast. Jan Schoppner · Patrick Mainka⚽
Hauke Wahl
32'
⚽Robert Glatzel · ast. Joakim Maehle
45'+1
45'
Marcel Costly / Christian Conteh ↕
Timon Wellenreuther
58'
Fabian Reese
62'
↕ Yannick Gerhardt / Elvis Rexhbecaj
64'
⚽Muhammed Damar · ast. Fabian Reese
65'
67'
Mathias Honsak / Julian niehues ↕
69'
Michael Heule
80'
Yannik Wagner / Paul Hennrich ↕
↕ Fabian Reese / Alessio Besio
80'
Alessio Besio
85'
↕ Alexander Bernhardsson / Bence Dárdai
89'
↕ Muhammed Damar / Kento Shiogai
89'
89'
Tim Siersleben / Mikkel Kaufmann ↕
Pre-match prediction
41.97%
VfL ←
28.98%
X
29.05%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (VfL Wolfsburg) 41.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
VfL
1.45
1.50
+0.05
1.
0.97
2.04
+1.07
1. FC Heidenheim dominated by xG (2.04 vs 1.50). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Hertha BSC Hertha BSC 9 25
2 1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 9 18
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1. FC Kaiserslautern 9 18
4 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 9 16
5 1. FC Magdeburg 1. FC Magdeburg 9 16
6 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 9 15
7 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 9 12
8 VfL Osnabrück VfL Osnabrück 9 11
9 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 9 11
10 Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 9 10
11 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 9 10
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9 9
13 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 9 8
14 VfL Bochum VfL Bochum 9 8
15 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 9 8
16 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 9 8
17 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 9 8
18 SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98 9 8
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther T. Wellenreuther G 7.99
21 J. Mæhle J. Mæhle 1 👟 D 7.75
33 Cleiton Cleiton D 6.84
6 H. Wahl H. Wahl D 6.37
26 S. Kumbedi S. Kumbedi D 6.30
20 M. Damar M. Damar 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.81
5 Vinicius Souza Vinicius Souza 1 👟 M 7.70
31 Y. Gerhardt Y. Gerhardt 64' M 6.40
11 F. Reese F. Reese 1 👟 80' F 7.02
19 R. Glatzel R. Glatzel 1 ⚽ F 8.20
17 A. Bernhardsson A. Bernhardsson 1 ⚽ 89' F 8.20
Bench
23 A. Besio A. Besio 10' F 6.25
8 Bence Dárdai Bence Dárdai 1' M 6.24
37 E. Rexhbeçaj E. Rexhbeçaj 26' M 6.13
18 J. Adjetey J. Adjetey D 0.00
30 J. Zieliński J. Zieliński G 0.00
2 K. Fischer K. Fischer D 0.00
7 K. Shiogai K. Shiogai 1' F 6.50
22 M. Angely M. Angely D 0.00
27 M. Arnold M. Arnold M 0.00
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2
33 T. Dähne T. Dähne G 6.92
27 M. Heule M. Heule D 5.89
19 J. Föhrenbach J. Föhrenbach D 6.15
6 P. Mainka P. Mainka 1 ⚽ D 7.50
22 O. Mhamdi O. Mhamdi D 6.93
10 C. Conteh C. Conteh 45' M 5.96
16 J. Niehues J. Niehues 67' M 6.44
3 J. Schöppner J. Schöppner 1 👟 M 6.26
8 P. Hennrich P. Hennrich 80' M 6.80
18 A. Vogt A. Vogt F 6.51
29 M. Kaufmann M. Kaufmann 89' F 6.15
Bench
28 Adam Kölle Adam Kölle D 0.00
1 Frank Feller Frank Feller G 0.00
20 L. Kerber L. Kerber M 0.00
24 M. Costly M. Costly 45' F 7.00
17 M. Honsak M. Honsak 23' F 6.38
41 M. Zrilic M. Zrilic M 0.00
4 T. Siersleben T. Siersleben 1' D 5.90
38 Y. Wagner Y. Wagner 10' F 5.83
Best on the pitch
A. Bernhardsson
A. Bernhardsson
F · VfL
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots · 36 pass
R. Glatzel
R. Glatzel
F · VfL
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
T. Wellenreuther
T. Wellenreuther
G · VfL
7.99
· 36 pass
M. Damar
M. Damar
M · VfL
7.81
1 ⚽
6 shots · 56 pass
J. Mæhle
J. Mæhle
D · VfL
7.75
1 👟
1 shots · 34 pass
Vinicius Souza
Vinicius Souza
M · VfL
7.70
1 👟
· 62 pass
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Wellenreuther G 90 7.99 — — 0 36 25% 0 1 —
J. Mæhle D 90 7.75 — 1 1 34 31% 3 — —
Cleiton D 90 6.84 — — 0 45 37% 3 — —
H. Wahl D 90 6.37 — — 0 40 34% 0 1 —
S. Kumbedi D 90 6.30 — — 2 41 34% 2 — —
M. Damar M 89 7.81 1 — 6 56 45% 0 — —
Vinicius Souza M 90 7.70 — 1 0 62 55% 4 — —
Y. Gerhardt M 64 6.40 — — 0 28 18% 1 — —
F. Reese F 80 7.02 — 1 0 25 18% 1 1 —
R. Glatzel F 90 8.20 1 — 3 30 25% 0 — —
A. Bernhardsson F 89 8.20 1 — 5 36 30% 2 — —
A. Besio F 10 6.25 — — 0 7 3% 0 1 —
Bence Dárdai M 1 6.24 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
E. Rexhbeçaj M 26 6.13 — — 2 18 13% 0 — —
K. Shiogai F 1 6.50 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Dähne G 90 6.92 — — 0 53 35% 0 — —
M. Heule D 90 5.89 — — 1 28 19% 7 1 —
J. Föhrenbach D 90 6.15 — — 0 51 40% 5 — —
P. Mainka D 90 7.50 1 — 4 36 29% 0 — —
O. Mhamdi D 90 6.93 — — 2 33 26% 1 — —
C. Conteh M 45 5.96 — — 1 12 8% 1 — —
J. Niehues M 67 6.44 — — 5 22 17% 0 — —
J. Schöppner M 90 6.26 — 1 1 24 16% 0 — —
P. Hennrich M 80 6.80 — — 0 12 9% 0 — —
A. Vogt F 90 6.51 — — 5 4 4% 0 — —
M. Kaufmann F 89 6.15 — — 2 18 11% 0 — —
M. Costly F 45 7.00 — — 0 11 5% 1 — —
M. Honsak F 23 6.38 — — 2 13 8% 0 — —
T. Siersleben D 1 5.90 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Y. Wagner F 10 5.83 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Heidenheim.
What did the model predict before VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The model assigned 41% probability to a VfL Wolfsburg win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an 1. FC Heidenheim win.