The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave VfL Wolfsburg a 35% win probability (draw 32%, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 32%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.26
Actual xG
0.86
3
Saves
4
63%
Possession
37%
9
Corners
2
26
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
S. Sahin
66'
I. Kanate
/
M. Ritter
F. Hornby
/ A. Besio
68'
R. Glatzel
/ K. Shiogai
68'
78'
L. Robinson
/
F. Kunze
78'
E. Yardimci
/
M. Berisha
Vini Souza
/ M. Arnold
81'
E. Rexhbecaj
/ Y. Gerhardt
81'
M. Damar
/ M. Svanberg
89'
90'+1
E. Wekesser
/
S. Asta
Pre-match prediction
35.42%
VfL
32.43%
X ←
32.15%
1.
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.03
1.26
-1.77
0.63
0.86
+0.23
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (1.26 vs 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
J. Zieliński
G
J. Zieliński
G
26
S. Kumbedi
D
S. Kumbedi
D
22
M. Angely
D
M. Angely
D
6
H. Wahl
D
H. Wahl
D
2
K. Fischer
D
K. Fischer
D
5
Vinicius Souza
81'
M
Vinicius Souza
81'
M
11
F. Reese
M
F. Reese
M
20
M. Damar
89'
M
M. Damar
89'
M
37
E. Rexhbeçaj
81'
M
E. Rexhbeçaj
81'
M
10
Fraser Hornby
68'
M
Fraser Hornby
68'
M
19
R. Glatzel
68'
F
R. Glatzel
68'
F
Bench
23
A. Besio
27'
F
A. Besio
27'
F
33
Cleiton
D
Cleiton
D
17
D. Pejčinović
F
D. Pejčinović
F
18
J. Adjetey
D
J. Adjetey
D
7
K. Shiogai
27'
F
K. Shiogai
27'
F
27
M. Arnold
14'
M
M. Arnold
14'
M
32
M. Svanberg
6'
M
M. Svanberg
6'
M
12
P. Pervan
G
P. Pervan
G
31
Y. Gerhardt
14'
M
Y. Gerhardt
14'
M
1
J. Krahl
G
J. Krahl
G
14
J. Rasmussen
D
J. Rasmussen
D
4
M. Gyamfi
D
M. Gyamfi
D
33
J. Elvedi
D
J. Elvedi
D
22
Mika Haas
M
Mika Haas
M
8
S. Şahin
M
S. Şahin
M
6
F. Kunze
78'
M
F. Kunze
78'
M
2
S. Asta
M
S. Asta
M
7
M. Ritter
66'
F
M. Ritter
66'
F
15
N. Skyttä
F
N. Skyttä
F
20
M. Berisha
78'
F
M. Berisha
78'
F
Bench
44
Dion Hofmeister
M
Dion Hofmeister
M
41
D. Schramm
M
D. Schramm
M
13
E. Wekesser
4'
D
E. Wekesser
4'
D
17
E. Yardımcı
17'
F
E. Yardımcı
17'
F
11
I. Kanate
29'
F
I. Kanate
29'
F
5
Kelven Olagie Frees
D
Kelven Olagie Frees
D
37
Leon Robinson
17'
M
Leon Robinson
17'
M
39
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta
M
T. Fidjeu-Tazemeta
M
34
Yannick Onohiol
G
Yannick Onohiol
G
Best on the pitch
J. Krahl
G · 1.
8.50
· 32 pass
M. Gyamfi
D · 1.
7.90
· 29 pass
H. Wahl
D · VfL
7.70
1 shots
· 78 pass
Vinicius Souza
M · VfL
7.60
1 shots
· 73 pass
J. Rasmussen
D · 1.
7.60
· 55 pass
S. Kumbedi
D · VfL
7.50
· 50 pass
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Zieliński | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| S. Kumbedi | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Angely | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Wahl | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Fischer | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 37% | 6 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 81 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Reese | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 35 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Damar | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 59 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Rexhbeçaj | M | 81 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 5 | — | — |
| Fraser Hornby | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Glatzel | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Besio | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Shiogai | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Arnold | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M. Svanberg | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Y. Gerhardt | M | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
1. FC Kaiserslautern — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Krahl | G | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Rasmussen | D | 95 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 55 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gyamfi | D | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Elvedi | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Mika Haas | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Şahin | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 4 | 1 | — |
| F. Kunze | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Asta | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ritter | F | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Skyttä | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Berisha | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Wekesser | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Yardımcı | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Kanate | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| Leon Robinson | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
What did the model predict before VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern?
The model assigned 35% probability to a VfL Wolfsburg win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an 1. FC Kaiserslautern win.