The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 39% win probability (draw 23%, VfL Wolfsburg 37%). The final result was VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach. In 1 previous meetings, VfL Wolfsburg have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
2
1.21
Actual xG
0.51
2
Saves
4
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
5
11
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
61'
F. C. Chiarodia
M. Amoura
/ A. Daghim
70'
A. Zehnter
/ S. Kumbedi
70'
77'
R. Hack
/
F. Honorat
77'
G. Reyna
/
K. Stoger
P. Wimmer
/ K. Paredes
83'
89'
S. Machino
/
H. Tabakovic
90'+2
K. Takai
/
F. C. Chiarodia
90'+2
J. Castrop
90'+4
R. Reitz
A. Daghim
90'+4
90'+5
R. Hack
Pre-match prediction
37.42%
VfL
23.12%
X ←
39.46%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
1.21
-0.39
1.76
0.51
-1.25
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (1.21 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
89'
G
4
K. Koulierakis
89'
D
K. Koulierakis
89'
D
3
Denis Vavro
89'
D
6
Jeanuël Belocian
89'
D
Jeanuël Belocian
89'
D
5
Vinicius Souza
89'
M
Vinicius Souza
89'
M
25
Aaron Zehnter
70'
M
Aaron Zehnter
70'
M
24
C. Eriksen
89'
M
C. Eriksen
89'
M
39
Patrick Wimmer
83'
M
Patrick Wimmer
83'
M
21
J. Mæhle
89'
M
J. Mæhle
89'
M
9
M. Amoura
70'
F
M. Amoura
70'
F
17
D. Pejčinović
89'
F
D. Pejčinović
89'
F
Bench
11
Adam Daghim
19'
F
Adam Daghim
19'
F
7
Kento Shiogai
F
Kento Shiogai
F
10
Lovro Majer
M
Lovro Majer
M
26
Saël Kumbedi
19'
D
Saël Kumbedi
19'
D
33
Moritz Nicolas
89'
G
Moritz Nicolas
89'
G
2
Fabio Chiarodia
89'
D
Fabio Chiarodia
89'
D
30
Nico Elvedi
89'
D
Nico Elvedi
89'
D
16
Philipp Sander
89'
D
Philipp Sander
89'
D
6
Yannick Engelhardt
89'
M
Yannick Engelhardt
89'
M
17
J. Castrop
89'
M
J. Castrop
89'
M
7
K. Stöger
77'
M
K. Stöger
77'
M
27
R. Reitz
89'
M
R. Reitz
89'
M
29
Joe Scally
89'
M
Joe Scally
89'
M
15
Haris Tabaković
89'
F
Haris Tabaković
89'
F
9
F. Honorat
77'
F
F. Honorat
77'
F
Bench
13
Giovanni Reyna
12'
M
Giovanni Reyna
12'
M
38
Hugo Bolin
M
Hugo Bolin
M
26
Lukas Ullrich
D
Lukas Ullrich
D
25
Robin Hack
12'
M
Robin Hack
12'
M
18
Shuto Machino
F
Shuto Machino
F
36
Wael Mohya
M
Wael Mohya
M
Best on the pitch
G · VfL
8.00
· 31 pass
R. Reitz
M · Borussia
7.60
1 shots
· 45 pass
Moritz Nicolas
G · Borussia
7.60
· 41 pass
Joe Scally
M · Borussia
7.50
2 shots
· 38 pass
Nico Elvedi
D · Borussia
7.50
· 53 pass
K. Koulierakis
D · VfL
7.30
1 shots
· 50 pass
VfL Wolfsburg — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 89 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Denis Vavro | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Jeanuël Belocian | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Souza | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Aaron Zehnter | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. Eriksen | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Patrick Wimmer | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Mæhle | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Adam Daghim | F | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Saël Kumbedi | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Nicolas | G | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Fabio Chiarodia | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 72 | 63% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nico Elvedi | D | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Philipp Sander | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Yannick Engelhardt | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | — | — | — |
| J. Castrop | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Reitz | M | 89 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Joe Scally | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Haris Tabaković | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| F. Honorat | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Giovanni Reyna | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Robin Hack | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The final score was VfL Wolfsburg 0–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What did the model predict before VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The model assigned 37% probability to a VfL Wolfsburg win, 23% to a draw, and 39% to an Borussia Mönchengladbach win.